East Tennessee Weather

[headhunter15]

What is everyone's thoughts on the current GFS, GFS Para, and Canadian models today? All three are showing snow within the next week and all three are showing snow total possibilities. The reason I'm asking is because no one, not even Aldrich is talking about it.

 

[DarthVisor]

Yeah, the last couple of model runs have looked decently encouraging. But - maybe there's a reason it's not being talked about.

 

[Coug]

Yeah, the last couple of model runs have looked decently encouraging. But - maybe there's a reason it's not being talked about.

It's because milk and bread.

 

[DarthVisor]

It's because milk and bread.

Going to go get mine so I can make milk sandwiches whilst it flurries.

 

[Orange_Vol1321]

Going to go get mine so I can make milk sandwiches whilst it flurries.

Lol.

SoS for Tn. When we have moisture it's to warm. When we have cold there's no moisture. :dunno:

 

[DarthVisor]

Lol.

SoS for Tn. When we have moisture it's to warm. When we have cold there's no moisture. :dunno:

Sunday still looks decently promising, no?

 

[RockyTop411]

Sunday still looks decently promising, no?

Aldrich said last night on his FB live video that the trend is 0.5" - 1.5" for the valley but warned that it is still a good ways out and things could change.

 

[Orange_Vol1321]

Sunday still looks decently promising, no?

Yea not for alot but it is snow. I'm ready for a blizzard with 12+ inches.

 

[VolnJC]

TNZ012>018-035>047-067>074-087-VAZ001-002-005-006-008-280500-
Scott TN-Campbell-Claiborne-Hancock-Hawkins-Sullivan-Johnson-
Morgan-Anderson-Union-Grainger-Hamblen-Northwest Cocke-
Cocke Smoky Mountains-Northwest Greene-Southeast Greene-
Washington TN-Unicoi-Northwest Carter-Southeast Carter-Roane-
Loudon-Knox-Jefferson-NW Blount-Blount Smoky Mountains-
North Sevier-Sevier Smoky Mountains-Southeast Monroe-Lee-Wise-
Scott-Russell-Washington-
Including the cities of...Oneida...La Follette...Tazewell...
Sneedville...Rogersville...Kingsport...Bristol...Mountain City...
Wartburg...Clinton...Oak Ridge...Maynardville...Rutledge...
Morristown...Newport...Cosby...Greeneville...Cedar Creek...
Johnson City...Erwin...Elizabethton...Roan Mountain...Kingston...
Lenoir City...Knoxville...Dandridge...Maryville...Cades Cove...
Sevierville...Gatlinburg...Coker Creek...Jonesville...Wise...
Norton...Gate City...Lebanon...Abingdon
322 PM EST Fri Jan 27 2017






...snow accumulations possible along the northern cumberland
plateau...southwest virginia...northeast tennessee...and the higher
elevations of the east tennessee mountains sunday through monday
morning...

Scattered light snow showers will be possible across the area
sunday morning before transitioning to rain sunday afternoon.
Snowfall accumulations through the morning will range from a
dusting in the valley...to half of an inch in southwest virginia
and higher elevations of the east tennessee mountains. As the
temperature drops below freezing sunday evening...rain showers are
expected to transition to snow...with scattered snow showers
through monday morning. Additional snowfall accumulation totals
range from half of an inch to two and a half inches along the
northern cumberland plateau and northeast tn...with an additional 3
to 6 inches expected throughout southwest virginia and the higher
elevations in the east tennessee mountains.

 

[Coug]

Lol.

SoS for Tn. When we have moisture it's to warm. When we have cold there's no moisture. :dunno:

It's true. The joys of living in the unpredictable valley.

 

[VolnJC]

Special Weather Statement
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Morristown TN
314 PM EST Sat Jan 28 2017

TNZ012>017-035>040-042-044-046-067>071-073-291000-
Scott TN-Campbell-Claiborne-Hancock-Hawkins-Sullivan-Morgan-
Anderson-Union-Grainger-Hamblen-Northwest Cocke-Northwest Greene-
Washington TN-Northwest Carter-Roane-Loudon-Knox-Jefferson-
NW Blount-North Sevier-
Including the cities of...Oneida...La Follette...Tazewell...
Sneedville...Rogersville...Kingsport...Bristol...Wartburg...
Clinton...Oak Ridge...Maynardville...Rutledge...Morristown...
Newport...Greeneville...Johnson City...Elizabethton...Kingston...
Lenoir City...Knoxville...Dandridge...Maryville...Sevierville
314 PM EST Sat Jan 28 2017

...LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE ALONG THE NORTHERN CUMBERLAND
PLATEAU AND MUCH OF THE TENNESSEE VALLEY SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY
MORNING...

