Lunardi's latest: Vols one of last four in

#231
#231
Even using the Cincy example, who got left out ranked 40 when the field was 65. Add 3 more teams and at worst that number is 43. Is there a chance we could be left out at 46? Yes, but I would say the odds are against it.
 
#232
#232
golfballs said:
Even using the Cincy example, who got left out ranked 40 when the field was 65. Add 3 more teams and at worst that number is 43. Is there a chance we could be left out at 46? Yes, but I would say the odds are against it.
Click to expand...

Right. I think inside of 50 and the odds of getting left out are pretty slim.
 
#233
#233
bleedingTNorange said:
1. Baylor's RPI was 62 on selection Sunday
2. It has been 3 years.
Click to expand...

I'm seeing 55 on Selection Sunday, but regardless, THREE years isn't a significant sample size either, when we're really talking about 4 or 5 high majors that are around the bubble. It's basically 12 to 15 teams that we have to draw from.
 
#235
#235
MemphisCanes said:
I'm seeing 55 on Selection Sunday, but regardless, THREE years isn't a significant sample size either, when we're really talking about 4 or 5 high majors that are around the bubble. It's basically 12 to 15 teams that we have to draw from.
Click to expand...

It's a decent enough sample size IMO to put some weight into at least.
 
#236
#236
The more recent the data, the more relevant it is - to whatever degree. I'd agree though it's not enough to be completely confident in. After the last few years I would still be a little nervous
 
#237
#237
golfballs said:
The more recent the data, the more relevant it is - to whatever degree. I'd agree though it's not enough to be completely confident in. After the last few years I would still be a little nervous
Click to expand...

I'd say anything over 45 and you've got butterflies when they're announcing the 11 and 12 seeds.
 
#238
#238
bleedingTNorange said:
Why because it doesn't fit your motive?

There's been about 200 teams get at large bids, and about triple that not, that's a pretty decent sample size.
Click to expand...

What motive is that.....I have said many times I think we make it in. The only one that seems to have a motive is u.
3 yrs is not a big sample size no matter what u want to say.
 
#241
#241
volbeast33 said:
It's three yrs of no tourney and bad recruiting.....it's not fair to have to prove yourself early in your coaching career but that's what happens when u make a million dollars at your job.
Click to expand...

Like i said, 3 years worth of data and 60 or so teams is plenty enough to make a assumptions off of.
 
#244
#244
volbeast33 said:
That's what I'm saying it looks good for us but BTO talks in absolutes....next yr we could be talking about how only one team has missed the tourney with an rpi in the 40's and it be us.
Click to expand...

lol I was just bustin his chops. I hear ya tho. We need to be thinking if it possibly can happen, it probably will. Not if it hasn't happened yet, it assumedly won't.

We are Tennessee
 
#245
#245
volbeast33 said:
That's what I'm saying it looks good for us but BTO talks in absolutes....next yr we could be talking about how only one team has missed the tourney with an rpi in the 40's and it be us.
Click to expand...

If people don't understand there are no absolutes when it comes to the NCAA that's their own fault.
 
#246
#246
bleedingTNorange said:
Right. I think inside of 50 and the odds of getting left out are pretty slim.
Click to expand...
Here's a list of the highest to be left out.
I'll leave it to you to explain them away.
1997 RPI 29 Texas Tech
2006 RPI 21 Missouri St
2006 RPI 30 Hofstra
2007 RPI 30 Air force
2008 RPI 32 Dayton
 
#247
#247
calban said:
Here's a list of the highest to be left out.
I'll leave it to you to explain them away.
1997 RPI 29 Texas Tech
2006 RPI 21 Missouri St
2006 RPI 30 Hofstra
2007 RPI 30 Air force
2008 RPI 32 Dayton
Click to expand...

Right, some of those aren't high majors (actually just 1 is), and none of those are since the field expanded to 68.
 
#248
#248
bleedingTNorange said:
Right, some of those aren't high majors (actually just 1 is), and none of those are since the field expanded to 68.
Click to expand...
Just because it hasn't happened since they expanded the field doesn't mean it can't.
Here's a link that shows some of the stats on the subject for those interested.
RPI/NCAA Trivia
 
Last edited:
#249
#249
calban said:
Just because it hasn't happened since they expanded the field doesn't mean it can't.
Here's a link that shows some of the stats on the subject for those interested.
http://www.collegerpi.com/subs/rpitrivia.html;
Click to expand...

Right, and I guess just because a conference tournament winner has never been left out doesn't mean it can't happen either. At this point it becomes about probabilities, the probability of making the dance with a RPI better than 50 is about 99.9%.
 
#250
#250
bleedingTNorange said:
Right, and I guess just because a conference tournament winner has never been left out doesn't mean it can't happen either. At this point it becomes about probabilities, the probability of making the dance with a RPI better than 50 is about 99.9%.
Click to expand...

Where do you get that stat. 99.9%?
 
New posts
You must log in or register to reply here.

VN Store



Back
Top