Official Seed List Watch Party Thread

Expanding to 5 seeds…

1. Purdue
2. Alabama
3. Houston
4. Kansas
———————
5. Arizona
6. Texas
7. UCLA
8. Tennessee
———————
9. Baylor
10. Virginia
11. Kansas State
12. Xavier
———————
13. Iowa State
14. Connecticut
15. Marquette
16. Gonzaga
———————
17. Indiana
18. St. Mary’s
19. TCU
20. Miami
Looks like the matrix got an update today and we slipped to #9 which is unsurprising. Big week for us this week.
 
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Tonight’s games:
7:00pm: Miami vs. North Carolina
9:00pm: Texas vs. Texas Tech
9:00pm: West Virginia vs. Baylor
North Carolina and Baylor lost but probably what was the biggest of the 3 Texas Tech beat Texas, that’s #60 NET Texas Tech btw. Yet another Top 10 team losing to an unranked team.
 
North Carolina and Baylor lost but probably what was the biggest of the 3 Texas Tech beat Texas, that’s #60 NET Texas Tech btw. Yet another Top 10 team losing to an unranked team.
Watching that UNC game last night, it's hard to fathom that this team was in the national championship game last year with nearly all the same guys. Their offensive flow was terrible, and it looks like defenses can pack it in on Bacot because they don't appear to have any shooters. I'm not even sure Bacot touched the ball more than twice in the last 10 minutes. He was in foul trouble, but even when he was in there they couldn't or wouldn't get him the ball.
 
Tonight’s games:
7:00pm: Virginia vs. Louisville
7:00pm: Xavier vs. Marquette
9:00pm: Indiana vs. Northwestern
9:00pm: TCU vs. Iowa State

Xavier/Marquette & TCU/Iowa State are double edged games, just go with the home team as usual as road wins are more impressive, but good and bad coming from those regardless.
 
We’ve talked a lot about this team not having as many Q1 wins as other grand etc, but does any other team in the country have 3 NET Top 10 wins? It doesn’t appear so from what I’ve saw, so while we currently don’t have a bunch of Q1 wins we’ve got the best Top wins resume out there.
 
We’ve talked a lot about this team not having as many Q1 wins as other grand etc, but does any other team in the country have 3 NET Top 10 wins? It doesn’t appear so from what I’ve saw, so while we currently don’t have a bunch of Q1 wins we’ve got the best Top wins resume out there.
And four of our last five games are currently Q1. Opportunities abound.
 
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Vols back to the top 2 seed. That was a big win!


Very nice, but I still hate that a Kansas team we blew out is ahead of us. At least they didn't also put Texas ahead of us. Maybe if Baylor knocks them off this weekend we'll jump ahead of them, though Baylor might jump us at that point (even though we beat the number 1 team).
 
If the season ended today, I would be frustrated that Texas is ahead of us in Lunardi’s eyes. I’m not sure their resume is any better than ours. They have better losses, we have better wins IMO. And we have the head to head.
Their resume is quite a bit better, actually. We have the nicer collection of top-shelf wins, maybe, but they have 12 Q1 wins where we have only played 8 total Q1 games (6-2). They have 3 wins against the AP top-10, same as us, they have one less loss, and they have much better losses (all 5 to ranked teams).
 
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If the season ended today, I would be frustrated that Texas is ahead of us in Lunardi’s eyes. I’m not sure their resume is any better than ours. They have better losses, we have better wins IMO. And we have the head to head.

Am I reading the seed list wrong? I thought it was from left to right which would mean TN is ahead of TX in this projection.
 
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Their resume is quite a bit better, actually. We have the nicer collection of top-shelf wins, maybe, but they have 12 Q1 wins where we have only played 8 total Q1 games (6-2). They have 3 wins against the AP top-10, same as us, they have one less loss, and they have much better losses (all 5 to ranked teams).

NET shows that they are 9-6 in Q1. Combing Q1 and Q2, they are 11-6, and we are 9-6. I don’t disagree with your point, but we will probably have 4 more Q1 games.

Edit: you must have been looking at Kansas’ numbers.
 
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Their resume is quite a bit better, actually. We have the nicer collection of top-shelf wins, maybe, but they have 12 Q1 wins where we have only played 8 total Q1 games (6-2). They have 3 wins against the AP top-10, same as us, they have one less loss, and they have much better losses (all 5 to ranked teams).

I believe that is Kansas’s resume. Texas has 6 losses.
 
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My bad…somehow I read Texas as Kansas in your post.

All good! Texas still does have quite a few more Q1 games than us. So your point isn’t necessarily wrong. But, we’re 3rd in the NET as of the latest update and I think that helps counter some of those Q1 differences. We’ll see. A ton of basketball left to be played, and while we have a difficult road ahead Texas is even tougher.

Upcoming
Q2 Home(66) Oklahoma 02/18/2023
Q1Home (15)19 Iowa St. 02/21/2023
Q1Away (10) 9 Baylor 02/25/2023
Q1Away (24) 22 TCU 03/01/2023
Q1Home(7) 5 Kansas03/04/2023

If they survive that gauntlet they’ll deserve a 2-seed.
 

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