Latest Coronavirus - Yikes

#976
#976
Freak said:
The other issue with the numbers is I’ve seen various reports that they don’t even have enough test kits to meet the demand from those who are sick. I’ve also read that Identifying a positive test is labor intensive and likely severely backlogged.

Wuhan, China, faces such a shortage of coronavirus test-kits that people say getting one is like 'winning the lottery'
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And deaths aren't being investigated, people are being sent home to die it appears and respiratory illness or some other cause it's lasted as cause if death
 
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#982
#982
Orange_Vol1321 said:
Locking people in their apartments and entire buildings.




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So, basically....

DFYq8cDVYAIFMdM.jpg
 
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#986
#986
https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMoa2001316

Background

The initial cases of novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV)–infected pneumonia (NCIP) occurred in Wuhan, Hubei Province, China, in December 2019 and January 2020. We analyzed data on the first 425 confirmed cases in Wuhan to determine the epidemiologic characteristics of NCIP.

Methods

We collected information on demographic characteristics, exposure history, and illness timelines of laboratory-confirmed cases of NCIP that had been reported by January 22, 2020. We described characteristics of the cases and estimated the key epidemiologic time-delay distributions. In the early period of exponential growth, we estimated the epidemic doubling time and the basic reproductive number.
Results

Among the first 425 patients with confirmed NCIP, the median age was 59 years and 56% were male. The majority of cases (55%) with onset before January 1, 2020, were linked to the Huanan Seafood Wholesale Market, as compared with 8.6% of the subsequent cases. The mean incubation period was 5.2 days (95% confidence interval [CI], 4.1 to 7.0), with the 95th percentile of the distribution at 12.5 days. In its early stages, the epidemic doubled in size every 7.4 days. With a mean serial interval of 7.5 days (95% CI, 5.3 to 19), the basic reproductive number was estimated to be 2.2 (95% CI, 1.4 to 3.9).

Conclusions

On the basis of this information, there is evidence that human-to-human transmission has occurred among close contacts since the middle of December 2019. Considerable efforts to reduce transmission will be required to control outbreaks if similar dynamics apply elsewhere. Measures to prevent or reduce transmission should be implemented in populations at risk. (Funded by the Ministry of Science and Technology of China and others.)
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