Commodity shortages

#858
#858
hUTch2002 said:
I figured some would find this interesting.
Supply chain disruption expected through all of 2022
The only thing is the people predicting things to return to normal at the start of 2023 are doing so off of how past supply and demand cycles worked. The current issues weren’t caused by a normal supply and demand cycle though so I don’t think the prediction of things swinging drastically the other direction in 2023 will be correct. I believe we are resetting to a new level of expectation for the foreseeable future. I do think it’ll get better but things won’t go back to the way they were for a very long time, if ever.
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Why not?
 
#865
#865
hUTch2002 said:
Because this isn’t caused by a simple supply and demand issue. There are other underlying problems with low labor participation, component part issues hindering manufacturing, Covid regs, and more.
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I was just talking about this with a guy I work with.

The total ignorance some people have about what goes into a supply chain is astounding.
 
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#866
#866
ButchPlz said:
I was just talking about this with a guy I work with.

The total ignorance some people have about what goes into a supply chain is astounding.
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The only way the supply chain imbalances would resolve in 2022 would be a deep recession. Unfortunately, Joe Biden's presence in the White House and the legislation the Democrats are cramming down people's throats make that a distinct possibility.
 
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#867
#867
ButchPlz said:
I was just talking about this with a guy I work with.

The total ignorance some people have about what goes into a supply chain is astounding.
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Many think it's an issue with getting it from point A to point B. But they don't realize the whole chain has the product to consumer at like point z and each stop has their own problems and that merely compounds the issue. If we are dealing with one obstacle, there's a chance to overcome it such as supply and demand. But when they have part issues, logistic issues, labor issues, regulation issues, etc. We have the gigantic mess we are in. Much of it is avoidable.
 
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#868
#868
VolStrom said:
I think that since 3/4 of the population lives east of the Mississippi that it's cheaper to go ahead and send any ship that can fit through the canal through than to unload them in California and put it on a train or truck across the country. I don't know crap about ships and ports so I'm just speculating.
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Panama canal expanded to take the largest ships as did the Port of Savannah. My company gets shipments through Savannah on these largest ships.
 
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#872
#872
Behind the WSJ paywall.

Shoppers Find Discounts Are in Short Supply This Holiday Season


Retailers say fewer markdowns are product of bottlenecks, inflation and their own efforts to rein in deals
One side effect of the Covid-19 pandemic heading into the holidays: fewer bargains for shoppers.

Industry executives and analysts say consumers should expect to pay closer to full price on a range of products this holiday season, including on Nike sneakers, Coach handbags and Ralph Lauren Polo shirts.
 
#873
#873
AM64 said:
Imagine kids under 21 aren't fit for interstate commerce, BUT they can vote. Just think about that a bit.
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Part of the hypocritical laws in this country. You can go to war and be killed in the line of duty at 18. You can be sentenced to death for murder at 18, or even a little younger. You can vote, you can purchase a rifle, you can buy a home, you can start a family.....all at 18 years old, but God forbid if you drink a beer.
 
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#874
#874
norrislakevol said:
Part of the hypocritical laws in this country. You can go to war and be killed in the line of duty at 18. You can be sentenced to death for murder at 18, or even a little younger. You can vote, you can purchase a rifle, you can buy a home, you can start a family.....all at 18 years old, but God forbid if you drink a beer.
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The real issue is that maturity and not a specific age should determine when a lot of things change, and we don't have a very good handle on that at all. Insurance companies have apparently learned a lot more about the behavior of "young adults" than the government has - otherwise the voting age would be significantly higher than it is now. Another example: kids who grew up on farms learned far more about rifles for hunting than their city counterparts, so how could anyone possibly relate responsible gun ownership to age rather than societal issues? I guess there has to be a cutoff somewhere - I'd suggest insurors generally know better than even parents.

My other take is that with the advent of technology and social media, kids are exposed to stuff they are too immature to deal with on a rational basis and that it's delaying maturity and creating more harm by mixing juvenile brains with adult topics ... and expecting juveniles to be adults. A lot of parents live vicariously through their own kids, and they aren't necessarily much more mature than teens themselves, and I'm very glad to be successfully past the parenting years and not having to contend with the peer pressure and some idiot parents pushing it.
 
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#875
#875
AM64 said:
The real issue is that maturity and not a specific age should determine when a lot of things change, and we don't have a very good handle on that at all. Insurance companies have apparently learned a lot more about the behavior of "young adults" than the government has - otherwise the voting age would be significantly higher than it is now.
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You mean the voting age "should" be significantly higher than it is now. Democrats have discussed significantly lowering the voting age because they know that they're actively brainwashing kids starting at preschool age.
 
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