Path to a #1 seed

We are not below Houston on the seed line. When the Selection Committee released the top 16 seeds last week, we were #5 overall and Houston was #8. I don't know where anyone is getting the idea Houston has moved ahead of us other than making it up in their own heads.

As long as we win our last 4 regular season games, we will be a #1 seed because we would have passed Bama and Houston is still behind us.
The problem is that since the initial reveal, Houston has reeled off 4 straight Q1 wins, 3 of them on the road. We've only played 2 games, 1 of them a Q2 game and 1 a nice Q1 road win. It's really not that crazy to think they might have passed us at this point. We won't know for sure because the resumes are still incomplete. If we win out, I agree that we should get a 1 seed, but it might be at the expense of Florida/Bama instead of Houston.
 
It's wild that we win vs a top 7 team on the road and dropped in Lunardi's thinking when no games were played. But they have came in line with the net rankings, except in regards to Alabama.
 
The problem is that since the initial reveal, Houston has reeled off 4 straight Q1 wins, 3 of them on the road. We've only played 2 games, 1 of them a Q2 game and 1 a nice Q1 road win. It's really not that crazy to think they might have passed us at this point. We won't know for sure because the resumes are still incomplete. If we win out, I agree that we should get a 1 seed, but it might be at the expense of Florida/Bama instead of Houston.
I think we all agree there are four teams vying for the final two #1 seeds: Alabama, Florida, Tennessee, and Houston. The initial reveal had those four ranked 2, 4, 5, and 8. #2 has lost twice since then. If they lose again this weekend, I think they're eliminated from contention.

We just need to keep winning - starting tonight in Baton Rouge.
 
I don’t buy most of it! The only outside shot is UT vs UF in the final and UF getting completely run out of the building. To be honest I’d take the 2 seed as the path isn’t bad. Could be the cold drinks talking while on spring break.IMG_3780.jpeg
 




Not sure I buy it?
What about you?
I think for sure it will determine what #2 seed goes to Midwest/East

After his "Tennessee is a #3, and Kentucky is a #2, no matter what happens," when we beat them and won the SECT, I take him at his word in these situations. He's no great prognosticator but he has a source on the committee that directly tells him these things. These kind of things are what the committee wants known.
 
Lunardi isn’t a highly ranked Bracketologist as he’s ranked outside the Top 100. And a lot of you (including myself) don’t take his word as gospel because there are definitely things that he misses on. But there are specific tidbits and statements that he makes every year that sometimes doesn’t make sense. Specifically when he stated in 2022 that Kentucky would be a 2-seed and Tennessee would be a 3-seed no matter what happened and at the time, it was hardly understandable. And it turned out, that’s exactly what happened.

Now he states that Tennessee, UF, and Bama are all still fighting for a 1-seed and the team that advances the furthest may just be the one that gets it. I am fully under the impression that he does get fed some information or has some sort of insight on a few things. Because if you asked me, I wouldn’t think we’d have any chance and that Florida should get it. I will have to see it to believe it but maybe there’s a possibility.

**This may mean that we gotta root for Kentucky. At least they’ll be going against Bama which will make it a little easier to do. And let’s hope Missouri is fed up with losing to end the season and they get hot and knock Florida off again.
 
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Not sure I buy it?
What about you?
I think for sure it will determine what #2 seed goes to Midwest/East

This makes no sense to me.
They are assuming that it will be
TN vs AU
FL vs Bama.
If AU, FL , and Bama loses their first games and TN wins but loses their second game ?
That wouldn’t be enough to put TN as the last 1 seed .
My guess is that he means if all 4 end up winning the 1st game then if Bama or TN wins the championship , they are 1 seed
 
This makes no sense to me.
They are assuming that it will be
TN vs AU
FL vs Bama.
If AU, FL , and Bama loses their first games and TN wins but loses their second game ?
That wouldn’t be enough to put TN as the last 1 seed .
My guess is that he means if all 4 end up winning the 1st game then if Bama or TN wins the championship , they are 1 seed
No, that’s not what he’s saying. He’s saying exactly what you took it to say initially, whichever team of the 3 that comes away from Nashville with the most wins sill get the 1 in his opinion.
 
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Not sure I buy it?
What about you?
I think for sure it will determine what #2 seed goes to Midwest/East

My heart wants to believe it, but my head tells me that this is just an attempt to drum up interest/ratings for the conference tournament for ESPN's flagship conference by ESPN's NCAAT mouthpiece.
 
My heart wants to believe it, but my head tells me that this is just an attempt to drum up interest/ratings for the conference tournament for ESPN's flagship conference by ESPN's NCAAT mouthpiece.
My hope is that it’s both…I’m sure the committee has heard (both in basketball & football) that the conference tournaments have essentially become pointless and that many are suggesting to just punt on them, or play walk on’s. Obviously this would be awful for those in charge and they don’t want to see that happen, maybe they’ve had it suggested to them that they need to put an emphasis on the conference tournaments and that this year with the SEC is a perfect example/time to do it.
 
No, that’s not what he’s saying. He’s saying exactly what you took it to say initially, whichever team of the 3 that comes away from Nashville with the most wins sill get the 1 in his opinion.
But it's possible that NONE will have more wins than the other. Possible that 2 win Friday but both lose Saturday. So then who gets the 1 seed? There has to be at least a 1.a, 1.b, 1.c situation.
 
This makes no sense to me.
They are assuming that it will be
TN vs AU
FL vs Bama.
If AU, FL , and Bama loses their first games and TN wins but loses their second game ?
That wouldn’t be enough to put TN as the last 1 seed .
My guess is that he means if all 4 end up winning the 1st game then if Bama or TN wins the championship , they are 1 seed
They will have determined the #1 seed long before the SEC Championship game is played. Unfortunately at this point Winning / playing in the Championship game means zero - except less rest and the possibility of a banner.
 
But it's possible that NONE will have more wins than the other. Possible that 2 win Friday but both lose Saturday. So then who gets the 1 seed? There has to be at least a 1.a, 1.b, 1.c situation.
Unfortunately they do not have to have any "situations". If they aren't already determined - they will be done after Saturdays games at the latest.
 
Let’s just win the darn thing and then figure out how much it mattered. In the past it hasn’t mattered but us winning it by beating A&M, Auburn and either Florida or Bama would be tough to ignore.
 
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But it's possible that NONE will have more wins than the other. Possible that 2 win Friday but both lose Saturday. So then who gets the 1 seed? There has to be at least a 1.a, 1.b, 1.c situation.
Depends on who the two are. IMO if it’s down to us and Bama, we get it due to the H2H win. If Florida & Bama, Florida gets it for the same reason, if us and Florida, who knows?
 
Hoping for complete chaos on their side of the bracket, but it’s likely going to require winning the whole thing to get the 1 seed. Don’t see UF/Bama both losing before Sunday.
 
Its subjective and relative. If one of the three wins the SEC tournament they have a good argument.

But if they beat one of the other two by 5 points or less to do it, its less of an argument.

If one gets blown out tomorrow, its an argument.

But if the others lose Saturday or also Friday, its less of an argument.

As a Florida fan if we get caught watching the paint dry tomorrow and as a result end up as a # 2 I'll be irritated, but forget it the moment the ball is tipped in our first NCAA tourney game. I'd say that for all of us the coaches need to warn the players about buying too much into their own hype, else the season come to a screeching halt against an upstart.

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