Commodity shortages

I figured some would find this interesting.
Supply chain disruption expected through all of 2022
The only thing is the people predicting things to return to normal at the start of 2023 are doing so off of how past supply and demand cycles worked. The current issues weren’t caused by a normal supply and demand cycle though so I don’t think the prediction of things swinging drastically the other direction in 2023 will be correct. I believe we are resetting to a new level of expectation for the foreseeable future. I do think it’ll get better but things won’t go back to the way they were for a very long time, if ever.
 
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This is something that has to be addressed. You have to be 21 to carry goods that cross state lines, even if the truck never crosses state lines. If you are engaged in interstate commerce you have to be 21. The problem is that kids that might become truck drivers are going into other trades right out of school as there aren’t as many intrastate driving positions open for an 18 year old kid. The Feds are piloting different options to try and combat this with pre-approved driving schools, allowing for kids under 21 with military experience to participate in interstate commerce, and I’m sure some things I’m not thinking of off the top of my head.
 
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I figured some would find this interesting.
Supply chain disruption expected through all of 2022
The only thing is the people predicting things to return to normal at the start of 2023 are doing so off of how past supply and demand cycles worked. The current issues weren’t caused by a normal supply and demand cycle though so I don’t think the prediction of things swinging drastically the other direction in 2023 will be correct. I believe we are resetting to a new level of expectation for the foreseeable future. I do think it’ll get better but things won’t go back to the way they were for a very long time, if ever.

I bet if we find ways to reduce labor participation…..govt payouts, vaccine mandates, etc. that it will rebound very quickly.
 
This is something that has to be addressed. You have to be 21 to carry goods that cross state lines, even if the truck never crosses state lines. If you are engaged in interstate commerce you have to be 21. The problem is that kids that might become truck drivers are going into other trades right out of school as there aren’t as many intrastate driving positions open for an 18 year old kid. The Feds are piloting different options to try and combat this with pre-approved driving schools, allowing for kids under 21 with military experience to participate in interstate commerce, and I’m sure some things I’m not thinking of off the top of my head.

The biggest hurdle will be the insurance companies. Unless you are self insured it can be hard to hire a driver under 25 without a year of experience.
 
I figured some would find this interesting.
Supply chain disruption expected through all of 2022
The only thing is the people predicting things to return to normal at the start of 2023 are doing so off of how past supply and demand cycles worked. The current issues weren’t caused by a normal supply and demand cycle though so I don’t think the prediction of things swinging drastically the other direction in 2023 will be correct. I believe we are resetting to a new level of expectation for the foreseeable future. I do think it’ll get better but things won’t go back to the way they were for a very long time, if ever.

If you look at it that way, this whole supply chain debacle could run for years like TN football while finding a coach to fix it. I can easily believe the GOP in wanting to avoid another Trump administration could find either more unelectable clowns or clowns who should never have been elected - there are plenty more Romney clones available, and the GOP establishment is just stupid enough to run one or more of them. The dems can't find anyone sane and/or intelligent enough to tie shoe laces.
 
This is something that has to be addressed. You have to be 21 to carry goods that cross state lines, even if the truck never crosses state lines. If you are engaged in interstate commerce you have to be 21. The problem is that kids that might become truck drivers are going into other trades right out of school as there aren’t as many intrastate driving positions open for an 18 year old kid. The Feds are piloting different options to try and combat this with pre-approved driving schools, allowing for kids under 21 with military experience to participate in interstate commerce, and I’m sure some things I’m not thinking of off the top of my head.

Imagine kids under 21 aren't fit for interstate commerce, BUT they can vote. Just think about that a bit.
 
The Dow and S&P 500 hit record highs as Tesla stock electrifies - CNN
Wall Street is brushing off concerns about Facebook. The Dow and S&P 500 both closed at record highs Monday — while Tesla shares soared to a new all-time peak above $1,000 and sent the company's market share past the $1 trillion level.
The Dow ended the day up nearly 65 points, or 0.2%, and is now within striking distance of topping the 36,000 level for the first time. The S&P 500 rose 0.5% and the Nasdaq gained 0.9%.
You left out, thanks Joe!
 
The biggest hurdle will be the insurance companies. Unless you are self insured it can be hard to hire a driver under 25 without a year of experience.

Maybe we should require voter's insurance. You vote for a clown like biden, and you have to pay damages.
 
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The Dow and S&P 500 hit record highs as Tesla stock electrifies - CNN
Wall Street is brushing off concerns about Facebook. The Dow and S&P 500 both closed at record highs Monday — while Tesla shares soared to a new all-time peak above $1,000 and sent the company's market share past the $1 trillion level.
The Dow ended the day up nearly 65 points, or 0.2%, and is now within striking distance of topping the 36,000 level for the first time. The S&P 500 rose 0.5% and the Nasdaq gained 0.9%.

Ask yourself what's rational about that. Power rates are bound to surge, the grid is managing because industry went away, etc. What makes any sense about flooding the highways with electric vehicles? BTW a recent study - by a real auditing firm and nobody named Ninja - has shown it's more expensive to drive an electric car than a gas powered car. They also are the first to point out a few other well hidden points like it's a problem charging those vehicles past 80%. In other words that x miles per full charge probably shrinks to something more like a "full charge" doesn't exceed 80% - probably 70% since you can't drive to zero - not so many charging points.

EVs are definitely simpler than gas engines - but simple things are never easy.
 
My guess is the ships lying around outside of California can't fit through the Panama Canal, so it's somewhat of a moot plea.

Probably important to remember the Chinese run the Panama Canal, too - whichever way that might factor in. Chinese made goods in Chinese made and owned containers, on a lot of Chinese ships, through Chinese held roadblocks. It really matters who owns the stuff on those ships. If it's the Chinese, they want them unloaded and paid; if you were foolish enough to pay when or before the goods were loaded on ships, well ....
 
My guess is the ships lying around outside of California can't fit through the Panama Canal, so it's somewhat of a moot plea.
They did expand the canal a few years ago for ships larger than Panamax. So you might get some container ships through.
 
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They did expand the canal a few years ago for ships larger than Panamax. So you might get some container ships through.
I think that since 3/4 of the population lives east of the Mississippi that it's cheaper to go ahead and send any ship that can fit through the canal through than to unload them in California and put it on a train or truck across the country. I don't know crap about ships and ports so I'm just speculating.
 
We've started buying more from local farmers/producers as far as food.

1) shortens our supply chain, creating less risk
2) shortens our supply chain, reducing our climate impact
3) keeps money circulating in our community
4) the farmers around here that we shop from are badasses
 
We've started buying more from local farmers/producers as far as food.

1) shortens our supply chain, creating less risk
2) shortens our supply chain, reducing our climate impact
3) keeps money circulating in our community
4) the farmers around here that we shop from are badasses

5) better odds on not getting sick or dying from what you eat
 
The Dow and S&P 500 hit record highs as Tesla stock electrifies - CNN
Wall Street is brushing off concerns about Facebook. The Dow and S&P 500 both closed at record highs Monday — while Tesla shares soared to a new all-time peak above $1,000 and sent the company's market share past the $1 trillion level.
The Dow ended the day up nearly 65 points, or 0.2%, and is now within striking distance of topping the 36,000 level for the first time. The S&P 500 rose 0.5% and the Nasdaq gained 0.9%.

Just as dumb as Trump in equating the stock market with the economy.
 

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