Official Bubble Watch Thread

[Catbone]

Good God almighty miss st sucks

 

[Lankykong]

State gon lose in OT

 

[Lankykong]

Good God almighty miss st sucks

They look dead out there- like actually dead.

Safe to quit watching now

 

[BruinVol]

I don't know if it's been mentioned in the 1600+ posts in this thread, but 3 or 4 bubbles burst every year because of conference tournament results.

Very unlikely that happens this year. Maybe 1 or 2 at the most

 

[bleedingTNorange]

Southern Cal
Northwestern
California
Arkansas
Michigan
Michigan State
Kansas State
TCU
Seton Hall
Tennessee
Marquette
Illinois State
---------------------------
Wake Forest
Providence
Pittsburgh
Georgia
Illinois
Georgetown
**must win out regular season for teams below this mark to have a chance imo**
Rhode Island
Alabama
Ole Miss
Ohio State
Penn State
Auburn
Boise State
Nevada
Vanderbilt
Indiana
Georgia Tech
Clemson
Syracuse

 

[HighWaterVol]

Vandy
USC (road)
Bama (if it were away I would put it 2nd)
LSU

Agree

 

[VolnJC]

Indiana gonna lose to Iowa in OT

 

[VolnJC]

Indiana is now done 15-13 and 5-10 in Big10

 

[appyvol]

Indiana is finished.

 

[bleedingTNorange]

Wednesday's Games to Watch:

TENNESSEE vs. Vanderbilt

Michigan vs. Rutgers
Duke vs. Syracuse
Pittsburgh vs. Wake Forest
TCU vs. Kansas
Southern Illinois vs. Illinois State
DePaul vs. Georgetown
Xavier vs. Seton Hall
Texas A&M vs. Arkansas
Oregon vs. California
Oklahoma State vs. Kansas State
Connecticut vs. Houston
Providence vs. Creighton
Boise State vs. Nevada

 

[Catbone]

Wednesday's Games to Watch:

TENNESSEE vs. Vanderbilt

Michigan vs. Rutgers
Duke vs. Syracuse
Pittsburgh vs. Wake Forest
TCU vs. Kansas
Southern Illinois vs. Illinois State
DePaul vs. Georgetown
Xavier vs. Seton Hall
Texas A&M vs. Arkansas
Oregon vs. California
Oklahoma State vs. Kansas State
Connecticut vs. Houston
Providence vs. Creighton
Boise State vs. Nevada

Thanks bto. Big day tomorrow

Should UGA vs Bama both be bolded games too?

 

[bleedingTNorange]

Thanks bto. Big day tomorrow

No problem. Hoping for a Vols win, if they get the W I think you'll see them in most brackets (except Palm) heading forward.

 

[appyvol]

As weak as this bubble is, it's hard for me to say anyone is done haha. But many on life support.

Edit: I said IU was finished, but would have a strong case if they can win out and make a run in their tourney.

 

[Lankykong]

As weak as this bubble is, it's hard for me to say anyone is done haha. But many on life support.

Edit: I said IU was finished, but would have a strong case if they can win out and make a run in their tourney.

Yep. As basically all bubble teams are losing a lot, it's hard to definitively place mediocre teams as out.

 

[BruinVol]

Thanks bto. Big day tomorrow

Should UGA vs Bama both be bolded games too?

They don't play until Thursday

 

[Catbone]

They don't play until Thursday

My b you're right

 

[MphsBlues]

We win tomorrow. First of all, Vandy sucks. Second, it's Vandy. VOLS by 7.

 

[VolnJC]

Good news we are projected as a 1 seed bad news Bama and UTC are in our bracket
Current NIT Bracketology

 

[508mikey]

Indiana is finished.

Creen might be out the door at IU also

 

[bleedingTNorange]

Updated seed list, also broken into the finish each team needs to likely make the field IMO..

Need 1-3:
Virginia Tech
South Carolina
Southern Cal
Northwestern
Arkansas

Need 2-2:
California
Michigan
Michigan State

Need 3-1:
Kansas State
TCU
Seton Hall
Tennessee

Need 3-0:
Marquette
Illinois State
---------------------------
Need 3-1:
Wake Forest
Pittsburgh
Georgia
Georgetown
Providence
Illinois

Need 4-0:
Nevada
Vanderbilt
Rhode Island
Boise State
Alabama
Ole Miss
Clemson
Georgia Tech
Syracuse
Penn State
Ohio State
Indiana
Auburn

 

[BruinVol]

Updated seed list, also broken into the finish each team needs to likely make the field IMO..

Need 1-3:
Virginia Tech
South Carolina
Southern Cal
Northwestern
Arkansas

Need 2-2:
California
Michigan
Michigan State

Need 3-1:
Kansas State
TCU
Seton Hall
Tennessee

Need 3-0:
Marquette
Illinois State
---------------------------
Need 3-1:
Wake Forest
Pittsburgh
Georgia
Georgetown
Providence
Illinois

Need 4-0:
Nevada
Vanderbilt
Rhode Island
Boise State
Alabama
Ole Miss
Clemson
Georgia Tech
Syracuse
Penn State
Ohio State
Indiana
Auburn

You saying some teams have to win a game in the tourney?

You has some teams listed having to win 4 games but they only play 3

 

[calban]

Don't we actually need a 4-0 finish just to be in the conversation?
W/L is a very small part of the equation.
If we beat Vandy tonight we drop them out of our 1-50 win column.
Many of the teams we are competing with have 3 or 4 top 50 wins.
we're back to 1 with Vandy dropping out again.
We probably need to beat USC and then come up with another top 50 in the SECT to be considered. JMO

 

[BruinVol]

Don't we actually need a 4-0 finish just to be in the conversation?
W/L is a very small part of the equation.
If we beat Vandy tonight we drop them out of our 1-50 win column.
Many of the teams we are competing with have 3 or 4 top 50 wins.
we're back to 1 with Vandy dropping out again.
We probably need to beat USC and then come up with another top 50 in the SECT to be considered. JMO

No

 

[v011s]

Don't we actually need a 4-0 finish just to be in the conversation?
W/L is a very small part of the equation.
If we beat Vandy tonight we drop them out of our 1-50 win column.
Many of the teams we are competing with have 3 or 4 top 50 wins.
we're back to 1 with Vandy dropping out again.
We probably need to beat USC and then come up with another top 50 in the SECT to be considered. JMO

Yeah, I feel like 1 Top50 win is pretty rough at the bubble.

SOS and RPI might be better, but losing a lot to a good schedule doesn't say a whole lot.

 

[bleedingTNorange]

You saying some teams have to win a game in the tourney?

You has some teams listed having to win 4 games but they only play 3

Not considering tourney games at this point. I didn't separate which teams have 2/3/4 games left, maybe should've just bracketed it: can lose 2, can lose 1, can't lose any instead.