Recruiting Football Talk VIII

#78,251
#78,251
MoCo_Vol said:
See I don't know if that's true...because the SEC championship game loser could have 3 losses.

Indiana at best will be a 1 loss team with 0 quality wins. I don't think they'll stay in the playoffs because of how bad their resume is. They have to beat Ohio State and finish regular season undefeated to get in, IMO

Notre Dame has to play Army (neutral field) then at USC to end the season, if they lose either game they're out. 2 losses, no conference championship and a terrible resume.

ACC has 2 teams in the mix (SMU & Miami) if neither loses again they'll have to face in title game and 1 will get eliminated with 2 losses because both have terrible resumes.

Big 12 will only get their conference champion in. They have 2 teams with just 1 loss in conference play, Colorado & BYU. BYU has to play at Arizona State (8-2) if they lose that game they might not even play in the title game, but them losing to the Sun Devils means at best Big 12 will end the season with a 2 loss champion.
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Welp, I've completely ignored the ACC. I didn't even know SMU was part of that conference.
 
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#78,252
#78,252
Honestly the easiest path for us to get in, assuming we win out.

Florida upsets Ole Miss
Texas handles A&M
Arkansas wins out

That'll leave 4 SEC teams, Texas with 1 loss, Georgia, Bama, Vols all with 2 losses. And then even if the 3 loss SECC loser is put in we should still get a spot.
 
#78,253
#78,253
TrippieRedd said:
ASU getting Skattebo back from injury will help them tremendously.

Only game I honestly give a chance at an upset, sadly. Florida has one as well, but I can’t see them pulling it out
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our fans are going to be glued to 20-ish games over the next two weeks and championship week. lot of gut punches and cup checks coming.

all we need is a couple to go our way, but this has "last hour in Vegas" vibes and we're rubbing our chips together
 
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#78,255
#78,255
rikberry31 said:
I believe Indiana is in no matter what.
It is entirely possible for ND to lose one.
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Personally. just like every year the media hypes one of these favorites up to win and they always lose.Notre dame is one of those teams..and if you think about it they’re not in a conference technically or didn’t use to be and play nobody which makes them a liability betting on because nobody really has statistics grading them against top tier competition consistently during their season..something to consider
 
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#78,256
#78,256
BigSteve09 said:
our fans are going to be glued to 20-ish games over the next two weeks and championship week. lot of gut punches and cup checks coming.

all we need is a couple to go our way, but this has "last hour in Vegas" vibes and we're rubbing our chips together
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Definitely BVS. Seen this movie before. I’ll cover my eyes this time
 
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#78,261
#78,261
SoilVol said:
I tried multiple times to not answer you, because you do this crap, and you kept badgering me. Then I try to give you an answer, and you're still pestering.

it's a meme dude, it ain't that serious
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Lol do you have me confused, or are you still making things up?

It was never about a meme. If you didn’t want to answer you could have gone with a simple - “I don’t care what they said”.

You weirdly chose to bang out a bunch of lines about fallacies and internet memes. 🤷‍♀️
 
#78,263
#78,263
One thing I think that needs a closer look as far as the playoffs are concerned is Ole Miss and Tennessee specifically. Lets look at these two team's best and worst losses and compare. Also keep in mind where you play the games also matters and strength of schedule.

Lets start with the losses:
Tennessee lost to a 3-4 in league play Arkansas team in Arkansas.
Ole Miss lost to a 1-6 Kentucky team at home.
Result: advantage Tennessee. Ole Miss has the worst lost of these two teams.

The wins:
Tennessee beat a highly ranked Alabama team at home.
Ole Miss beat a highly ranked Georgia team at home.
So of these two teams, Alabama and Georgia, who is the better team. Since Alabama beat Georgia head to head, Alabama is the better team.
Result: advantage Tennessee. Tennessee has the best win of these two team.

Strength of schedule:
My source used was College Football Network and they list oddly enough as Tennessee at 49 and Ole Miss at 50 in their metrics.
Result: No advantage for either team.

Tennessee should be ranked above Ole Miss in the rankings however they are not. the committee has give multiple conflicting answers as to why teams are ranked where they are. Just my two cents....
 
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#78,269
#78,269
MoCo_Vol said:
I mean honestly I'd love to see us in for the first year of the 12 team...

but if we end up 10-2 and miss the playoffs over some BS and then smoke someone in the bowl game I'll still feel Nico's first year starting was a success and a better result than expected in the pre-season.
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11-2
9-4
11-2 or 10-3

first 30+ wins in 3-year stretch since 1998-2000
 
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#78,273
#78,273
MoCo_Vol said:
See I don't know if that's true...because the SEC championship game loser could have 3 losses.

Indiana at best will be a 1 loss team with 0 quality wins. I don't think they'll stay in the playoffs because of how bad their resume is. They have to beat Ohio State and finish regular season undefeated to get in, IMO

Notre Dame has to play Army (neutral field) then at USC to end the season, if they lose either game they're out. 2 losses, no conference championship and a terrible resume.

ACC has 2 teams in the mix (SMU & Miami) if neither loses again they'll have to face in title game and 1 will get eliminated with 2 losses because both have terrible resumes.

Big 12 will only get their conference champion in. They have 2 teams with just 1 loss in conference play, Colorado & BYU. BYU has to play at Arizona State (8-2) if they lose that game they might not even play in the title game, but them losing to the Sun Devils means at best Big 12 will end the season with a 2 loss champion.
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If Alabama finishes 10-2 regular season, and then loses to an 11-1 Texas in the SEC Title game - you think the committee leaves them out?

I don’t think they will.

You’re right about the Big12, ACC title games. The losers of those are out.

I should have been more specific - the losers of the SEC/B1G title games (Indiana notwithstanding) likely survive.
 
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