Official what games to pay attention to thread...

[Manvol]

Like a batting avg. In August your RPI isnt going to change much this time of year we need to keep winning.

 

[MemphisCanes]

It's no secret that he gets inside knowledge. Just pay attention to his last bracket update and you'll see why. He will make moves for teams that haven't seen the light of day for no reason

Bingo.

 

[golfballs]

Not totally bubble-related, except for Colorado State's involvement, but I expect the last three games of the Mountain West tournament to be great. They should all be close, IMO

 

[bleedingTNorange]

If we beat ole miss and beat georgia it still may not do enough for our rpi to get us in. We may need to beat uk in the championship game under that scenario.

Throw the RPI out the window right now, it doesn't matter with this team anymore.

 

[bleedingTNorange]

A 1-1 finish would put us at 75+.
Automatic out.

I'm pretty certain a 73 has made it before, and that was a 64 team field.

I don't think losing to Vandy is an automatic knock out game.

I think well be reliant on the bubble teams losing, but still a shot.

 

[MemphisCanes]

I'm pretty certain a 73 has made it before, and that was a 64 team field.

I don't think losing to Vandy is an automatic knock out game.

I think well be reliant on the bubble teams losing, but still a shot.

Not in the past decade.

 

[ionaVOL]

This was before last nights games, which I would think only helped UT's case.

NCAA Tournament Bubble Watch: Iona and BYU Are In, For Now | The Big Lead

A win or two from UT has to put them into the field, completely different team with Stokes in the fold. IMO that will hold a lot of weight with the committee.

 

[bleedingTNorange]

Not in the past decade.

I didn't say it was, just saying a team has made it.

I could e wrong but I was thinking it was mid 90's and they were a 73.

 

[MSUDuo]

I didn't say it was, just saying a team has made it.

I could e wrong but I was thinking it was mid 90's and they were a 73.

New Mexico in 1998 I believe

 

[MemphisCanes]

New Mexico in 1998 I believe

UNM either has the 70+ RPI in the 90s or the 64 RPI in the past few years, can't remember which.

On a brighter note, a 70+ RPI has made it before, and there are two more at large bids now than there were then.

 

[therealitytheory]

Historical RPIs are okay, but UT's situation with Stokes is unique.

The whole point of having a selection committee is to examine unique situations, trends, and intangibles. Otherwise, the NCAA should forego a committee altogether and just follow some computer index in order :cough:: BCS ::cough:: ).

 

[MemphisCanes]

Umass putting it on Temple right now. UMass may have to get to the A-10 finals to get into the bubble convo though.

 

[golfballs]

Here are the odds of each team reaching the benchmark set by Lunardi to be safe entering selection Sunday:

Cal (avoid bad loss).......................100%
West Va (avoid bad loss)...............100%
Uconn (avoid badd loss)................100%
S Miss (avoid bad loss).................100%
Saint Louis (avoid bad loss)...........67.2%
Miami (2 wins)..............................47.0%
Colorado St (2 wins)......................45.1%
NC State (2 wins).........................44.7%
Arizona (win the Pac12)................30.52%
Texas (2 wins)..............................27.6%
Tennessee (2 wins).......................24.4%
St Joes (make the finals)...............22.33%
Xavier (2 wins)..............................18.66%
Dayton (make finals).....................16.28%
Seton Hall (2 wins)........................0%
Miss St (1 win)..............................0%
S Florida (beat ND)........................0%
Washington (1 good win)................0%
Oregon (2 wins).............................0%
Northwestern (2 wins).....................0%

Here are the updated odds. I changed Arizona - Lunardi originally said if they make the finals they would maybe be a lock, but I think that's impossible. However, their odds to steal a bid and win the Pac12 tournament are at 30%. That's a standard you can compare the rest of the odds at.

One concerning aspect of Lunardi's S-curve is that the last 4 teams in area all done playing. I'm not sure a loss by the teams still alive that are ahead of them will cause them to drop far enough to fall out of the field. Win 2 and we're guaranteed in - even if that 2nd win comes against Georgia. JMO

 

[MemphisCanes]

Doesn't Lunardi have Miss St in his "Last 4 In" right now?

That's ridiculous. RPI 71, SOS 70, 5-5 vs top 100. two 100+ losses. 3-6 on the road.

Nothing redeeming, State is out.

 

[bleedingTNorange]

Doesn't Lunardi have Miss St in his "Last 4 In" right now?

That's ridiculous. RPI 71, SOS 70, 5-5 vs top 100. two 100+ losses. 3-6 on the road.

Nothing redeeming, State is out.

Yes.

And Washington.

What a joke.

I think those teams fall out though with others, like a Tennessee winning.

Jmo

 

[MemphisCanes]

Yes.

And Washington.

What a joke.

I think those teams fall out though with others, like a Tennessee winning.

Jmo

Washington: 68 RPI, 83 SOS, 0-6 vs top 50, 2 100+ losses, 6-5 road record.

Ugly.

 

[Escape Goat]

Tennessee is still out according to lunardi. S Florida stays in the field, Miss State stays in the field and Washington too.

That is a joke!!

Absolute horrible joke. Im done listening to that clown if he still has MSU still in after a 1 & done in the tournament.

 

[Escape Goat]

The new biggest skeptic is Jerry Palm. We're still not even in his first four out. Ole Miss is his first team out.

Haha

 

[golfballs]

Doesn't Lunardi have Miss St in his "Last 4 In" right now?

That's ridiculous. RPI 71, SOS 70, 5-5 vs top 100. two 100+ losses. 3-6 on the road.

Nothing redeeming, State is out.

yeah, those are odds that the teams become a lock for the tournament

 

[golfballs]

UVA - 65
NC State - 62

 

[Mullins2010]

The new biggest skeptic is Jerry Palm. We're still not even in his first four out. Ole Miss is his first team out.

Palm also has NC State and Northwestern in...hahaha

 

[Mullins2010]

Umass beats Temple

 

[bleedingTNorange]

Washington: 68 RPI, 83 SOS, 0-6 vs top 50, 2 100+ losses, 6-5 road record.

Ugly.

As I said, I think if a few of those teams that are just barely out win, they'll bump out Washington and Mississippi state, maybe even drexel.

If Tennessee wins tonight we should have a better idea.

 

[Escape Goat]

As I said, I think if a few of those teams that are just barely out win, they'll bump out Washington and Mississippi state, maybe even drexel.

If Tennessee wins tonight we should have a better idea.

When are the other games (SEC) today? I take it we are the night cap.

 

[MemphisCanes]

As I said, I think if a few of those teams that are just barely out win, they'll bump out Washington and Mississippi state, maybe even drexel.

If Tennessee wins tonight we should have a better idea.

Even if the tournaments ended right now, Miss State's resume still wouldn't get them in. Lunardi is just a lazy turd.