If Jones finishes 7-6 with this team then UT definitely does not have the right coach. Prepare to go through it again in 2 or 3 years.
Teams win with youth at skill positions and QB. UT's defensive talent and experience is BETTER than it was when Wilcox had them mid-pack in the SEC with 22.6 ppg and 340 ypg. With just that kind of D... UT would have been a 9 or 10 win team in '12.
The short answer is that Jones inherits a team with talent and a good level of experience. He should be able to win games.
I'm going to assume you're not being sarcastic here, although my detector pretty much sucks anymore.
I agree with you about if we'd had just an average D last year we'd have won 9-10 games last year.... because of our Offense. That's both obvious and provable.
The rest, however, not so much. I don't think teams win with youth at skill positions, I think you win with talented experienced skilled players, juniors and seniors at QB, OLand WR, with RB being the possible exception.
My take on our where our experience is this year......
Offense-
QB- very little (Worley) to none (Peterman)- big problem
RB- much experience from two average SEC RBs- small problem
TE- no experience- problem
WR- very little experience (Howard, Dallas, Carter.... 33 career catches between them)- rather large problem.
OL- tremendous experience, strength of the team, one of the best OLs in the country - no problem
Defense-
DL- good experience, good talent, strength of the defense IMHO. However, have to learn new system, albeit a better-suited one, how to tackle - somewhat of a problem
LB- one very good LB (AJ), not much more, lack depth, need to learn how to tackle- problem.
DBs- a lot of experience, just not the kind you want; gotta learn how to take proper angles, pursuit, how to tackle. Slow footed. I would guess little confidence and have to learn new scheme. - big problem, biggest weakness on the team.
Kicker- Palardy... enough said... problem
Punter- Darr or Palardy? Palardy actually decent here, I think- problem? Meh.
Throw in that we have one of, if not the most difficult schedule in college football, and I don't see how in the world we say if he doesn't win more than 7 games that Jones is definitely not the right coach. I don't see how you can honestly get there.
I believe the team will be significantly better coached for obvious reasons. Moving back to 4-3 helps our defensive personnel, but there's still a lack of talent, speed, depth over there. Much work to be done and a lot of patience required.
This of course, jmho.