The difference between Saban, Meyer and Dooley is that Saban and Meyer were proven coaches when they got they're big jobs at LSU and UF respectively. Yes somebody had to take a chance on them for them to prove that they were great head coaches, but those chances should be taken by schools like Kent State, Bowling Green and Utah not UT. UT is a big time school as such they shouldn't take a huge risk on a unproven coach. I do know that one has to be decently intelligent to graduate from UGA law. I'm actually currently applying to law school, will be starting law school next fall. But the intelligence required in law school doesn't really correlate to him becoming a great head coach. After all I don't think either Saban or Meyer have attended grad school of any kind(they might have I'm not sure). The main reason I don't think Dooley will be successful is because I don't think he will ever be able to out recruit guys like Saban, Meyer and Miles. I believe recruiting is the most part of building a top tier program. So far our recruiting class is mediocre at best.
I would prefer a better class of commitments at this point and I would've preferred to have hired a 'great' coach as well. I guess the big difference between your viewpoint and mine is that I believe that the particular situation that UT was in and is still in precludes the possibility of those options having happened.
The timing of the coaching change was about the worst imaginable - a few weeks before NSD. UT's cupboard, while not bare, was obviously very, very thin and any coach with worth hiring realized that it's a 3-4 yr rebuilding job. I just believe that it was impossible to have hired a 'great' coach who is at the top of his game under those circumstances - most wouldn't drop their current teams if they were remotely comparable to UT in reputation right before NSD whereas noone who is sensible could fault a guy for leaving for a clearly better and higher-level job. So, I don't judge the hiring of Dooley by comparing it to a perfect-case scenario that I don't believe was at all possible. I judge it by a plausible alternative instead.
A plausible alternative is getting a coach of Cutcliffe's level. Like Cut a lot, but he is older and has had some health issues, so he may have fewer years to establish himself and lead the program. He has been a head coach at a major university before without distinguishing himself. I think his upside could reasonably be viewed as limited. Of course, that view could be wrong, but it is plausible.
The hire had to be made almost immediately to have any chance of salvaging the class. Write off last year's recruiting class and you might add two years to the rebuilding time needed. Had to be a college guy to hit the ground running on recruiting and I think he had to be very familiar with the SEC and recruiting landscape to salvage the recruiting class. So, limit the choices to a guy from a lesser level school, college only, SEC familiarity, and some demonstrated recruiting background and I'm not sure who would've been a better candidate than CDD. (other qualifications obviously exist and go without saying)
Think Dooley did very well recruiting last year. Got Stone, who Saban coveted. Got DaRick and Hunter, who were highly sought-after. So, I think he can recruit. As for out-recruiting those coaches, you do it the only way it's possible, one recruit at a time. Stone is one. Hunter and Rogers are 2 and 3 - anyone would've taken them. He's not signed yet, but doubt that the LB Johnson would have trouble getting his calls returned by any of them, either.
For this year's class, he had a very late start, obviously. The high star guys generally commit very early (many to their nearby or lifelong favorite teams) or they commit very late, it seems to me. You can't start recruiting them after NSD, a year later than everyone else, and expect to commit your fair share early. I think it's impossible. Saban didn't do it his first recruiting class at Bama, either.
So, if that's how it works, you better find a good base of commitable 3 stars who meet your needs and who you think are capable SEC players. Of course some will hit and some will miss - it's that way everywhere. Then, once you've got a good base in place, you keep pushing for the high stars guys who are going to commit late to complete the class.
The thing that you absolutely cannot do is to hold out for mostly 4 star and 5 star guys and then scramble late in the year to find whatever 3 star guys you can to fill up the class. The late signing 3 stars may be guys that you aren't as high on since you've gotta pull the trigger in a big hurry, from a smaller pool of players. Might not even get the guys at your positions of need.
I haven't seen anything that isn't logical given the circumstances. Sure, I would prefer to have 10 four and five* commitments at this point, but I've never seen that happen in the history of college FB under similar circumstances and know that Saban didn't do it either. So, I don't consider it determinative in deciding whether Dooley can recruit or succeed as a head coach.
Good luck with law school. Ironically enough, I was accepted and was almost a classmate of CDD's at UGA, but decided sooner than he did I didn't wanna be a lawyer...