Predictions for the Arkansas game?

#26
#26
Yeah Notae is a great player but just an average shooter. Arkansas doesn't shoot the 3 well as a whole but Stanley Umude is shooting 43% in SEC play from deep so he can get hot. Arkansas leads the SEC in free throw attempts and makes so getting to the line is the main priority. The winning streak started after we went to a bigger lineup and our defense got monumentally better and we got more physical. If the refs aren't calling many fouls though then we struggle sometimes trying to constantly draw them and turning it over instead.
Every matchup I can think of almost evens out. Arky is just an average 3-point shooting team but TN gets loose sometimes guarding the 3. Arky will want to get out and run but TN defense is stout and transition defense is way better than earlier in the season. This one will be close (probably very very close). The 2 things Arky may have in its favor is home floor and their depth to matchup with TN’s depth. Arky has 4 guys averaging double figures and 2 more guys averaging about 9 points. That’s almost 6 players averaging double figures. TN defense will have to be locked in once again. Bud Walton is a very tough place to play and hasn’t been nice to us in the past. The past decade, the Vols are 0-6 at Bud Walton Arena. Let’s see if we can’t change that in a few days.
 
#27
#27
This Saturday's game against Arkansas is going to be a real test, I think that game will be one of the more crazy environments we will see our Vols play in this season.


Really reluctant to do this especially
after a monster win, but my Orange sunglasses are blinding my vision.

Vols win 96-91.

The Vols seem to be picking up on that type of championship swagger they had during the Grant/Schofield days and I won't pick against them until they give me a reason to.

I agree seems like something changed they were and have been high road type respectful young men.Sometimes ppl take that as a weakness. Lately it seems like they have a all for 1 & 1 for all swagger mentality . You can tell they are all in and a tight group.
 
#30
#30
This Saturday's game against Arkansas is going to be a real test, I think that game will be one of the more crazy environments we will see our Vols play in this season.

Really reluctant to do this especially after a monster win, but my Orange sunglasses are blinding my vision.

Vols win 96-91.

The Vols seem to be picking up on that type of championship swagger they had during the Grant/Schofield days and I won't pick against them until they give me a reason to.
I highly doubt the Vols win if their defense has a complete meltdown like that, but I won't be surprised if the Vols win in the neighborhood of 75-65.
 
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#32
#32
8 straight SEC wins. After each of them, we expected a let down loss. It just hasn’t happened. If we went into Ms. State where they were 12-1 at home, no reason we can’t go into Arkansas and come out victorious.

I definitely agree, BUT the Miss State and Bud Walton environments aren't really comparable lol. Starkville had like half the arena empty when we were down there last week. Saturday will see Bud Walton packed to the gills and every bit as rowdy as the Auburn game. That's a much taller order. I think we can do it though.
 
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#33
#33
If Plav and BHH get more minutes than Aidoo and Fulky we lose 74-71

If the opposite holds true and our guards stay out of foul trouble we win 78-69
 
#38
#38
I want to go to the game on Saturday, but I'm not paying $200 for a single in the upper level. They must be crazy-excited about their team.
 
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#39
#39
Been watching some of Arkansas’ most recent games. They tend to shoot a little better on the road and their big guy (Williams) is becoming a very consistent piece for them. But when he is out of the game, which isn’t very often, their size in the post is insanely small. The next tallest guy is 6’7”. We need to attack the rim and work the offensive glass and try to get him in foul trouble. If he’s out, we will have a big size advantage in the post. I believe this game will be more of a drive and kick type of game. Can’t afford to sit on the perimeter and hope to win off the 3-ball. The more I watch of them the better I feel because if they get in foul trouble, things start to change in a hurry.
 
#40
#40
Definitely going to be a bad beat. Too jacked after last night. Plus, we a very poor 3-ball shooting team on the road games.

That should be our last loss before we go on to win the SEC Tournament and NCAA Championship.

That’s my take too. I say we lose Saturday and win the rest.
 
#44
#44
That’s my take too. I say we lose Saturday and win the rest.
BPI also believes we finish with only one more loss to finish 23-7, though their Matchup Predictor still gives us a 59.6% chance to win at Arkansas, the lowest of our remaining games. For comparison, they gave us less of a chance at beating UK in Knoxville (something like 55%).
 
#46
#46
This Saturday's game against Arkansas is going to be a real test, I think that game will be one of the more crazy environments we will see our Vols play in this season.

Really reluctant to do this especially after a monster win, but my Orange sunglasses are blinding my vision.

Vols win 96-91.

The Vols seem to be picking up on that type of championship swagger they had during the Grant/Schofield days and I won't pick against them until they give me a reason to.

You really think Arkansas will score 91?

Only 2 teams have even scored 80 on us.
 
#47
#47
Very big game. A loss doesn’t kill us but a win would be big. Was listening to an interview with Jerry Palm (bracketeer) yesterday and he said the only thing lacking on the Vol resume is a good road win. Get this one and a 3 seed looks really good. Beat Auburn and that would be 3 wins over projected #1 seeds. A #2 seed is not out of the question depending on these two games and the tournament. Palm projecting us in the 3 to 5 range.
 
#48
#48
Very big game. A loss doesn’t kill us but a win would be big. Was listening to an interview with Jerry Palm (bracketeer) yesterday and he said the only thing lacking on the Vol resume is a good road win. Get this one and a 3 seed looks really good. Beat Auburn and that would be 3 wins over projected #1 seeds. A #2 seed is not out of the question depending on these two games and the tournament. Palm projecting us in the 3 to 5 range.

If you win this one, a 3-seed is probably your floor as long as you don't drop a game against Mizzou and Georgia. Winning this on the road means all you have to do is protect home court, and then a one-seed could be in play at that point. But, that probability would be low as it would depend on what other teams do down the stretch.
 
#49
#49
If we put Vescovi on Notae we won't shut him down but we'll take away a lot of his points. Vescovi is a near lock-down defender these days. With Aidoo, Fulky, and Uros in the paint, I don't see them getting a lot done there either. Remember we are the 4th best defense in the country and their offense is rated 67th by Ken Pom. On the other side of the coin, our offensive rating is 27th and their defense is 18th. I like our chances a lot!

Curious what our home/away splits are. I think we've turned a corner overall but we have certainly struggled on the road and been dominant at home most of the year.
 
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#50
#50
This is a tough, tough road game. I won't necessarily say I'm expecting a loss, but it won't surprise me in the least and it probably shouldn't disappoint us a ton unless we get completely blown out.

On the other hand, if we win ... I'm going to feel like the sky's the limit for the rest of the season.
 

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