Official what games to pay attention to thread...

#1,176
#1,176
If Georgia beats Vandy....wow! I'll be the most excited non Bulldawg fan on the block. I can't stand those guys and it would be pretty awesome to draw Georgia in round two if we get by Ole Miss.
 
#1,177
#1,177
ionaVOL said:
I really think Lunardi might be way off his usual pace this year. Some very confusing teams on his list, starting with Drexel. So much still to be decided this weekend.
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Lunardi is always all over the place during championship week. Hell start moving bubble teams around inexplicably (moving teams that win, and have team lose in front of them, farther out of the dance, and vice versa). He usually comes to the correct configuration by Sunday, but he makes me scratch my head around this time every year.
 
#1,179
#1,179
Is there a chance miss.state could get in but not us? I don't see it with their 8-8 conference record but I haven't analyzed their record.
 
#1,180
#1,180
calban said:
Don't know if it's been mentioned, but the GA win took away one of our 100+ losses.
We now show 3. Most of the other bubble teams have 3 or more.
If they beat Vandy it sticks.
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That definitely gives us a reason to root for UGA.

It's kind of a risk/reward proposition. We are definitely better off beating Vandy. But how would we stand if we don't have to beat a good team in order to get to the SEC finals? We already have a higher number of good wins compared to a lot of bubble teams. It's our bad-losses that are hurting us, getting UGA out of that category would help. (Even though at the time, it was a bad loss). At the same time, if Vandy loses back to back games, us and UGA, would it tarnish the quality of our win against them last week?
 
#1,183
#1,183
golfballs03 said:
That definitely gives us a reason to root for UGA.

It's kind of a risk/reward proposition. We are definitely better off beating Vandy. But how would we stand if we don't have to beat a good team in order to get to the SEC finals? We already have a higher number of good wins compared to a lot of bubble teams. It's our bad-losses that are hurting us, getting UGA out of that category would help. (Even though at the time, it was a bad loss). At the same time, if Vandy loses back to back games, us and UGA, would it tarnish the quality of our win against them last week?
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Vandy would still be a top 50 win.
As you say, losing the 4th bad loss would help us more on resume.
 
#1,184
#1,184
calban said:
Vandy would still be a top 50 win.
As you say, losing the 4th bad loss would help us more on resume.
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I could get behind that. Although a loss to Georgia Saturday would do a lot more damage than a loss to Vandy, a loss to Georgia is also less likely.
 
#1,185
#1,185
Incipient said:
I could get behind that. Although a loss to Georgia Saturday would do a lot more damage than a loss to Vandy, a loss to Georgia is also less likely.
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Loss to Vandy might give us a higher seed in the NIT.
 
#1,187
#1,187
If we beat ole miss and beat georgia it still may not do enough for our rpi to get us in. We may need to beat uk in the championship game under that scenario.
 
#1,191
#1,191
I don't think a loss to Vandy would doom us to the NIT. We'd still have a reasonable shot for one of the last at large spots, IMO
 
#1,196
#1,196
Incipient said:
Are we even sure that a 1-1 finish would put us 75+. We're at 76 right now. It wouldn't be that crazy to go 1-1 and finish at, say, 74, would it?
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We're at 77 on most boards.
We're not going to jump much because the teams around us that we needed to lose have won.
With 1-1 we'll probably drop more than we rise.
 
#1,197
#1,197
calban said:
We're at 77 on most boards.
We're not going to jump much because the teams around us that we needed to lose have won.
With 1-1 we'll probably drop more than we rise.
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I still feel like we ought to have a chance with one given how terrible the bubble is, but I also think the RPI is a fairly terrible measure, and if they have too much emphasis on it, we definitely have to win two.

So. . . let's go Vols, let's go Dawgs!
 
#1,198
#1,198
MemphisCanes said:
Lunardi is always all over the place during championship week. Hell start moving bubble teams around inexplicably (moving teams that win, and have team lose in front of them, farther out of the dance, and vice versa). He usually comes to the correct configuration by Sunday, but he makes me scratch my head around this time every year.
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It's no secret that he gets inside knowledge. Just pay attention to his last bracket update and you'll see why. He will make moves for teams that haven't seen the light of day for no reason
 
#1,200
#1,200
Jerry Palm says if we go 1-1 in the SECT, we have about a 30% chance of making the field.

We need to win two games to have a decent shot of making the NCAAT.
 
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