Official Seed List Watch Party Thread

#29
#29
Willy14 said:
Maybe we can get Arizona to drop one Saturday @Washington. They already lost @Oregon
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They’re behind us so I don’t think it’s a huge deal, UCLA was closer so that was nice…realistically at this point we just need to win, we are in the favorable spot of pretty much controlling our own seeding at this point. I’ll gladly take losses in front and around us but most important thing is for us to just keep winning.
 
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#30
#30
bleedingTNorange said:
They’re behind us so I don’t think it’s a huge deal, UCLA was closer so that was nice…realistically at this point we just need to win, we are in the favorable spot of pretty much controlling our own seeding at this point. I’ll gladly take losses in front and around us but most important thing is for us to just keep winning.
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Agreed. We control our fate. Other teams will lose. I think if we can just close out with no more than 3 more losses we’ll be in the conversation for a 1-seed, but at the worst a top 2-seed.
 
#31
#31
TheMookieMonster said:
Agreed. We control our fate. Other teams will lose. I think if we can just close out with no more than 3 more losses we’ll be in the conversation for a 1-seed, but at the worst a top 2-seed.
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Yup, said the other day hopefully 8-3 or better to close out the year, a win Saturday and that becomes much more likely of a scenario.
 
#32
#32
bleedingTNorange said:
Yup, said the other day hopefully 8-3 or better to close out the year, a win Saturday and that becomes much more likely of a scenario.
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Tomorrow is big. We need a couple more “signature” wins on the resume. Kansas is kind of carrying the load so far. We haven’t had a ton of chances for quality wins yet, but certainly more are coming.
 
#33
#33
TheMookieMonster said:
Tomorrow is big. We need a couple more “signature” wins on the resume. Kansas is kind of carrying the load so far. We haven’t had a ton of chances for quality wins yet, but certainly more are coming.
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If I counted correctly we currently have 8 of 11 remaining games that would be Q1…

Texas 1
@Florida 1
Auburn 1
@Vandy 2
Missouri 2
Alabama 1
@kentucky 1
@Texas A&M 1
South Carolina 4
Arkansas 1
@Auburn 1


Need to win @Vandy, Missouri @ South Carolina…then 5-3 or better against the other 8 ideally.
 
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#34
#34
TheMookieMonster said:
Tomorrow is big. We need a couple more “signature” wins on the resume. Kansas is kind of carrying the load so far. We haven’t had a ton of chances for quality wins yet, but certainly more are coming.
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USC keeps looking like a better and better win. Really wish they hadn’t dropped that game to Florida Gulf Coast though
 
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#35
#35
Current Resume looks like this:

Quad 1: 3-1
Quad 2: 4-2
Quad 3: 4-0
Quad 4: 6-0

As it stands now, we have 8 Q1 games, 2 Q2 games, and 1 Q4 game remaining. But things can and will shift based on opponents rising and falling through the ranks.

Best case scenario is we end up with 15 Q1 regular season games (requires current Q1 teams to stay Q1, KY to go from #33 to top 30, USC to go from #52 to top 50, and for Colorado to from #63 to top 50). Then let's say 2 more Q1 games in the SEC tournament to give us 17 Q1 games. Realistically, I don't think we'll get that many because 1) I don't think Colorado is going to rise that much and 2) Arkansas and Auburn are barely clinging to the top 30, and if they fall out, our home games against them go to Q2.

I'll guess that our final quadrant breakout looks like (going to put us in the SEC tournament final just for kicks), but there are still quite a few moving targets here:

Q1: 15 games
Q2: 8 games
Q3: 5 games
Q4: 6 games

Last year we ended up with 18 Q1 games prior to the NCAA tournament. This year it looks like we'll end up with the same number of Q3/Q4 games as last year. The difference is last year we had 6 Q1 games in the non-conference and this year we'll have 5 max, and last year we played Ky, Arkansas, and a strong LSU team twice each, whereas this year we only play the top of the conference once each (other than KY).

So I guess my point in all this is to say that we have a bunch of Q1 games coming up, and we need to make the most of those opportunities to keep a 1 seed on the table.
 
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#36
#36
Little Saturday reset, I will still post Top 20 seeds but a win today and I will remove 5 seed from consideration and just go 1-16 at that point. I’m going to post the order in which it currently is, updated yesterday, but if you go by just yesterdays updated brackets Tennessee is #4 and Kansas at #5, but with outdated brackets still being considered those 2 are just about tied at 4/5 with Kansas having the slight edge…

1. Purdue
2. Alabama
3. Houston
4. Kansas
———————
5. Tennessee
6. Arizona
7. UCLA
8. Texas
———————
9. Kansas State
10. Iowa State
11. Virginia
12. Xavier
———————
13. Gonzaga
14. Baylor
15. Marquette
16. TCU
———————
17. Connecticut
18. Rutgers
19. Miami
20. Auburn
 
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#37
#37
Todays games:
12pm: Boston College vs. Virginia
12pm: Auburn vs. West Virginia
12:15pm: Xavier vs. Creighton
2pm: Alabama vs. Oklahoma
2pm: Iowa State vs. Missouri
2pm: Marquette vs. DePaul
2:15pm: Cincinnati vs. Houston
4pm: TCU vs. Mississippi State
4pm: Arkansas vs. Baylor
4pm: Miami vs. Pittsburgh
5:30pm: Arizona vs. Washington
6pm: Florida vs. Kansas State
7pm: Gonzaga vs. Portland
8pm: Kansas vs. Kentucky


10/14 teams we want to win are playing at home, should be some good opportunities.
 
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#38
#38
bleedingTNorange said:
Todays games:
12pm: Boston College vs. Virginia
12pm: Auburn vs. West Virginia
12:15pm: Xavier vs. Creighton
2pm: Alabama vs. Oklahoma
2pm: Iowa State vs. Missouri
2pm: Marquette vs. DePaul
2:15pm: Cincinnati vs. Houston
4pm: TCU vs. Mississippi State
4pm: Arkansas vs. Baylor
4pm: Miami vs. Pittsburgh
5:30pm: Arizona vs. Washington
6pm: Florida vs. Kansas State
7pm: Gonzaga vs. Portland
8pm: Kansas vs. Kentucky


10/14 teams we want to win are playing at home, should be some good opportunities.
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So far so good, West Virginia and Creighton won, missouri and Oklahoma are both winning by double digits
 
#40
#40
bleedingTNorange said:
Yup, couldn’t ask for much better of a start, would be amazing if Oklahoma holds on. Fwiw Houston is down 7 at half as well 😬
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Jeez didn’t even notice that one. Could end up being a huge day for us. We really gotta take care of business tonight
 
#41
#41
Provided Tennessee wins tonight, you couldn't ask for a better day with Alabama pretty much guaranteed to lose at this point/Houston down six with 15 minutes left/Iowa State getting manhandled alongside Kansas being an underdog in Rupp.
 
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#46
#46
bleedingTNorange said:
Realistically a home loss to Cincinnati might be enough to push us past Houston even if we were to lose, but rather not find out, take advantage!
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Win tonight the best we can do is be AP #2 and maybe even the second 1 seed. No way we pass Purdue with their 8 Q1 wins. Honestly kind of crazy they already have that many
 
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