Iowa Caucus

#176
#176
Obama is licking his chops right now. Romney will not be able to beat him. JMO


Good night for the Ds last night.
 
#178
#178
DrunkJohnny said:
Obama is licking his chops right now. Romney will not be able to beat him. JMO


Good night for the Ds last night.
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and if true it's a terrible night for the US. But of course you're a lefty so enjoy it while you still can
 
#180
#180
utvolpj said:
and if true it's a terrible night for the US. But of course you're a lefty so enjoy it while you still can
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Lower voter turn out than in 2008, possibility of Paul running 3rd party.

The republicans are doomed. How can they not find someone better than Romney? McCain would destroy Obama if he ran again.

Anyways, yes, good night for the "lefties."

Also it's going to be a true embarrassment for the Republican Party watching Romney attempt to debate Obama. Only nominee that could hold his own in that setting would be Newt.
 
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#181
#181
DrunkJohnny said:
Obama is licking his chops right now. Romney will not be able to beat him. JMO


Good night for the Ds last night.
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Romney just won in a state that is highly evangelical and the turn out was strong despite single digit temps. All bad signs for Obama

Romney will sweep the floor with Obama and wins in a landslide. Obama is not winning FL, NC, VA, PA, IN, IA and a few other states.
 
#182
#182
From what I heard there was a rather large turnout in support of Obama in Iowa City and Des Moines. Not sure what that means, though. I certainly wouldn't be campaigning for Obama, but will vote for him if Gary Johnson isn't the Libertarian nomination.
 
#184
#184
DrunkJohnny said:
Lol, no.

If Ron Paul runs 3rd party I doubt it will be much closer than the 2008 election.

Also I stand corrected... 3,000 more voters last night than 2008 (Again, Ron Paul)
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Muschump... your wet dream of RP running as a 3rd party is not happening. He has already stated if he doesnt the the nomination, he is out.

Just wait till the summer. Europe will be in a recession. UE will stick in the high 8s%. People are sick of Obama.

Election 2012: Romney 45%, Obama 39% - Rasmussen Reports™

Mitt Romney has now jumped to his biggest lead ever over President Obama in a hypothetical Election 2012 matchup. It’s also the biggest lead a named Republican candidate has held over the incumbent in Rasmussen Reports surveying to date.The latest national telephone survey finds that 45% of Likely U.S. Voters favor the former Massachusetts governor, while 39% prefer the president. Ten percent (10%) like some other candidate in the race, and six percent (6%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
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#185
#185
Uh, Is Muschamp a "lefty?"

If Ron Paul doesn't run 3rd Party who will the Tea Party vote for? Write-in?

Also is the media going to portray Romney as a giant flip-flopper a la Kerry?
 
#187
#187
Nice work, you spelled your old username correct, when I spelled it wrong. Thanks for clarifying. Anyway the Tea Party will either vote for Romney or sit at home. They can sit at home for all I care because this election is coming down to the suburbs of N VA and Philly/Pittsburgh. They are not voting for Obama again. 40% of this country will not vote for Obama under any circumstances. Just a few polls for you to chew on

Right Direction or Wrong Track - Rasmussen Reports™

Twenty-two percent (22%) of Likely U.S. Voters now say the country is heading in the right direction, according to a new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey taken the short holiday week ending Friday, December 30. That ties a five-month high first reached in mid-December.
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Daily Presidential Tracking Poll - Rasmussen Reports™

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Wednesday shows that 22% of the nation's voters Strongly Approve of the way that Barack Obama is performing his role as president. Forty-two percent (42%) Strongly Disapprove, giving Obama a Presidential Approval Index rating of -20
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#188
#188
VolsNSkinsFan said:
Nice work, you spelled your old username correct, when I spelled it wrong. Thanks for clarifying. Anyway the Tea Party will either vote for Romney or sit at home. They can sit at home for all I care because this election is coming down to the suburbs of N VA and Philly/Pittsburgh. They are not voting for Obama again. 40% of this country will not vote for Obama under any circumstances. Just a few polls for you to chew on

Right Direction or Wrong Track - Rasmussen Reports™



Daily Presidential Tracking Poll - Rasmussen Reports™
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I really couldn't care less. It's my opinion that Romney doesn't stand a chance in hell against Obama. Romney doesn't excite Evangelicals or actual conservatives.

