Latest Coronavirus - Yikes

#56,102
#56,102
Volsfaninva917 said:
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Most of this just seems to be attacking their code architecture - which isn’t surprising given these guys aren’t software developers. They aren’t trying to build code for retail sale so that seemed like a silly complaint.

However - their points on the model not being deterministic are concerning at face value. I really need to see some plots/analysis to understand how sensitive the code is to the computer running it.
 
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#56,107
#56,107
TennTradition said:
Most of this just seems to be attacking their code architecture - which isn’t surprising given these guys aren’t software developers. They aren’t trying to build code for retail sale so that seemed like a silly complaint.

However - their points on the model not being deterministic are concerning at face value. I really need to see some plots/analysis to understand how sensitive the code is to the computer running it.
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Would be interesting to understand whether Ferguson's efforts being so far from reality is attributable more to faulty modeling or faulty coding. Faulty modeling and/or bad data fed into it, but which is properly coded, will still give an unrealistic prediction, and this is what I suspect to be the case. Or is more known about the implementation of his model that says the coding/implementation wasn't true to his model?

EDIT: without entering a trial subscription to read the entire article, the only salient comment in the opening paragraphs which I could read was "... the model appears to be totally unreliable..." which is not the same thing as a "software/coding error".
 
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#56,108
#56,108
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#56,112
#56,112
USAFgolferVol said:
I'm just stating facts. Read my post again. Of course you're a poster boy for that phenomena I'm speaking of. Thanks
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I read your post and presented actual examples of other media outlets dumbing down American voters instead of that low key partisan hack approach you took . But I didn’t really expect anything less from you with your post history . 😉
 
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#56,114
#56,114
USAFgolferVol said:
All the networks have their faults, but Fox News has far more unqualified guests spewing their opinions. FoxNews is the main agent for the dumbing down of America phenomena.
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No. CNN had an expert on who said the Malaysia flight that disappeared could have gone through a black hole. That made info wars look centrist and based in reality.
 
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#56,119
#56,119
RavinDave said:
Would be interesting to understand whether Ferguson's efforts being so far from reality is attributable more to faulty modeling or faulty coding. Faulty modeling and/or bad data fed into it, but which is properly coded, will still give an unrealistic prediction, and this is what I suspect to be the case. Or is more known about the implementation of his model that says the coding/implementation wasn't true to his model?

EDIT: without entering a trial subscription to read the entire article, the only salient comment in the opening paragraphs which I could read was "... the model appears to be totally unreliable..." which is not the same thing as a "software/coding error".
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If you google around you can find the article the software CEO wrote - and this my comments around software. He harps on their coding for most of the article.

But he makes the case that these coding issues leave the mode to produce different results when different computers run the code. What’s not clear to me is if that means Ferguson got an incorrect result - or if the model was producing correct results on their lab’s computers.

It isn’t clear at all to me from this that there was an error in their results at the time - other than just the inputs/assumptions. For example, given what we know now a 2.2 Mm death toll in the US doesn’t make sense unless you have higher death rates due to hospital overburden. But, this is just a software guy saying it was really bad code. I need him to tell me - were there coding errors that led Ferguson to get an incorrect result (or just model inaccuracies due to assumptions)
 
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#56,124
#56,124
idiots
AP_20124461653670.jpg
 
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