SCATTERED LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE AREA
SUNDAY MORNING BEFORE TRANSITIONING TO MAINLY RAIN SUNDAY
AFTERNOON. SOME SNOW MAY MIX WITH THE RAIN AT TIMES...BUT
TEMPERATURES ABOVE FREEZING WILL PREVENT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS DURING
THE DAY. AS THE TEMPERATURE DROPS BELOW FREEZING SUNDAY
EVENING...RAIN IS EXPECTED TO TRANSITION BACK TO SNOW. SNOWFALL
ACCUMULATION TOTALS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM A DUSTING TO AROUND
ONE INCH FOR THE KNOXVILLE AREA AND MORRISTOWN. 1 TO 2 INCHES MAY
BE POSSIBLE FOR THE TRI-CITIES AREA AND THE NORTHERN CUMBERLAND
PLATEAU.

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio and other local media for further
details or updates.

 

[Vol knight]

I'm sorry I haven't been posting, everyone. My life has been hectic recently. As far as tomorrow into Monday, this is pretty much going to be a typical clipper system where higher elevated areas will see good snow (2-4 inches), while the lower elevations see minor accumulations (dusting to 1 inch).

 

[Vol knight]

Also, this will mainly be a Central/Northern valley, Plateau, and Mountains event. The southern valley (Chattanooga, Cleveland, Athens, ect) won't see any snow accumulation.

 

[EweTVol]

Hope there is snow

 

[Coug]

Sleeting here in west Knoxville at Pellissippi.

 

[Orange_Vol1321]

I'm mentioning it since we are within 6 days of it but Vk you catch the storm track for next Friday on the GFS last night? Unfortunately the GFS has lost it today so hopefully it picks it back up.
The Canadian is still showing it but has the 32° line above Tennessee while both GFS models has the 32° line down to the gulf.

 

[Vol knight]

I'm mentioning it since we are within 6 days of it but Vk you catch the storm track for next Friday on the GFS last night? Unfortunately the GFS has lost it today so hopefully it picks it back up.
The Canadian is still showing it but has the 32° line above Tennessee while both GFS models has the 32° line down to the gulf.

I did. I'm going to wait a couple more days until I start posting about it.

 

[davethevol]

Heads up. Sounds like potentially strong storms tonight and tomorrow.

 

[Vol knight]

~Severe Weather Alert~

Everyone in East Tennessee has a slight risk for Severe thunderstorms late afternoon into the evening hours. The Severe threat is conditional, as it is uncertain whether there will be a break in the cloud cover during the day or not. If there is, then we'll see some scattered storms. If not, then we may not see any severe storms.

Primary risks:

1. Large hail up to Half Dollar size.
2. Damaging winds in excess of 60 mph.
3. A brief Tornado can't be ruled out, as the storm mode will be supercells.

 

[Vol knight]

Watch Alert!!!

A severe thunderstorm watch has been issued for areas along and west of Knox County until 1:00 AM.

 

[Vol knight]

~VK's Severe Weather Discussion~

This is something new that I'll do whenever there is a decent threat for Severe weather. In these, I'll give my observations and what I think will occur.

With round one moving east of us, round 2 will reach the valley between 8 and 10. This next round will be linear, so damaging straight line winds in excess of 60 mph will be the primary threat, with hail up to quarter size also possible. As with most lines, the Tornado threat is very low, but cannot rule out a brief spin up.

 

[Vol knight]

Update:

It appears that these storms aren't reaching severe levels at this time. There will still be gusty winds and small hail with these storms.

 

[VolnJC]

Weird weather after the storms we ended up getting a dusting of snow overnight

 

[508mikey]

this doesnt look good --- explosive T storms

 

[Orange_Vol1321]

VK, what is the best Euro map site that is free off the top of your head?