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Covid Casino

You have 100 chips to distribute your bets across the following scenarios:

1. Original "animal to human" (eg. wet market) theory
2. Lab-leak theory with a virus naturally found in nature escaping via infection of lab personnel
3. Lab-leak theory with MODIFIED virus escaping via infection of lab personnel
4. Intentional release by Chicoms

My bets:

1. 10
2. 40
3. 40
4. 10

(is this worth a separate thread?)
 
Covid Casino

You have 100 chips to distribute your bets across the following scenarios:

1. Original "animal to human" (eg. wet market) theory
2. Lab-leak theory with a virus naturally found in nature escaping via infection of lab personnel
3. Lab-leak theory with MODIFIED virus escaping via infection of lab personnel
4. Intentional release by Chicoms

My bets:

1. 10
2. 40
3. 40
4. 10

(is this worth a separate thread?)

No way I'm putting 10 on 1. Much less.
 
if there is verifiable evidence about the unique rarity of 4 polar positive amino acids in a row which strongly indicates engineering, that could be the "smoking gun".

If/when America is linked to the funding of the lab or the research, woah Nelly (as Keith Jackson would say).

Here's the paragraph from the MIT article that has me wondering just how messed up this could get.

"Relman says it’s also possible that scientists working with undisclosed and even more closely related coronaviruses—perhaps one with a furin cleavage site and another with the SARS-CoV-2 gene backbone—may have been tempted to create a recombinant virus so they could study its properties. Indeed, researchers at the Wuhan Institute of Virology initially failed to disclose that eight other SARS-like coronaviruses had been detected in samples collected from the same mine cave where RaTG13 was found. Workers who cleaned bat feces in that cave, located in Yunnan Province near the border with Laos, went on to develop severe respiratory disease, and at least one of them—and, perhaps more—died."
 
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Might be a worthwhile tradeoff for the next 60 years of his life.

Sounds like there is alot of self happening in that response.

Frankly, I dgaf. I've lived a good life, and my death would pay off all of our debts and pay for the kids' college.

My wife, however, has other thoughts.
 
Covid Casino

You have 100 chips to distribute your bets across the following scenarios:

1. Original "animal to human" (eg. wet market) theory
2. Lab-leak theory with a virus naturally found in nature escaping via infection of lab personnel
3. Lab-leak theory with MODIFIED virus escaping via infection of lab personnel
4. Intentional release by Chicoms

My bets:

1. 10
2. 40
3. 40
4. 10

(is this worth a separate thread?)

1. 5
2. 10
3. 75
4. 10

But my #3 is kinda split. I'm not stating with certainty they were developing something with nasty intent as a bioweapon. It's possible, but I also wouldn't be surprised if they took a naturally occurring animal virus and played around with the intent being scientific research that could be used for vaccine developlment. Seems like every year China has some new virus pop up. I do believe they were modifying for research at the very minimum.

But I also wouldn't be surprised if they, or other govts across the world for that matter, did bioweapon research and let something escape on accident.
 
Covid Casino

You have 100 chips to distribute your bets across the following scenarios:

1. Original "animal to human" (eg. wet market) theory
2. Lab-leak theory with a virus naturally found in nature escaping via infection of lab personnel
3. Lab-leak theory with MODIFIED virus escaping via infection of lab personnel
4. Intentional release by Chicoms

My bets:

1. 10
2. 40
3. 40
4. 10

(is this worth a separate thread?)
For the love of god let someone else start that one. You unleashed the Kracken with this one.
 
If memory serves, ebola spread to humans through people eating "bush meat" that they bought in nasty ass markets.

I'd go all in on a accidental leak from the lab.

SARS and others have been animal to human. AIDS too.

In this case there doesn't appear to be any evidence for the animal to human and considerable circumstantial evidence that it came from the lab.
 
Frankly, I dgaf. I've lived a good life, and my death would pay off all of our debts and pay for the kids' college.

My wife, however, has other thoughts.

So that actually sounds like me and lines up more with dont give my teenager a EAU vaccine.
 
1. 5
2. 10
3. 75
4. 10

But my #3 is kinda split. I'm not stating with certainty they were developing something with nasty intent as a bioweapon. It's possible, but I also wouldn't be surprised if they took a naturally occurring animal virus and played around with the intent being scientific research that could be used for vaccine developlment. Seems like every year China has some new virus pop up. I do believe they were modifying for research at the very minimum.

But I also wouldn't be surprised if they, or other govts across the world, did bioweapon research and let something escape on accident.

Yes. As I understand it GoF research is primarily designed to learn about virus behavior and do preventative science (eg. vaccine development). I don't doubt the Chicoms also do bioweapon development but as you suggest not all virus modification is bioweapon related (most is not - or at least the NIH type).

My intent with #3 was not to make a claim on the "why" of the modification.
 
