Our only chance of a home game is Penn State getting blown out by Oregon.

[DaddyChad]

Oregon is better off to lose this game and get the five seed. That first seed is a damn death sentence. They’ll play the winner of TN and OhioState OR they get a home game in Eugene against Arizona at or Iowa St then play Boise in the bowl game.

 

[UT97Vol]

There's no way they'll have TN and UGA matchup in the first round. If Oregon and Texas both win, either the rankings will stay exactly the same or Penn State will flip flop spots with Ohio State. Matching up TN with UGA would also match up Penn State and Indiana, a Big Ten matchup. I think there's almost zero chance that happens.

+/- 1 in either direction but none of them will include us getting a home game im afraid.

 

[SayUWantAreVOLution]

Oregon is better off to lose this game and get the five seed. That first seed is a damn death sentence. They’ll play the winner of TN and OhioState OR they get a home game in Eugene against Arizona at or Iowa St then play Boise in the bowl game.

The bye, though, rather than play 2 games before the championships.

They've already beaten tOSU and probably think they'd beat us or them easily in the Rose Bowl.

Plus, the chance to go undefeated and get a Natty.

 

[reecetn]

Lets go on the road. They will have no excuses when we win!!!

 

[VolArmy74]

If the favorites win...

1. Oregon (1)
2. Texas (2)
3. Notre Dame (5)
4. Ohio St (6)
5. Penn St (7)
6. UGA (8)
7. Tennessee (9)

We play at Georgia

If the favorites lose...
1. Penn St (1)
2. Oregon (2)
3. Notre Dame (5)
4. Georgia (6)
5. Texas (7)
6. Ohio St. (8)
7. Tennessee (9)

Tennessee at Ohio State

Oregon will not be a 2 seed if they lose to PSU. They will fall to 5.

 

[Exfix]

Reality is that we will have a hard time moving up with only conference championships left, but what scenarios present a realistic shot at a home game?

My best guess is Penn State, or possibly GA/TX losing badly. The other possibility is if one of those teams QBs has a season ending injury (I am NOT hoping for this) and the committee penalizes them like they did FSU past year. Thoughts?

 

[UT97Vol]

Some of you are in for a shock at how little CCG losers drop.

 

[Go47]

Some of you are in for a shock at how little CCG losers drop.

Yes.

 

[Carl Pickens]

The committee seems to be rewarding big wins more than they are punishing teams for a bad loss. OSU’s loss to Michigan is about equal to our loss to Arkansas, but OSU has two top 10 wins in Penn State and Indiana, which was their justification for putting them ahead of us. However, Penn State’s best win is Illinois, which is the only top 25 win they have beaten (Illinois is 21 right now in the CFP rankings). Their next best win I guess would be Minnesota, who is 7-5 and unranked. And the best team they beat, Illinois…their best win is 7-5 Michigan. On the other hand, our best win is Alabama, whose best win is Georgia followed by South Carolina. So if Penn State loses to Oregon, especially if they lose bad (which I think is fairly likely), I could definitely see them following below us. For what it’s worth, I don’t think UGA will fall below us for losing to Texas, especially with them having the head to head over us. But if Penn State falls below us and Ohio State, then Ohio State moves up to the 7th seed and Tennessee to the 8th seed, in which case we likely host Penn State (or maybe even Indiana).

The playoff committee is obviously BIG biased….. I don’t think even an ass kicking would knock PSU down behind the Vols.
This system is trash. How’d you like to be OSU,TN or Oregon? The current bracket is a freaking joke

 

[Woodlawn VOL]

Yes they can. He said that exact thing. Now, I don't think Texas would stay two. Maybe 3, 4, or 5, but they aren't going behind us. Penn St is in the Big 10. The Big 10 is in control of this thing. If they fall at all, which they probably won't it's one place or - at most - directly behind Ohio St.

One thing is clear after Tuesday night. There is no way in hell they are allowing Tennessee to have a home game against a Big 10 team.

What he said was teams not playing will be judged and moved. But that doesn’t mean Teams playing in conference games can’t be moved, they most definitely will. If Texas loses the will move, same with everyone else. If Oregon loses they probably at least move to 2, if Georgia loses they aren’t going to stay at 5. Now if there close games they may not move much, but if some teams get spanked in conference game they are going to drop. Not necessarily out of playoffs but enough to cause some shuffling no doubt about that. GBO

 

[UT97Vol]

What he said was teams not playing will be judged and moved. But that doesn’t mean Teams playing in conference games can’t be moved, they most definitely will. If Texas loses the will move, same with everyone else. If Oregon loses they probably at least move to 2, if Georgia loses they aren’t going to stay at 5. Now if there close games they may not move much, but if some teams get spanked in conference game they are going to drop. Not necessarily out of playoffs but enough to cause some shuffling no doubt about that. GBO

That might happened but he also specifically brought up not having teams move at all using TCU as an example a couple of years ago.

