Recruiting Football Talk VII

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You have fewer options with the traditional route.

If you fail the 2 pt conversion after the 2nd TD, you've lost. Game over.

If you go with this strategy and fail the 2 pt attempt, then you have a 2nd attempt as well to go to OT.

You have to accomplish all the same things in either case, so better to have that information now rather than later and have more opportunities.

Here is the flowchart I've had for some years that makes it make sense:

View attachment 585111



And the EV of going for 2 down 8...becomes a clear GO through the late game stages
View attachment 585112
Yes this is the right logic path.

This assumes 100% chance of making any XPs (which is fine for rounding).

If you kick 2 XPs you play for OT, which you can assume you have a 50% chance of winning. This way (per your numbers) is 62.5%.

Even better if your offense individually is more capable of converting 2PTs than the average, or if your kicker is maybe not having the best day.

Edit: Also, there’s a sliver of a chance that you have time for an onside kick to go for a FG If you miss both 2PTs. Or maybe there could be time for a FG drive without an onside kick too.
 
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Please name the “multiple walk-on” db’s and the games they started last year as I don’t recall a walk-on db starting any games last year. I think Wright, a walk-on from Nashville played some but I don’t recall him starting. Brooks might have played a bit but again didn’t start.
I think people mistake Rucker and Charles or maybe even Walker as walk-ons. Pretty sure the only walk-on we’ve had get PT in the secondary recently is Romello Edwards. Don’t think he started a game. Could be mistaken.
 
I suppose you are a QB coach of some sort. I would be willing to bet that if he had stayed, Heup could have made him at least a serviceable QB in this offense.
Believe what you want.
But the evidence says he ain’t that good.
And I don’t have to be a QB coach to know he’s been at 3 schools and ain’t accomplished squat.
 
I think people mistake Rucker and Charles or maybe even Walker as walk-ons. Pretty sure the only walk-on we’ve had get PT in the secondary recently is Romello Edwards. Don’t think he started a game. Could be mistaken.
William Wright was on the field for the last drive of the game against Alabama
 
If they can do like UF and stop the run with just their front...Joe and Co will have to win it in the air.
We ran it well on Florida in the second half just didn’t score enough when we had the opportunity. A@M has a good D line but we’re gonna run on them some, were better upfront than folks give us credit for. Especially with Mays back and we have 3 very very good running backs. We’re gonna take some shots downfield too. Thornton, Keyton and Squirrel are going to lead the way and the tight end play is coming on with Warren and McCastles. I think they Vols come out and play very well this week. GBO!!!!!
 
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