Official Bubble Watch Thread

[bleedingTNorange]

TIme to add Auburn to the bubble list imo.
Rpi is inside of 60 now with a lot of winnable games left on their schedule.

Check my last list

 

[Catbone]

I think UGA is a must win

 

[bleedingTNorange]

I think UGA is a must win

4-3 is a must

 

[Catbone]

4-3 is a must

Does it matter who those wins and losses are, or are we good as long as we get 4 wins?

 

[BruinVol]

4-3 is a must

Yep. Getting to 4 doesn't have to have Georgia but it would be nice.

 

[BruinVol]

Does it matter who those wins and losses are, or are we good as long as we get 4 wins?

As long as one of the losses isn't to Mizzu I say no

 

[Catbone]

As long as one of the losses isn't to Mizzu I say no

I like our chances then.

Man its fun being on the right side of the bubble when we were supposed to be 13th in SEC Barnes should be SEC coach of year if we get in

 

[VolGee4]

As long as one of the losses isn't to Mizzu I say no

The RPI won't change. It would just be a bad loss, but that means we beat two of UGA, Bama, UK, or USC. Really don't think it matters.

 

[BruinVol]

The RPI won't change. It would just be a bad loss, but that means we beat two of UGA, Bama, UK, or USC. Really don't think it matters.

Maybe not but a bad loss isn't something we need to have and give the committee a reason to time us away.

Georgia, Bama, LSU and Vandy could be the 4 in that scenario

 

[calban]

The RPI won't change. It would just be a bad loss, but that means we beat two of UGA, Bama, UK, or USC. Really don't think it matters.

Sure changed Arkansas'.

 

[VolGee4]

Sure changed Arkansas'.

I agree that we need to beat Mizzou but playing Mizzou by itself will hurt our RPI because their record is terrible. Maybe I am wrong, but I don't think it changes much if we lose to Mizzou and beat Bama as opposed to beat Mizzou and lose to Bama.

 

[bleedingTNorange]

Does it matter who those wins and losses are, or are we good as long as we get 4 wins?

don't lose to LSU or Missouri and rest is fine

 

[bleedingTNorange]

Yep. Getting to 4 doesn't have to have Georgia but it would be nice.

If we are gonna lose 3 SC/UK/UGA/VU are the best teams to do it against.

 

[bleedingTNorange]

The RPI won't change. It would just be a bad loss, but that means we beat two of UGA, Bama, UK, or USC. Really don't think it matters.

A loss at home to Missouri would effect our RPI

 

[golfballs]

Thanks.

So you think 18-13 gets us in. Is that because of RPI and SOS?

Edit: for the record I am not challenging your thinking. I trust your opinion. Talking with some friends about our chances to make the dance.

I think 18-13 would put us in a play-in

 

[bleedingTNorange]

I agree that we need to beat Mizzou but playing Mizzou by itself will hurt our RPI because their record is terrible. Maybe I am wrong, but I don't think it changes much if we lose to Mizzou and beat Bama as opposed to beat Mizzou and lose to Bama.

If you lose to Missouri and beat Bama it drops about 10 spots, if you lose to Bama and beat Missouri it pretty much stays the same, maybe drops 1-2 spots.

If 4-3 is outcome ideal scenario is beat Vandy, Alabama, LSU and Missouri...lose to Georgia, Kentucky and South Carolina.

 

[Dallasbowlin]

I like our chances then.

Man its fun being on the right side of the bubble when we were supposed to be 13th in SEC Barnes should be SEC coach of year if we get in

And grant sec foy

 

[bleedingTNorange]

I think 18-13 would put us in a play-in

Regardless of SECT?

 

[calban]

A loss at home to Missouri would effect our RPI

Just playing them will affect it. You could beat them and still drop a couple of spots. Isn't that one of the reasons our final rpi is projected in the 40s?

 

[bleedingTNorange]

And grant sec foy

Lmao, I love Grant but no way Monk doesn't get/deserve it

 

[bleedingTNorange]

Just playing them will affect it. You could beat them and still drop a couple of spots. Isn't that one of the reasons our final rpi is projected in the 40s?

Yup exactly, but it's gonna drop much more with a loss than a win

 

[VolGee4]

If you lose to Missouri and beat Bama it drops about 10 spots, if you lose to Bama and beat Missouri it pretty much stays the same, maybe drops 1-2 spots.

If 4-3 is outcome ideal scenario is beat Vandy, Alabama, LSU and Missouri...lose to Georgia, Kentucky and South Carolina.

Based on how I understand the formula, I don't understand how that happens. Losing home games is bad regardless, but Mizzou and Bama are both at home. The formula doesn't consider who you beat or lose to but merely your record and your opponents' records. Would like to know how that happens.

 

[BigZiti09]

I think 18-13 would put us in a play-in

For the sanity of all those involved I am considering the play in game as being in the tournament.

 

[golfballs]

Regardless of SECT?

No, but if we were to lose our first SECT game to a bad team I wouldn't feel too good

 

[golfballs]

For the sanity of all those involved I am considering the play in game as being in the tournament.

I 100% consider it to be the tournament. I know that's been a hot topic before...