Bad timing for this news. Kicking Elon while he is on the down and out..
03:27 PM EST, 12/27/2022 (MT Newswires) -- Shares of Tesla (TSLA) slid Tuesday after reports suggested that production at a key Chinese manufacturing facility could run at reduced capacity for longer than anticipated, Wedbush Securities said in a note.
Tesla reportedly suspended production at its Shanghai plant on Saturday, a day earlier than planned. Reuters reported Tuesday that the company plans to stop vehicle production from Jan. 20 to Jan. 31. Shares of Tesla declined 9.1% to $111.93 by Tuesday afternoon, taking its monthly retreat to nearly 43% and the year-to-date loss to 68%. The stock has posted daily losses over the last six trading sessions.
"With China the core linchpin to the Tesla bull thesis, worries are growing around what the softening demand picture looks like for 2023 given the dark macro clouds and increasing domestic (electric vehicle) competition," said Wedbush analyst Daniel Ives in a note.
Wedbush reiterated its expectations that Tesla "will likely miss reduced Street estimates" for fourth-quarter deliveries. Last week, Ives lowered his estimate on Tesla units for the current quarter to the 410,000 to 415,000 range, compared with his prior estimate of 450,000. The reduced outlook reflects higher inventory levels, price cuts and production slowdowns in China, Ives said.
Wedbush slashed its price target on the stock last week to $175 from $250 but reiterated an outperform rating, which it stood by on Tuesday.
Reuters said Tesla didn't specify a reason for the production slowdown. China has been grappling with COVID-19 infections as the government recently eased its COVID-19 lockdown policy, Reuters reported.
Ives continues to see "potentially $5-$6 of earnings power in 2023" for Tesla, with the possibility that it could approach delivery growth above 40%.
If Musk refocuses back on Tesla from Twitter (TWTR) and stops selling stock, the board initiates a buyback program and the 2023 guidance is set conservatively, then Tesla's stock "has bottomed in our opinion and works from here," Ives reiterated. "However, any further Musk strategic missteps will be carefully scrutinized by the Street and further weigh on shares."