The last time that I went to Disney World (It has been over a Decade ago), was in the 3rd week of August. Although it was hot, it was a great time because the park traffic was dead because school had started. 25% of the customers were actually Europeans since it lined up with their August Vacation schedule.
We could basically walk on any ride with the exception of the most popular ones. Even with the popular ones, the longest wait we had to endure was likely 30 minutes.
As I stated before, I think Disney will be fine long-term but they do have major issues in some areas and I can see certain divisions being sold off or undergoing major revamps.
1. Marvel - To me, the issue is just that they have done too many movies and they have beaten these stories to death. They are probably the most profitable IP for Disney to this day but eventually people are going to get tired and I think it is already starting to happen.
2. LucasFilms - Overall, this is just a quality issue. There are some exception but most of the content coming out of this group is not well written and frankly almost comes off insulting to the original IP. They do shine at moments such as with Rogue One or the Mandalorian but it seems like if you give them time, they will run it into the group. Another desperation ploy seems to constantly bring in old characters for nostalgia bait but then writing them poorly. In some ways, they would be better off sticking with the new characters and not even having the original characters. Issues like hyperspace attack an enemy fleet don't even make sense in the logic of the Star Wars Universe which is a major issue.
3. Animation Studios - Seems like they are in a dry spell right now. Big issue for them may not just be the content but rather the fact that Universal/Dreamworks/Imagination are catching up and taking their spot at the top of the mountain. I still think they will likely pump out big hits going back to the well such as another Toy Story. History says this studio will eventually figure things out and come back. They have had dry spells in the past.
4. Streaming - This is the biggest loser for Disney. I think Disney+ is a major failure but this seems to be the trend across the board. Streaming is not working out for anyone.
5. ESPN - They are losing money on sports which is sad to say because this hurts the SEC Network, College Football visibility, etc. ESPN, despite politics, has been GREAT for College Athletics.
For people saying Politics is not hurting Disney, read this article from Left-Leaning CNN:
https://www.cnn.com/2023/02/07/investing/disney-earnings-bob-iger-preview/index.html
Even beyond being Woke, Disney has come off the last 10 years as a very greedy, non-personal Corporate entity. Not a reputation you want if you are a children-centric IP.
All of Disney's issues are correctable but they need the right leadership in place. I personally think they should probably get rid of Disney+ and get a deal with a streaming service like Paramount, Netflix, or HBO and just get a pay-out from that streaming service to dump their IP on it. I also think they need to sell off LucasFilms, it hasn't lived up to hype. ESPN is another option I would be looking to divest from my portfolio if I was Disney.
They need to really pick up their Animation Studio and get back to making fun children's film on par with Moana, Frozen, Lilo & Stitch, Toy Story 4, etc.
Nintendo jumping into the Children's Animation Industry is a BIG ISSUE for Disney as Mario is recognized globally far more than any other animated children's character. Nintendo has a large IP catalog that can appeal to children and be made into interesting animated content.