Oh and there's this.

The 105 polls released in Senate and gubernatorial races by Rasmussen Reports and its subsidiary, Pulse Opinion Research, missed the final margin between the candidates by 5.8 points, a considerably higher figure than that achieved by most other pollsters. Some 13 of its polls missed by 10 or more points, including one in the Hawaii Senate race that missed the final margin between the candidates by 40 points, the largest error ever recorded in a general election.

Moreover, Rasmussen’s polls were quite biased, overestimating the standing of the Republican candidate by almost 4 points on average. In just 12 cases, Rasmussen’s polls overestimated the margin for the Democrat by 3 or more points. But it did so for the Republican candidate in 55 cases — that is, in more than half of the polls that it issued.

If one focused solely on the final poll issued by Rasmussen Reports or Pulse Opinion Research in each state — rather than including all polls within the three-week interval — it would not have made much difference. Their average error would be 5.7 points rather than 5.8, and their average bias 3.8 points rather than 3.9.

Nor did it make much difference whether the polls were branded as Rasmussen Reports surveys, or instead, were commissioned for Fox News by its subsidiary Pulse Opinion Research. (Both sets of surveys used an essentially identical methodology.) Polls branded as Rasmussen Reports missed by an average of 5.9 points and had a 3.9 point bias. The polls it commissioned on behalf of Fox News had a 5.1 point error, and a 3.6 point bias.
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#190
#190
#191
#191
VolsNSkinsFan said:
Muschump...

http://www.fordham.edu/images/acade...ccuracy in the 2008 presidential election.pdf

Rasmussen ranked #1 in the 2008 election polls

The Polls That Got Iowa Right - Politics - The Atlantic Wire
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Evangelicals are not going to come out in force to support a pro-choice Mormon. Tea Party conservatives are not going to vote for a long-time supporter of Obamacare. It's pretty simple.

Just wait until Obama starts spending his zillions, and embarrassing Romney in debates.
 
#192
#192
DrunkJohnny said:
Lower voter turn out than in 2008, possibility of Paul running 3rd party.

The republicans are doomed. How can they not find someone better than Romney? McCain would destroy Obama if he ran again.

Anyways, yes, good night for the "lefties."

Also it's going to be a true embarrassment for the Republican Party watching Romney attempt to debate Obama. Only nominee that could hold his own in that setting would be Newt.
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I highly doubt that.
 
#194
#194
DrunkJohnny said:
Evangelicals are not going to come out in force to support a pro-choice Mormon. Tea Party conservatives are not going to vote for a long-time supporter of Obamacare. It's pretty simple.

Just wait until Obama starts spending his zillions, and embarrassing Romney in debates.
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Keep dreaming Muschump. Obama isnt raising a Billion $$s. He wont even get 1/3rd of that.

Also Romney doesnt need evangelicals. Obama isnt carrying any southern states anyway. Like I said earlier, the election is coming down to upper middle class suburbanites. Those are the ones who voted him in and those are the ones who will vote him out in Nov
 
#195
#195
nbakerld said:
I always wondered what happened to Muschump.
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Not sure of my connection with Muschamp, but you seem to have your head on straight. Will Obama mop the floor with Romney in a debate setting, or am I crazy?

To your point above, "destroy" may have been a little strong, but he would beat Obama, IMO.
 
#196
#196
VolsNSkinsFan said:
Keep dreaming Muschump. Obama isnt raising a Billion $$s. He wont even get 1/3rd of that.

Also Romney doesnt need evangelicals. Obama isnt carrying any southern states anyway. Like I said earlier, the election is coming down to upper middle class suburbanites. Those are the ones who voted him in and those are the ones who will vote him out in Nov
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Guess I'm not seeing the difference between Romney and Obama? Care to explain?
 
#200
#200
DrunkJohnny said:
Not sure of my connection with Muschamp, but you seem to have your head on straight. Will Obama mop the floor with Romney in a debate setting, or am I crazy?

To your point above, "destroy" may have been a little strong, but he would beat Obama, IMO.
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If Obama and Romney were debating in 2008, I think Obama destroys him, but I think in 2012 his record over the last 4 years puts him at a disadvantage. I don't know that Romney can capitalize, but he could. I think Obama beats Romney (in debates and in the election), but I'm nowhere near certain.
 
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