East Tennessee Weather

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#10,201
#10,201
Coug said:
Local stations saying you won't see much of anything tonight into early morning. Look for snow to possibly begin sometime after 4-5pm on Friday evening. It looks to get gradually heavier as the evening progresses.
Click to expand...

They already cancelled the winter weather advisory that was in effect for tonight and early tomorrow morning due to the at best dusting we will receive from this first wave.
 
#10,202
#10,202
Winter Storm Watch
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1037 PM EST THU JAN 5 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM MAY BRING WIDESPREAD HEAVY SNOWFALL TO
THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS FRIDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...

.A FAST MOVING CLIPPER SYSTEM WILL BEING PATCHES OF LIGHT SNOW
SHOWERS TO THE REGION OVERNIGHT...BUT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE
VERY LIGHT RANGING FROM NO MORE THAN A DUSTING IN MOST VALLEY
AREAS TO LESS THAN AN INCH ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA
AND THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF NORTHEAST TENNESSEE. SOME ROADWAYS MAY
DEVELOP SLICK SPOTS...SO CAUTION IS ADVISED FOR MOTORISTS DURING
THE NIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY.

A SECOND MORE POTENT WINTER STORM WILL IMPACT THE REGION FRIDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO
BRING HEAVY SNOWFALL TO THE EAST TENNESSEE AND WESTERN NORTH
CAROLINA MOUNTAINS...AND POTENTIALLY TO PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN
TENNESSEE VALLEY AND SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA. IN THE MOUNTAINS...4 TO
8 INCHES WITH HIGHER AMOUNTS ALONG THE PEAKS WILL BE COMMON. AND
IN THE VALLEY...A POTENTIAL OF 2 TO 5 INCHES IS EXPECTED...WITH
THE POTENTIAL FOR MORE SHOULD THE TRACK DEVIATE FURTHER TO THE
WEST. WITH THE SUBFREEZING TEMPERATURES...THE POTENTIAL FOR LIGHT
SNOW TO QUICKLY ACCUMULATE BY THE EVENING RUSH HOUR COMMUTE ON
FRIDAY IS A REAL POSSIBILTY. GIVEN THE SUBFREEZING TEMPERATURES...
ROADS AND SURFACES WILL BE PRIMED FOR SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS AND
ANY ROAD SURFACE THAT IS UNTREATED WILL BECOME TREACHEROUS
OVERNIGHT.

TNZ014>017-036>040-042-044-046-067>071-073-086-VAZ001-002-005-006-
008-061145-
/O.CAN.KMRX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-170106T1200Z/
/O.CON.KMRX.WS.A.0001.170106T1800Z-170107T1200Z/
CLAIBORNE-HANCOCK-HAWKINS-SULLIVAN-ANDERSON-UNION-GRAINGER-
HAMBLEN-NORTHWEST COCKE-NORTHWEST GREENE-WASHINGTON TN-
NORTHWEST CARTER-ROANE-LOUDON-KNOX-JEFFERSON-NW BLOUNT-
NORTH SEVIER-NORTHWEST MONROE-LEE-WISE-SCOTT-RUSSELL-WASHINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TAZEWELL...SNEEDVILLE...ROGERSVILLE...
KINGSPORT...BRISTOL...CLINTON...OAK RIDGE...MAYNARDVILLE...
RUTLEDGE...MORRISTOWN...NEWPORT...GREENEVILLE...JOHNSON CITY...
ELIZABETHTON...KINGSTON...LENOIR CITY...KNOXVILLE...DANDRIDGE...
MARYVILLE...SEVIERVILLE...MADISONVILLE...JONESVILLE...WISE...
NORTON...GATE CITY...LEBANON...ABINGDON
1037 PM EST THU JAN 5 2017

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR TONIGHT IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MORRISTOWN HAS CANCELLED THE
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

* EVENT...A SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM MAY BRING WIDESPREAD SNOW TO
THE REGION...WITH 2 TO 5 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE.

