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Actually, mathematically speaking, there's no way Cal has a 100% chance of making the tournament. There are more potential bid thieves still alive in their conference tournaments than there are teams currently in with less than a 100% chance to make it.
 
What seed would be best to make a run. I seem to trend toward a 11 or 12 seed for this team.

An 11 or 10, which are our most likely scenarios IMO, don't play a 1 until the elite 8. A 12 plays the 1 in the sweet 16, and a 9/8 plays them in the round of 32. That's why I want us to beat SC and lose to FL.
 
Actually, mathematically speaking, there's no way Cal has a 100% chance of making the tournament. There are more potential bid thieves still alive in their conference tournaments than there are teams currently in with less than a 100% chance to make it.


I only pointed it out since it shows UT in and it has only missed 1 team in 2 years. If they have Cal completely wrong then they have it completely wrong. Strictly mathematical (or computer) selection models get em wrong sometimes too.

If they miss 10 this year I won't lose any sleep over it.
 
I only pointed it out since it shows UT in and it has only missed 1 team in 2 years. If they have Cal completely wrong then they have it completely wrong. Strictly mathematical (or computer) selection models get em wrong sometimes too.

If they miss 10 this year I won't lose any sleep over it.

It's all good. They are one of the last to finally have us in....
 
According to the brackets updated today on the matrix, the last 4 in:

St. Joseph's
Tennessee
BYU
Providence
 
Think your new First Four tomorrow morning (after brackets have been updated, etc., etc.,) looks something like this:

Dayton
Nebraska
BYU
Providence (I anticipate Minnesota losing to Wisconsin tonight)

Tennessee's gotta be out of the First Four group after today, barring a horrendous performance tomorrow. 11 seed!
 

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