I Never Bet on Sports but.......

#51
#51
99gator said:
Gambling, in general, is a bad idea.

In addition, you should never gamble on your own team. Your judgment is usually clouded even if you think it isn't.
Click to expand...

I do agree with your statement, but I have put serious $ on UT four times in my life, and won all four times; $6100.00. If you are careful it could work out nice, but this was back in 1998 and 1999.
 
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#52
#52
Cracks me up everyone is "gun shy" on the -6 line.

I thought the consensus on here was UT wins by 17+ or a complete blow out...

I don't bet or I would be more than tempted to put my money where my mouth is.
 
#53
#53
My saying is to never bet for or against UT. Betting Beers doesn't count, I'll bet anybody a beer on anything.
"Social Bet".

I was at a conference in Reno and placed my one and only Bookie Bet on the UT-bama game. Only time that I've ever left a Casino with more than I went in with.
Can't remember what year.
 
#54
#54
TheGoodStuff said:
Cracks me up everyone is "gun shy" on the -6 line.

I thought the consensus on here was UT wins by 17+ or a complete blow out...

I don't bet or I would be more than tempted to put my money where my mouth is.
Click to expand...

Which is exactly why you never bet on your team. Sure, my heart says UT by 17, but that doesn't make it a smart bet.

I understand what you're saying tho, but I'd rather just be a fan in this one.
 
#55
#55
OrangeDog said:
My saying is to never bet for or against UT. Betting Beers doesn't count, I'll bet anybody a beer on anything.
"Social Bet".

I was at a conference in Reno and placed my one and only Bookie Bet on the UT-bama game. Only time that I've ever left a Casino with more than I went in with.
Can't remember what year.
Click to expand...

I took us against SC last year. I didn't want to, but it fit nearly every criteria I like to play. It still took a lot of unbiased angles for me to bet that game.
 
#57
#57
To me this spread is a money maker. I've not bet on Tennessee very often but this seems like a gift.

I put a good dollar sum on Tennessee to cover and I don't feel much trepidation over it.
(Full disclosure, I also was confident that the Giants would beat the Ravens badly however many years ago in that super bowl debacle that occurred and that didn't work out so well)

I decided that I won't be dumping ice on my face so the rule I'll be going by is if I collect the winnings I will donate half of the sum to ALS and if I lose the bet I will donate an additional 10% of the initial bet to ALS.

A way to feel good regardless of result.
 
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#61
#61
99gator said:
Gambling, in general, is a bad idea.

In addition, you should never gamble on your own team. Your judgment is usually clouded even if you think it isn't.
Click to expand...

Got to agree on betting on your team. I have and will never bet money on the Vols, Titans, or Griz. Bias can cost you Big in the betting game.
 
#63
#63
Easiest money is very early using picks from professional cappers. It's not that Vegas catches on later it's the public that does and the lines become more accurate. Right now Vegas knows what the spreads should be but sets the lines based on fan perception. These are the weeks you absolutely bet against the majority and there is money to be made. Hate to say it but USU falls into that category.

Edit: By the way, if you don't bet much DO NOT bet this game.
 
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#64
#64
TheGoodStuff said:
Cracks me up everyone is "gun shy" on the -6 line.

I thought the consensus on here was UT wins by 17+ or a complete blow out...

I don't bet or I would be more than tempted to put my money where my mouth is.
Click to expand...

I'm completely confident on 17+ ...


... with someone else's $
 
#70
#70
Exfix said:
Easiest money is very early using picks from professional cappers. It's not that Vegas catches on later it's the public that does and the lines become more accurate. Right now Vegas knows what the spreads should be but sets the lines based on fan perception. These are the weeks you absolutely bet against the majority and there is money to be made. Hate to say it but USU falls into that category.

Edit: By the way, if you don't bet much DO NOT bet this game.
Click to expand...

Agreed 100% :hi:
 
#71
#71
99gator said:
Gambling, in general, is a bad idea.

In addition, you should never gamble on your own team. Your judgment is usually clouded even if you think it isn't.
Click to expand...

This is normally sound advice but in my case the most money that I've ever won on a sporting event was Tennessee plus 17 vs Florida in 2001 (it closed at Tenn plus 14 1/2)...I am awful at gambling but that was just too many points. I won't touch the game on Sunday.
 
#74
#74
Just an honest question, not demeaning anyone's choice of activity, but can experienced betters come out ahead on a regular basis, when betting on sports? Movies, of course only portray the betters that lose everything. Do people earn a living off of betting? Do high stakes betters watch every detail of game leadup such as injury reports, weather forecast, etc? Its a fascinating world.
 
#75
#75
orange parmejohn said:
Just an honest question, not demeaning anyone's choice of activity, but can experienced betters come out ahead on a regular basis, when betting on sports? Movies, of course only portray the betters that lose everything. Do people earn a living off of betting? Do high stakes betters watch every detail of game leadup such as injury reports, weather forecast, etc? Its a fascinating world.
Click to expand...

They do. I had a friend, a former cop from New Orleans, who retired after being shot in the line of duty. Didn't have much to do, so he took up being a barber and betting on sports. At first he didn't do so hot, he bet too often on LSU (his team), and didn't seem to know what he was doing. But then he noticed something. On Saturday, just as the 100 odd games are about to played, the line will move significantly on around five games, maybe a point or two, sometimes more. What's happened he figured out, was that someone somewhere knew something. Kicker just broke leg, QB's girlfriend dumped him, assist. coach just received a Friday DUI. Now what he told me is that in the pros, this stuff doesn't matter so much they get paid to tune that crap out, but to a twenty year old kid whose girl just left him for the lead guitarist of the local cover band, it's devastating.

What he did was find those games, never bet on LSU ever, and then pick the team that was picking up the points. Because he said Vegas can't just throw points out too much, because folks would start suspecting fixes. They give a point or two, but it can't make up, for what's really driving the movement. He would pick five games a week, bet the exact same amount on each game (never fell in love with a single pick) and generally would win four of his picks each week. He made, when I knew him well around ten years ago, around 40k a year. Not a ton I know, but with his retirement from police work and the occasional shave at the barbershop he did ok. Anytime I would go over to his house he would proudly show me his internet site, and show me his ranking as a handicapper. I can't remember exactly his ranking, but i think he may have cracked the top 100 once.

Alas he did all his betting on line, so I can't say how's he's doing now with all the new regulations, but I'm guessing he's doing ok. He always seems too... Dedicated to Pete, a great guy who taught me a little about gambling and lot about life.
 
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