And there seems to be more public attention and pressure on premise of devaluing CCGs which may be influencing them (even though I don’t think that’s their responsibility).

 

[VolCalls]

Ummm..my money is on the gumps...and so is everyone's on the committee lol

I’ll place a wager on that.

 

[OrangeUTopia]

Neither GA or Texas will drop below Tenn with a loss.

Oregon wouldn't drop below us if they lose either. If Penn St loses I think the furthest they would drop would be one spot below Ohio St.

Tennessee isn't going to have a home playoff game. We will play at Ohio St or Penn St.

 

[Vfl2407]

Neither GA or Texas will drop below Tenn with a loss.

Oregon wouldn't drop below us if they lose either. If Penn St loses I think the furthest they would drop would be one spot below Ohio St.

Tennessee isn't going to have a home playoff game. We will play at Ohio St or Penn St.

That’s probably true.
But I’m still going to pull for Oregon and Texas blowouts.

 

[vegasvolfan]

They sure moved teams up and down on their regular season bye weeks based on the outcomes of other games played. What's the difference?

Well I was corrected. Apparently, the panel guy was referring to teams not playing outside of the final 12. So, the only teams that have a chance are those already in or are still playing. Clemson, UNLV and Iowa St. are the only examples I can think of. I guess they figured a bye week only lasted until all games were played. Meaning that same team could lose that was moved up the next week a team won that was moved the previous week.

 

[UT97Vol]

Pate has Texas and Oregon winning and says neither Penn St nor UGA will drop.

But he also went through all the scenarios and in every one he says Tenn at Ohio State is locked in. FanDuel doesn’t even include Tenn in the odds to be 8th seed. Only Ohio Sr, Penn St or Georgia.

 

[Chad F]

We aren’t hosting a playoff game. Feels like the committee would make the math work against us regardless of what transpires this weekend.

So, just go win on the road. Figure out how to NOT fold in the hostile environment (and likely cold temperatures). This team has it in them to do it . . . We just need to actually do it now.

 

[ALLVOL 4LIFE]

Haven’t read the entire thread, but at this point, the ONLY way we host a game is:
1)Clemson beats SMU and is a 10, 11, or 12 seed.
2)***if SMU loses and drop to at least a 9 seed
3)Penn State gets smashed & the committee forced to a big drop
4)Boise or Notre Dame going to the 4 seed
5)the other the 5 seed

 

[ALLVOL 4LIFE]

Haven’t read the entire thread, but at this point, the ONLY way we host a game is:
1)Clemson beats SMU and is a 10, 11, or 12 seed.
2)***if SMU loses and drop to at least a 9 seed
3)Penn State gets smashed & the committee forced to a big drop
4)Boise or Notre Dame going to the 4 seed
5)the other the 5 seed

Either way I‘m great with beating a weak B1G team round 1 and an undefeated B1G team round 2.

 

[Woodlawn VOL]

+/- 1 in either direction but none of them will include us getting a home game im afraid.

Who cares we will play anywhere. I still agree with him there is a chance we could play at Penn St. But at this point it doesn’t matter, like Heupel said put the ball on the ground and let’s get it on! Where we play is where we play!!!! GBO

 

[vol_sec]

UT could move up to #4 in the coaches and AP poll. Hopefully they do, because it would be crazy to be in the top 4 in either poll, but still 9th seed in the playoffs rankings. I think the committee would be forced to move UT up by dropping a loser behind them.

 

[Vfl2407]

Pate has Texas and Oregon winning and says neither Penn St nor UGA will drop.

But he also went through all the scenarios and in every one he says Tenn at Ohio State is locked in. FanDuel doesn’t even include Tenn in the odds to be 8th seed. Only Ohio Sr, Penn St or Georgia.

The question is not about Texas and Oregon “winning”. It’s what does the committee do if they win in blowouts.
That’s what Tennessee needs to force the committee to relook at the seedlings.

 

[UT97Vol]

Who cares we will play anywhere. I still agree with him there is a chance we could play at Penn St. But at this point it doesn’t matter, like Heupel said put the ball on the ground and let’s get it on! Where we play is where we play!!!! GBO

I care. Because I wanted to go. And we are a great team at home and an average team on the road. There are lots of reasons to care.

 

[UT97Vol]

Haven’t read the entire thread, but at this point, the ONLY way we host a game is:
1)Clemson beats SMU and is a 10, 11, or 12 seed.
2)***if SMU loses and drop to at least a 9 seed
3)Penn State gets smashed & the committee forced to a big drop
4)Boise or Notre Dame going to the 4 seed
5)the other the 5 seed

Trolling? 1, 4 are not possible and I think everyone should know this by now.

 

[dieseldaddy]

That doesn't help us at all - that is what could knock Bama out of the playoffs, but it does non influence our position.

Not really much for us to root for today, I know there are outcomes that can affect our seeding ,but not really any vested interest. So my default is whatever screws bama is good for us. In general ,buck fama but in particular BUCK FAMA.