VolTull
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- Dec 26, 2023
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The Dems need a message besides "orange man bad" or "Insurrection" because that doesn't seem to be moving the needle. At this point in 2020, Biden was up 4.3 points and in 2016 Hillary was up 2.7 points in the national polls. Trump leads by 4.3 points currently. However, the national polls don't really matter. The 7 swing states will decide the election and Trump leads significantly in 5, Biden leads in 1 and Wisconsin is a tie currently. The biggest problem for the Dems is that voters still have to pay rent/house payments, buy food and gas and purchase everything else at bidenflated prices. Plus the 2 wars that started under Joe's watch. Joe will likely be replaced by Newsom or Michael Obama before the fall though.You guys just need to get on board with Haley. She has a chance against Biden. Trump will be a trainwreck. He'll likely be convicted of something by the fall.
It was more that there was not a viable 3rd party candidate in the main swing states. Trumo gained in overall vote percentage nationwide and he also gained in vote percentage in 4 of the 5 swing states that have been discussed ad nauseam. The difference was in 2016 there was a 3rd party candidate taking 3-4% of the vote in those states. In 2020 that percentage went down to 1-2% and that extra 1-2% went heavily Democrat. At least that’s what appears to have happened when you look at the numbers. In 4 of the 5 swing states that decided 2020, the increase in Dem percentage was very similar to the decrease in 3rd party percentage. Again, Trump’s percentage of the vote in 4 of those 5 states actually increased from 2016 to 2020. The exception was GA.Yet, somehow Trump won 18 out of 19 historic bellwether Counties, in 2020.