Predictions for the Arkansas game?

#76
#76
NEO said:
Wait? You don’t believe we can beat Arkansas buy you do believe we win the both the SEC tournament and NCAA tournament against the best teams in the nation


That’s some unusual logic.
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#78
#78
TheMookieMonster said:
"Do you think the committee would jump us above...."

25-6 Kentucky --> In this scenario, yes. If you run the table, Tennessee is SEC Regular Season Champions, Tournament Champions, at the worst split the series with Kentucky (maybe win 2-1 depending on SECT), there is no justification for them to be above you at that point.
27-4 Duke --> Yes. The ACC is awful. We have far more opportunities down the stretch for more Q1 wins. We'd probably end up with a better NET and better KenPom if we run the table, too. But, it would depend on the scores of our games.
24-6 Villanova --> Maybe. The Big East is not as strong as it was once perceived to start the year. They do have the head-to-head against us, and their metrics would probably be very close to ours, so this might be the one that would stick ahead of us, but it just depends.
26-5 Kansas --> Maybe. But, you might not have to jump them. I think we'd jump Purdue, so if that's the case you don't have to jump Kansas to get a 1-seed.

Again, this is all probably moot because we almost certainly won't run the table, but I just don't see a situation where we aren't a one-seed if we do.
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Yes, few scenarios are sillier than “what if we sweep the next five and the tournament”.
 
#80
#80
TheMookieMonster said:
Which set of doubters? I am losing track.
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Those who were beside themselves because KenPom and BPI both gave Tennessee a better than 50% chance of winning in Bud Walton.

Again, I'm not saying we win, but there were people after that Auburn v Arkansas game that gave us next to no shot and we're highly skeptical/critical of the BPI Matchup Predictor and KenPom simulations.
 
#83
#83
cncchris33 said:
Those who were beside themselves because KenPom and BPI both gave Tennessee a better than 50% chance of winning in Bud Walton.

Again, I'm not saying we win, but there were people after that Auburn v Arkansas game that gave us next to no shot and we're highly skeptical/critical of the BPI Matchup Predictor and KenPom simulations.
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A 1pt line also doesn’t correspond with a 60% chance of winning
 
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#84
#84
TheMookieMonster said:
I said I think it's highly unlikely it actually happens. But, it's a message board, and message boards are for pondering silly, outlandish scenarios.
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And venting against your teams coach and the officials. If it's football your number one responsibility is to declare that the backup QB is better than the starter. Some people just don't know how message boards work.
 
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#85
#85
Fellas, I’m starting to get a little worked up for tomorrow. Huge opportunity on our hands to really put us in a great position. No better place to do it than in a sold out crowd on our opponents home floor.
 
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#86
#86
BallerVolFan said:
Fellas, I’m starting to get a little worked up for tomorrow. Huge opportunity on our hands to really put us in a great position. No better place to do it than in a sold out crowd on our opponents home floor.
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Was more anxious for the Kentucky game, tomorrow feels a bit like playing with house money. We find a way to get a win tomorrow and the hype train is gonna be full steam ahead.
 
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#87
#87
FkG9.gif

I’ve already got a little Terry Tate feel to things!
 
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#88
#88
bleedingTNorange said:
Was more anxious for the Kentucky game, tomorrow feels a bit like playing with house money. We find a way to get a win tomorrow and the hype train is gonna be full steam ahead.
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Need to jump on them early. Coach Schwartz said that the page was turned as soon as the game was over in the locker room. Said they knew how big of a win that was vs Kentucky but they have a bigger opportunity this Saturday and their full focus is on Arkansas so hopefully the guys come out locked in.
 
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#93
#93
bleedingTNorange said:
Can’t recall who was posting it, but you just referenced it above as a topic of discussion and people questioning that it had Tennessee favored, would seem Vegas agrees.
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You may want to review. I pointed out that BPI and KenPom both gave us a 50+% chance of winning as a means of refuting those who essentially believe we stand little to no chance of winning, essentially already conceding a loss. BPI and KenPom are at least rooted in mathematics and logic rather than the fear generated by Arkansas beating Auburn in Fayette-nam.

We may show up and get drilled by 20, tomorrow, but people who immediately dismiss these types of data points, algorithms, and forecast models are doing it because of what they saw Arkansas do to the #1 team in the country two weeks ago and no other reason. Tomorrow is another day, another game.
 
#94
#94
VolArmy74 said:
At 27-6, with 13 wins in a row, I'd be shocked if we weren't a #1 seed if we ran the table. We'd likely have 4+ wins over projected top 2 seeds at that point, along with 0 bad losses all vs likely the #1 SOS in CBB.
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I just got wet a little.
 
#95
#95
I wish I could believe, but those lapses in offense
concern me. Especially on the road.
Ark 77-65.
 
#96
#96
TennEddie said:
I wish I could believe, but those lapses in offense
concern me. Especially on the road.
Ark 77-65.
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They are, but Arkansas isn’t an offensive juggernaut either. In fact, our offensive efficiency is 38 spots higher.
 
#98
#98
cncchris33 said:
You may want to review. I pointed out that BPI and KenPom both gave us a 50+% chance of winning as a means of refuting those who essentially believe we stand little to no chance of winning, essentially already conceding a loss. BPI and KenPom are at least rooted in mathematics and logic rather than the fear generated by Arkansas beating Auburn in Fayette-nam.

We may show up and get drilled by 20, tomorrow, but people who immediately dismiss these types of data points, algorithms, and forecast models are doing it because of what they saw Arkansas do to the #1 team in the country two weeks ago and no other reason. Tomorrow is another day, another game.
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Maybe I’m misremembering then, thought there was talk about Tennessee being favored and how BPI had us ~60% to win etc, apologies.
 
#100
#100
VolArmy74 said:
Neutral site games are a lot different than a home game. You can look no further than us for that fact.
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Very true. That's why I'll really be curious to see how this team plays at Arky. If they can put another effort like the UK game together and win that one in that venue, that will tell me we really do have a chance at a deep(elite8/final 4) tournament run. Honestly, I expect a letdown and a 10-12 pt loss after such an emotional game.
 
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