* TIMING...FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL WILL LIKELY BECOME HAZARDOUS ONCE THE WINTRY
PRECIPITATION BEGINS. MOTORISTS NEED TO BE ESPECIALLY CAREFUL
ON BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES WHERE SLIPPERY SPOTS OFTEN DEVELOP
FIRST. THIS IS PARTICULARLY TRUE FOR THE FRIDAY EVENING RUSH
HOUR COMMUTE AND THROUGH THE NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.
 
#10,205
#10,205
latest EURO
ecmwf_slp_precip_nc_7.thumb.png.dba72031bf14252fac89395ea825ae17.png
 
#10,209
#10,209
Vol knight said:
To clarify for everyone else, this is not a snow accumulation map. It's a precipitation map.
Click to expand...

from the latest EURO, we are in the 0.1 so assume 15 to 1 that would be 1.5 inches of snow?

(0.1) (x) = (1) (15)
 
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#10,216
#10,216
Update:

The newest discussion from Morristown has come out. Essentially, the Winter Storm Watches for much of the Valley will be downgraded to Advisories. Based on recent model runs, I think that Knoxville will see 2-3 inches. It's not a huge amount, but I think that's a good start for the season.
 
#10,217
#10,217
.

CLAIBORNE-HANCOCK-HAWKINS-ANDERSON-UNION-GRAINGER-HAMBLEN-ROANE-
LOUDON-KNOX-JEFFERSON-LEE-WISE-SCOTT-RUSSELL-WASHINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TAZEWELL...SNEEDVILLE...ROGERSVILLE...
CLINTON...OAK RIDGE...MAYNARDVILLE...RUTLEDGE...MORRISTOWN...
KINGSTON...LENOIR CITY...KNOXVILLE...DANDRIDGE...JONESVILLE...
WISE...NORTON...GATE CITY...LEBANON...ABINGDON
403 AM EST FRI JAN 6 2017

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO
10 AM EST SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MORRISTOWN HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS
EVENING TO 10 AM EST SATURDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER
IN EFFECT.

* EVENT...SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE EXPECTED FOR MOST
LOCATIONS...WITH SOME ISOLATED SPOTS NEAR 4 INCHES POSSIBLE.

* TIMING...FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL WILL MAY BECOME HAZARDOUS ONCE THE WINTRY
PRECIPITATION BEGINS. MOTORISTS NEED TO BE ESPECIALLY CAREFUL ON
BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES WHERE SLIPPERY SPOTS OFTEN DEVELOP FIRST.
Click to expand...
 
#10,218
#10,218
Alert for those in the foothills!

SULLIVAN-NORTHWEST COCKE-NORTHWEST GREENE-WASHINGTON TN-
NORTHWEST CARTER-NW BLOUNT-NORTH SEVIER-NORTHWEST MONROE-
WEST POLK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...KINGSPORT...BRISTOL...NEWPORT...
GREENEVILLE...JOHNSON CITY...ELIZABETHTON...MARYVILLE...
SEVIERVILLE...MADISONVILLE...BENTON
403 AM EST FRI JAN 6 2017

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM
EST SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MORRISTOWN HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS
EVENING TO 10 AM EST SATURDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER
IN EFFECT.

* EVENT...BETWEEN 3 AND 6 INCHES OF SNOW ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED.

* TIMING...THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL IS STRONGLY DISCOURAGED TONIGHT AS ROADS WILL BE
SNOW COVERED AND VISIBILITY WILL BE REDUCED BY FALLING SNOW.
Click to expand...
 
#10,222
#10,222
Coug said:
Hourly on weather channel has some snow showers between 8 and 9am and then not again until 10pm. I can only imagine that's the band moving out of Memphis towards us though.
Click to expand...

There will be some snow this morning, but the main event is in the evening and overnight hours.
 
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#10,223
#10,223
#10,224
#10,224
The Euro is a better long range model. Not really good for short range. The GFS is also a mid tier model. The NAM/HHRR and the RGEM are the modes to follow. I'm sticking with my prediction. The storm has slowed which will allow for more intensity and for a better chance of a northwesterenly turn
 
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