Covid Casino

You have 100 chips to distribute your bets across the following scenarios:

1. Original "animal to human" (eg. wet market) theory
2. Lab-leak theory with a virus naturally found in nature escaping via infection of lab personnel
3. Lab-leak theory with MODIFIED virus escaping via infection of lab personnel
4. Intentional release by Chicoms

My bets:

1. 10
2. 40
3. 40
4. 10

(is this worth a separate thread?)

I’m going:

1. 0
2. 5
3. 85
4. 10
 
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If memory serves, ebola spread to humans through people eating "bush meat" that they bought in nasty ass markets.

I'd go all in on a accidental leak from the lab.
I would lean heavily towards an accidental leak from a lab as well. I do have a slight notion that the leak may have been intentional. Watching a lot of post-apocalyptic/zombie flicks helped fuel this idea too.
 
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Yes. As I understand it GoF research is primarily designed to learn about virus behavior and do preventative science (eg. vaccine development). I don't doubt the Chicoms also do bioweapon development but as you suggest not all virus modification is bioweapon related (most is not - or at least the NIH type).

My intent with #3 was not to make a claim on the "why" of the modification.
I didn't think it was, but I wanted to make the distinction since both could be included in the "modified" description.

I'm sure the "why" motivation definitely differs among users here.
 
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As I understand it, they have not found the intermediary host animal that supports the bat to intermediary to human theory (the "official theory").

Have they even found the exact virus in bats? or is it similar viruses.
 
Did Ebola have a chinese virus making lab next door?

I'm pretty sure that chinese take out joints in every strip mall in my town are fronts for China's biological warfare distribution hubs.

I've not been to West Africa, but if they have a Tasty Wok or Panda Express there, then yes.
 
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Covid Casino

You have 100 chips to distribute your bets across the following scenarios:

1. Original "animal to human" (eg. wet market) theory
2. Lab-leak theory with a virus naturally found in nature escaping via infection of lab personnel
3. Lab-leak theory with MODIFIED virus escaping via infection of lab personnel
4. Intentional release by Chicoms

My bets:

1. 10
2. 40
3. 40
4. 10

(is this worth a separate thread?)
My bet:

1. 0
2. 2
3. 96
4. 2
 
Covid Casino

You have 100 chips to distribute your bets across the following scenarios:

1. Original "animal to human" (eg. wet market) theory
2. Lab-leak theory with a virus naturally found in nature escaping via infection of lab personnel
3. Lab-leak theory with MODIFIED virus escaping via infection of lab personnel
4. Intentional release by Chicoms

My bets:

1. 10
2. 40
3. 40
4. 10

(is this worth a separate thread?)
1. 0
2. 0
3. 70
4. 30

Playing with house money right? So I'll lean towards my whack-job risky side.
 
if there is verifiable evidence about the unique rarity of 4 polar positive amino acids in a row which strongly indicates engineering, that could be the "smoking gun".

If/when America is linked to the funding of the lab or the research, woah Nelly (as Keith Jackson would say).
If acids don't fit.....?
 
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Reactions: McDad
Covid Casino

You have 100 chips to distribute your bets across the following scenarios:

1. Original "animal to human" (eg. wet market) theory
2. Lab-leak theory with a virus naturally found in nature escaping via infection of lab personnel
3. Lab-leak theory with MODIFIED virus escaping via infection of lab personnel
4. Intentional release by Chicoms

My bets:

1. 10
2. 40
3. 40
4. 10

(is this worth a separate thread?)
1. 0
2. 0
3. 1
4. 99
 
Covid Casino

You have 100 chips to distribute your bets across the following scenarios:

1. Original "animal to human" (eg. wet market) theory
2. Lab-leak theory with a virus naturally found in nature escaping via infection of lab personnel
3. Lab-leak theory with MODIFIED virus escaping via infection of lab personnel
4. Intentional release by Chicoms

My bets:

1. 10
2. 40
3. 40
4. 10
1. 0
2. 10
3. 45
4. 45

Too much coincidence and suspicious nature of the virus to be naturally-occurring and not related to that lab. Too much unexplainable about the situation in China for me not to suspect the Commie bastards of foul play (unless, of course, they really have secretly hidden a few million dead people).
 
1. 0
2. 10
3. 45
4. 45

Too much coincidence and suspicious nature of the virus to be naturally-occurring and not related to that lab. Too much unexplainable about the situation in China for me not to suspect the Commie bastards of foul play (unless, of course, they really have secretly hidden a few million dead people).

I like this bet also .
 
Covid Casino

You have 100 chips to distribute your bets across the following scenarios:

1. Original "animal to human" (eg. wet market) theory
2. Lab-leak theory with a virus naturally found in nature escaping via infection of lab personnel
3. Lab-leak theory with MODIFIED virus escaping via infection of lab personnel
4. Intentional release by Chicoms

My bets:

1. 10
2. 40
3. 40
4. 10

(is this worth a separate thread?)

I'll go with:

1. 0
2. 10
3. 70
4. 20
 

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