No one knows.
The bids were sent in weeks ago so it's nothing we could do now.
Outside money, does the committee look at pre-regional resume or post-regional resume seems to be the biggest point.
The committee seemingly- and wrongly, had SoMiss as better team when regionals were decided. Maybe?
On 5/22/2023 Tennessee was #20 in RPI and Southern Miss was #21. Very close indeed. That was the Monday before the conference tourneys
In 6/5/2023 Tennessee is 12 and Southern Miss is #18 with the Eagles playing another game against #100 Penn (Penn is actually up 16 spots from last week) so a win against a team they already beat would not jump them ahead of Tennessee. In fact, Warren Nolan has them staying at 18 with a win against Penn.
...........................................Tennessee...........................Southern Miss
Overall. . . . . . . . . . . 41-19. . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44-18
Home. . . . . . . . . . . 33-5l. . . . . . . . . . . . . . .26-5
Road. . . . . . . . . . .5-12. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12-10
Neutral. . . . . . . . . . . 3-2. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6-3
Conference. . . . . . . . 16-14. . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15-8
Non Conf. . . . . . . . . . 22-4. . . . . . . . . . . . . . .15-8
Post Season. . . . . . . . .3-1. . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . 7-2
Last 10 . . . . . . . . . . . .7-3 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8-2
RPI. . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18
Non Conf RPI. . . . . . .39. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 63
SOS. . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 45
Non Conf SOS. . . . . . 162. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .53
Tourney Teams. . . . . .16-12. . . . . . . . . . .. . . .13-6
ELO. . . . . . . . . . .. . . . 4. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .13
Warren Nolan computer picks SoMiss to win 5-4 today (54% probability)
Obviously, Tennessee's SEC schedule explains every number above. Tennessee
Southern Miss against the SEC
2/28 n Miss. State 9-10 L
3/7 @ Ole Miss 5-11 L
4/11 @ Alabama 0-13 L
6/3 @ Auburn 7-2 W
Their biggest RPI boost is a home sweep against #14 DBU in 3 close games.
USM lost 2/3 at Coastal. USM was blown out own in 2 games 7-15 and 7-20 and won last 15-7
They have one bad loss to Valpo (won 2 more)
The drag on Tennessee's RPI is that freak loss to Tennessee Tech
Even the losses to Georgia and Missouri are not bad as they are 41 and 45 respectively.
The last half of the SEC schedule was the mirror opposite of first
First 15 5-10
Last 15 11-4
The RPI would have been higher had
Looking back at the first half of season
LSU 4-6 2-5 14-7
Arkansas 2-5 3-6 2-7
Florida 1-6 3-9 14-2
2 of those series were on road and the Vols played relatively close in all 6 of the games and outscored LSU on the series
Florida beat Tennessee moderate well in first 2 games and Vols still outscored in series with mercy rule win in game 3.
We recall losing the games but most of those games were lost in VERY bad first innings if you recall.
Texas A&M played Vols tough in every game and it's no surprise they played well in Hoover and so far in Stanford.
that being said, if we lose the bid, it's because of Missouri in the tundra and Tennessee Tech.