The rest, however, not so much. I don't think teams win with youth at skill positions, I think you win with talented experienced skilled players, juniors and seniors at QB, OLand WR, with RB being the possible exception.
The two easiest positions for a new player to make a big impact are RB and WR. EVERY program replaces a starting QB.
The number one offense in the SEC last year had a RS Fr QB who had never played a college game (a 3* no less). Their top WR was a Fr. Two of the top 5 were Fr and another was a Soph. Their returning RB's were similar to what UT has coming back... and they lost a very good one. Neither of their two top returning TE's had 110 receiving yards in '11.
Do I think UT has a Johnny Football at QB waiting to emerge? Probably not. Do I think UT has as much or more talent at WR and RB as TAM did coming into last season? Yes.
It comes down to coaching. You can do alot on a foundation like UT's OL. An OL that is as good as they should be... can cover a multitude of deficiencies elsewhere if the coaches do their jobs.
Throw in that we have one of, if not the most difficult schedule in college football, and I don't see how in the world we say if he doesn't win more than 7 games that Jones is definitely not the right coach. I don't see how you can honestly get there.
Part of it is that it would mean that he probably didn't win a single game that he "wasn't supposed to win". The "right guy" will do that... and do it early.
The other part is the realization that UT gets younger in his second year. They likely lose 3 of the top 4 LB's from this fall. They lose DL's. They lose maybe the whole OL. They lose one of their top two RB's. So if 7 is realistic for this year... what about next year? 4? 5?
If he wins less than half his games next year then what do you think his situation will be in '15? IMO... pretty much what Dooley's was this past fall.
I believe the team will be significantly better coached for obvious reasons. Moving back to 4-3 helps our defensive personnel, but there's still a lack of talent, speed, depth over there.
ALL of the guys on UT's D have played in the 4-3. All of the ones who played for Wilcox were better when they played it... now they are older and more developed.
There isn't a severe lack of talent. This D will be more talented than the '11 D and more experienced. Being fast and playing fast are two different things. Sunseri apparently didn't know how to coach the scheme well enough for the players to understand it. There were warning signs last spring and none of us wanted to see it. They played slow... that doesn't mean they are slow... or that they cannot play fast.
Unless UT's posted recruit speeds were just consistently further off than other programs... there is speed and athleticism in the secondary.
There is a lack of speed at LB. But if that starts to hurt then you put a DB in as a bandit. Sapp and Brewer help with speed at LB.
And... bottom line... good coaching makes a defense better than the sum of its talent. Vandy was 5th in the SEC in total D last year. Do you think they had more talent than UT will have this fall?
Much work to be done and a lot of patience required.
Patience? This is deja vu all over again. Three years ago there were folks here who assured me that UT fans understood the work needed to get UT turned around. They were certain that the fans would have "patience". I said that there was no way Dooley survived year 3 if he didn't accomplish something significant.... There was a relatively large number of fans ready to fire him after the UK loss. Pretty much all of us had had it by Vandy '12.
Jones has the exact same challenge but a better starting point. He really needs to win 8 or 9 this year to buy time if next fall is as rough as it has the potential to be. He really needs to get a signature win this fall to keep some of those "patient" fans patient. Plus... he needs players. If he wins 7 this year and fewer next year then he will have a rough time getting them going forward.