Official Bubble Watch Thread

[508mikey]

https://fivethirtyeight.com/feature...cks-march-madness-teams/?ex_cid=story-twitter end of RPI it looks like

 

[Lankykong]

https://fivethirtyeight.com/feature...cks-march-madness-teams/?ex_cid=story-twitter end of RPI it looks like

Next year, yeah. I hope they use KenPom.

 

[VolnJC]

GT has taken the lead vs Syracuse...still no chance that GT win could become a quality win?

 

[bleedingTNorange]

GT has taken the lead vs Syracuse...still no chance that GT win could become a quality win?

If they win out...but if they do that they take a bubble spot.

 

[bleedingTNorange]

Sundays Games to Watch:

Georgetown vs. Creighton
Loyola-Chicago vs. Illinois State
Syracuse vs. Georgia Tech
Michigan vs. Minnesota

Creighton wins
Loyola-Chicago loses
Georgie Tech wins

 

[VolnJC]

If they win out...but if they do that they take a bubble spot.

Lunardi had Syracuse as one of the last four in and GT one of the first four out...wonder if GT might jump us since they had a better win?

 

[bleedingTNorange]

Lunardi had Syracuse as one of the last four in and GT one of the first four out...wonder if GT might jump us since they had a better win?

I would think they'll just swap with 'Cuse

 

[VolnJC]

Minnesota and Michigan headed to OT Michigan was one of Lunardi's last four byes

 

[bleedingTNorange]

Michigan hits about a 38 footer with 2 seconds left to tie the ball game, headed to OT...I swear I would always foul up 3 with under 8 seconds at the end of games.

 

[bleedingTNorange]

Creighton wins
Loyola-Chicago loses
Georgie Tech wins
Minnesota wins

 

[Lankykong]

Minnesota won in overtime!

 

[bleedingTNorange]

IMO...

Iowa State
California
Miami
Arkansas
Kansas State
Michigan
TCU
Michigan State
Seton Hall
Tennessee
Wake Forest
Illinois State
---------------------------
Providence
Marquette
Pittsburgh
Georgia Tech
Clemson
Georgia
Illinois
Alabama
Vanderbilt
Georgetown
Syracuse

 

[bleedingTNorange]

to finish with a RPI inside of 50...

Iowa State: 1-3(@TTU, Baylor, Ok. St., @WVU)
California: 2-2(Oregon, Oregon St., @Utah, @Col.)
Miami: 1-3(@Virginia, Duke, @VT, @FSU)
Arkansas: 1-3(A&M, @Aub, @UF, Georgia)
Kansas State: 2-2(Ok St, @Ok, @TCU, TTU)
Michigan: 3-1(@Rut, Purdue, @NW, @Neb)
TCU: 3-1(@Kansas, WVU, K St, @Oklahoma)
Michigan State: 2-2(Neb, Wisc, @Illini, @MD)
Seton Hall: 3-1(Xav, @Depaul, Gtown, @Butler)
Tennessee: 3-1(Vandy, @SC, @LSU, Bama)
Wake Forest: 1-2(Pitt, UL, @VT)
Illinois State N/A
-------------------------------------
Providence: 4-0(@Creighton, Marq, Dep, @SJU)
Marquette: 4-0(SJU, @Prov, @Xav, Creighton)
Pittsburgh: 2-2 (@WF, UNC, @GT, Virginia)
Georgia Tech: 4-0(NCST,@ND,Pitt,@Cuse)
Clemson: 4-0(@VT, FSU, NCST, BC)
Georgia: 4-0(@Bama, LSU, Auburn, @Ark)
Illinois: 4-0(NW, @Neb, Mich St, @Rut)
Alabama: 4-0 (UGA, @A&M, Ole Miss, @UT)
Vanderbilt: 2-2(@Tenn, Miss St, @UK, UF)
Georgetown: 4-0(Dep,@SJU,@SH,Nova)
Syracuse: 3-0(@GT, Duke, @UL, GT)

 

[Catbone]

Is a top 50 RPI close to a lock to be in tourney?

Sorry I'm a virgin bballer

 

[BruinVol]

Marquette is a problem if its head to head. I bet they get in.


Really good day today.

 

[bleedingTNorange]

Is a top 50 RPI close to a lock to be in tourney?

Sorry I'm a virgin bballer

Yes, only 1 team has ever been left out with a top 50 RPI and SOS which Tennessee would have...now that doesn't mean you have no chance of getting in if RPI is outside top 50, but chances are much better if it's inside that mark.

 

[bleedingTNorange]

So I've not dove into it enough yet, anybody looked into SECT and come up with best seed possibility?? It looks to me like 5-7th seed is most likely.

4th. Arkansas-A&M, @Aub, @UF, UGA
4th: Alabama-UGA, @A&M, OM, @UT
6th: Ole Miss-@MST, Mizz, @Bama, USC
6th: Tennessee-Vandy, @USC, @LSU, Bama
6th: Vanderbilt-@UT, MST, @UK, UF

So hypothetically let's say Arkansas goes 3-1, Bama 2-2, Ole Miss 2-2, UT 3-1 and Vandy 1-3...

4th: Arkansas 12-6
5th: Alabama 11-7
6th: Tennessee 10-8
7th: Ole Miss 9-9
8th: Vanderbilt 8-10

So if Vols go 3-1 it seems 5th or 6th seed is likely most probable seed...only difference really would be possibility of playing SC or Arkansas if we won our first game.

 

[LittleCat]

So I've not dove into it enough yet, anybody looked into SECT and come up with best seed possibility?? It looks to me like 5-7th seed is most likely.

https://www.teamrankings.com/ncb/conference-tournaments/sec-bracket/

I'd rather be a 6 or 7 than a 5 to avoid the 1. Say you were a 6, you'd get 11 or 14, then the 3. Not a terrible draw.

 

[Power T-Rev]

As of today give me your NCAA tournament appearance chance.

30% ish maybe?

A little high for you IMO

 

[bleedingTNorange]

https://www.teamrankings.com/ncb/conference-tournaments/sec-bracket/

I'd rather be a 6 or 7 than a 5 to avoid the 1. Say you were a 6, you'd get 11 or 14, then the 3. Not a terrible draw.

I wouldn't wanna be the 7 as you play the 2 seed in your 2nd game...I would say being a 5 or 6 seed is likely the best seed to try and make a run.

 

[Catbone]

Yes, only 1 team has ever been left out with a top 50 RPI and SOS which Tennessee would have...now that doesn't mean you have no chance of getting in if RPI is outside top 50, but chances are much better if it's inside that mark.

Interesting. Thanks

 

[BruinVol]

Don't care what the seed in the SEC is as long as we win 3 more games. With all these teams losing we might not even have to win one game much less 2.

 

[LittleCat]

Bracket Matrix has UT in the first four out, with Georgia Tech, Wake Forest, and Clemson.

 

[bleedingTNorange]

I had already eliminated Utah but some still had them on the radar, just lost to a 4 win Oregon State team so they're definitely done now.

 

[calban]

Yes, only 1 team has ever been left out with a top 50 RPI and SOS which Tennessee would have...now that doesn't mean you have no chance of getting in if RPI is outside top 50, but chances are much better if it's inside that mark.

Who's that? florida last season?