Per the ESPN All State App, its a 66% chance:
Select your favorite contender, make your picks for how its season will play out and see what the Allstate Playoff Predictor foretells.
www.espn.com
Your defnition of "slim" is apparently not what most people's is.
Having said that, I am disgusted that 21 people liked "its a one way ticket to a loss somewhere". Really? You think we lose to IU? BYU? Notre Dame?
Try this. Lift up your right palm. Stare deeply into it. Then slap yourself across the face. HARD.
Jesus H Christ. Such a loser mentality.