Latest Coronavirus - Yikes

Not the case in Nashville or surrounding counties.
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Not to mention the stacks of established data from over 15 years ago. Chloroquine was DETERMINED to inhibit the replication of SARS. It’s settled science but you’d never know it. Even the firms who conducted and published the studies are ignoring their own peer reviewed research saying there is NO evidence that HC could be a therapeutic. Really?

NIH published this in 2004
In Vitro Inhibition of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus by Chloroquine - PubMed
 
You know I’m not a fan of California right ? I’d rather watch their very pompous , wine taste testing butts squirm around in their own self made misery . I would rather McConnell tell Newsom to just go ahead and lay down on the bed you made son .
I knew.
 


I'm good with Clay's first tweet about the testing rate and positive rate. Total cases are a head fake now when contextualized against previous total case counts / rate of growth due to the ramp in testing (this is also true because some states are adding in positive antibody tests as total cases - so those definitely shouldn't be interpreted as "growth in active cases," which is how some people view growth in total cases.

However, his second tweet is bad. He's using deaths/day on a Monday (Sundays and Mondays are the low days in reporting) as the metric to say IHME is way off and that we're a full "month ahead" of their curve. However, a more honest assessment would look at their total death prediction and see where we lie.

They forecast that we would be at 92,723 deaths yesterday, 5/18 - per worldometers.com we were at 91,981. I'd say their model is doing alright for now.
 
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It takes 66 days to form a habit. It has been 67 days since we were sent home from work and they starting shutting things down. I fear normal is long gone. People have become accustomed to this half life and I think a lot of them are going to take a long time to come around. Two months ago I did not think this would cause a recession. I severely underestimated the stupidity of our government. It’s possible this leads to a depression. And it’s all by government decree. I would guess this has never happened in recorded history. We’ve borrowed $5T and will borrow more to stave off a complete collapse our our economy. Because it was not politically expedient to run the risk that grandma might die two months earlier than expected. I hope all of this was worth it, because the elderly people we’ve saved are going to have a pretty **** final couple years here.
I believe both political parties Bear blame here. One showed immediately they would use it for political capital and the other was too afraid to make a stand and dig in.
 
After discussing this with the COS at Children's Hospital and doing some additional research, there is actually no convincing science that cloth masks provide any benefit. This isn't new material, and it's why we've never advocated mask use during flu season, the H1N1 pandemic, etc. Just FYI.
RR is pretty sharp.
 
However, his second tweet is bad. He's using deaths/day on a Monday (Sundays and Mondays are the low days in reporting) as the metric to say IHME is way off and that we're a full "month ahead" of their curve. However, a more honest assessment would look at their total death prediction and see where we lie.
Use seven-day moving average.
 

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