Looking at the SEC picture right now

#29
#29
ConantheVolbarian said:
That Arkansas loss sucks even more. If we had won that game like we should have we'd be the lone undefeated team in the SEC right now and could afford to lose to Georgia next week. As it stands, next week is pretty much must win. It's looking less and less likely that we'd get into the playoff with 2 losses.
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But why? You'd have Texas with one loss, and Georgia, Ole Miss (but they lost to Kentucky) and Bama with two losses. We beat Bama already, so I can't see them jumping us. Hard to say Ole Miss has a better resume than us at this point.

Ole Miss would have to play Texas in the SEC championship, which might knock them out.
 
#30
#30
Hopefully, we can contribute significantly to the continuation of a statistical pattern Georgia has exhibited this season. According to a graphic posted on the broadcast of their game, Georgia had zero turnovers in their first three games but 15 over the course of the last six. May our defense unleash unholy havoc upon the Bulldogs' offense next Saturday.
 
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#31
#31
Look, obviously we should hope to win and that is the best scenario. BUT IF we lost to UGA we are still possible if not likely if we win out (assuming we dont get curb stomped in Athens). If we lose, the there can be only 1 one loss team in the SEC (Texas plays TAM). Assuming TAM gets beat, they would have 3 total losses and best win vs ( a less impressive after today) LSU. Again assuming 4 SEC teams, Texas being 1 with 1 SEC loss, IT is would be 3 out of UT, UGA, BAMA and Ole MS. If we don t get beat bad in Athens, we should be higher ranked than Ole MS.
 
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#33
#33
BP4Prez said:
Who goes to Atlanta if us, UGA, Bama, Ole Miss, and AM end up with 2 SEC losses?
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In the event of a tie between teams competing for a place in the Conference championship game, the following procedures will be used in descending order until the tie is broken:
  1. Head-to-head competition among the tied teams
  2. Record versus all common Conference opponents among the tied teams
  3. Record against highest (best) placed common Conference opponent in the Conference standings, and proceeding through the Conference standings among the tied teams
  4. Cumulative Conference winning percentage of all Conference opponents among the tied teams
  5. Capped relative total scoring margin versus all Conference opponents among the tied teams
  6. Random draw of the tied teams
 
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#34
#34
Winning on the road in the sec isn’t easy…you can say arky is a bad loss but also that we were lucky to beat Florida and bama scoring 0 first half points in both games. I’m just glad to be 8-1 and playing meaningful games this late in the season.
 
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#35
#35
Kicker82 said:
Winning on the road in the sec isn’t easy…you can say arky is a bad loss but also that we were lucky to beat Florida and bama scoring 0 first half points in both games. I’m just glad to be 8-1 and playing meaningful games this late in the season.
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It ain’t easy but to win championships you have to find a way. Georgia did it to Texas. Bama did it to LSU. Can we do it to Georgia?
 
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#37
#37
TrueOrange said:
In the event of a tie between teams competing for a place in the Conference championship game, the following procedures will be used in descending order until the tie is broken:
  1. Head-to-head competition among the tied teams
  2. Record versus all common Conference opponents among the tied teams
  3. Record against highest (best) placed common Conference opponent in the Conference standings, and proceeding through the Conference standings among the tied teams
  4. Cumulative Conference winning percentage of all Conference opponents among the tied teams
  5. Capped relative total scoring margin versus all Conference opponents among the tied teams
  6. Random draw of the tied teams
Click to expand...


According to this Scenario I assume if we lose to GA then Ole Miss goes to Atlanta. Us, GA and Bama all cancel each other out and AM lost to USC which Ole Miss beat
 
#39
#39
ConantheVolbarian said:
That Arkansas loss sucks even more. If we had won that game like we should have we'd be the lone undefeated team in the SEC right now and could afford to lose to Georgia next week. As it stands, next week is pretty much must win. It's looking less and less likely that we'd get into the playoff with 2 losses.
Click to expand...
You don't know that. Had we beat Arkansas, we might have lost to Bama. Situation totally changes
 
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#42
#42
BJWeeks said:
10-2 will get Vols in playoffs cause if they choose bama over us with the same record then things will be bad
Click to expand...
BJWeeks said:
10-2 will get Vols in playoffs cause if they choose bama over us with the same record then things will be bad
Click to expand...
A 10-2 Vol team that beat Bama but lost to Georgia and Arkansas on the road vs a 10-2 Bama that beat Georgia but lost to Tennessee and Vandy on the road…it won’t be as simple as saying we get in over bama because of head to head - Georgia gets in over us because of head to head and Bama gets in over Georgia because of head to head…it’s like an Escher drawing…
 
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#43
#43
 
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#44
#44
ConantheVolbarian said:
That Arkansas loss sucks even more. If we had won that game like we should have we'd be the lone undefeated team in the SEC right now and could afford to lose to Georgia next week. As it stands, next week is pretty much must win. It's looking less and less likely that we'd get into the playoff with 2 losses.
Click to expand...
Florida Alabama and Georgia are always must wins @ Tennessee. At least since the league split back in 92.

For recruiting purposes and our general respect as a program, we never could have afforded a loss to UGA. We are trying to ascend to the top of this League. Not sneak around the side door.

We are fighting to win the SEC first, then whatever comes next. There is a step by step process to this.

Nobody anywhere ever of significance stated that two losses would guarantee a playoff spot.

We were never likely to back slide into the playoffs without being one of the very best teams in this league.

If you can't beat UGA face to face you don't even need to be trying to sneak into the playoff where it is a great chance we'd have to beat them there.

To be the man you gotta beat the man. Or at least not run from him when you see him.

Sack up people. Damn!
 
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#46
#46
Atlanta would be nice, but id take a playoff birth over ATL right now.


The Vols will be favored in every game left on their schedule, outside of that road game at Georgia. However, that game is no longer a must win. Using ESPN's Allstate Playoff Predictor, Tennessee would have an 80 percent chance at making the playoff field with a 10-2 record, assuming that they lose to Georgia.
 
#47
#47
ConantheVolbarian said:
That Arkansas loss sucks even more. If we had won that game like we should have we'd be the lone undefeated team in the SEC right now and could afford to lose to Georgia next week. As it stands, next week is pretty much must win. It's looking less and less likely that we'd get into the playoff with 2 losses.
Click to expand...
With Miami losing and Iowa St. losing, It looks like this:
ACC gets their conf champion
Big12 gets their conf champion
Boise or Army gets in
Notre Dame is in, unless they get upset.
This leaves 8 spots. The Big 10 is almost a lock for 4 teams.
So the SEC gets 4 spots. The problem the SEC is likely to have 5 teams for those 4 spots. Who gets left out?
Pull for Penn st. to get upset, Notre Dame to get upset. If that happens the SEC would likely get 5 teams in.
 
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#50
#50
BJWeeks said:
10-2 will get Vols in playoffs cause if they choose bama over us with the same record then things will be bad
Click to expand...
Assuming we lose Saturday and win out, looking at ours and Bama's schedules, they have a more impressive resume. They beat Georgia, they beat LSU on the road, they beat South Carolina, they beat Wisconsin on the road, they beat Mizzou. All of which have better records than the teams we've beaten except Bama. I'm sorry but they have a more impressive resume than we do. That Arkansas loss looms larger and larger with each passing week. I don't think we make the playoffs without beating Georgia.
 
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