Recruiting Forum Football Talk II

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#55,126
#55,126
This line in the UT/Mizzou game is baffling to me. I get we started poorly and they started hot but the last month has proved these teams completely flipped. And to be honest Mizzou has the easiest SEC schedule you could possible have. Their toughest non-conf was probably WVU. It seems like everything is favoring Vols in this one. I could see them being a 2 point favorite or a pick 'em. A 5 point favorite is really weird imo.
 
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#55,127
#55,127
Skizer41 said:
This line in the UT/Mizzou game is baffling to me. I get we started poorly and they started hot but the last month has proved these teams completely flipped. And to be honest Mizzou has the easiest SEC schedule you could possible have. Their toughest non-conf was probably WVU. It seems like everything is favoring Vols in this one. I could see them being a 2 point favorite or a pick 'em. A 5 point favorite is really weird imo.
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Home team lays 3 so if you negate that it basically is a 1-2 pt line and could be down to a pick em(-3) by kickoff.

The analytics still point to Mizzou in a close one, but I think Pruitt will have us ready to play.
 
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#55,130
#55,130
the Vols have now covered the spread five weeks in a row for only the second time since 1998.

That list, via the closing lines at covers.com:

  • 2019: Mississippi State, Alabama, South Carolina, UAB, Kentucky and counting…
  • 2010: Tyler Bray’s emergence in the last five games of the regular season
  • 1998: The first five games (and just missed the first seven, failing to cover against Alabama by a single point; the 98 Vols ultimately went 9-4 against the spread)
  • 1992: The first five games before losing straight up to Arkansas as a 22-point favorite
  • 1990: Possible asterisk here, as covers.com has no line for the 55-7 win over Pacific in week two; otherwise the Vols covered the first five games before the 9-6 debacle against Alabama, still the worst non-2001-LSU loss of my lifetime
  • A wild sequence in the mid-80’s: the Vols covered the last four games of 1985, including the 35-7 win over Miami in the Sugar Bowl as a 7.5-point underdog. Then the Vols failed to cover in the first six weeks of 1986 in a 2-4 start. Then they covered the last five weeks of the regular season and in the bowl against Minnesota in a 5-1 finish. And then they covered the first five weeks of 1987, making it 11 in a row between seasons.
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  • —————
    A 7-5 finish remains firmly on the table, the preseason Vegas prediction within reach even after losing to Georgia State and BYU. If the Vols get there and win the bowl game – both of ESPN’s projections have the Vols in the Gator Bowl this morning, while Banner Society puts the Vols in Charlotte against UNC but leaves a tantalizing match-up in the realm of possibility by putting Michigan in the Gator Bowl – an 8-5 finish would still be the third-best season since 2007. The kind of marquee win Tennessee earned last year but failed to make last isn’t available the next two weeks. But win both of them, and it might be there for this team in January.
    Click to expand...
    Tennessee 17 Kentucky 13: We're Close | Gameday on Rocky Top
 
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#55,131
#55,131
AppStVol said:
Home team lays 3 so if you negate that it basically is a 1-2 pt line and could be down to a pick em(-3) by kickoff.
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True. Although it came down and has started creeping back up though.

Games like this just make me nervous that Vegas knows something no one else does haha. I just don't see what Vegas does apparently lol.
 
#55,132
#55,132
The biggest fear in coming off the bye week is that the team could come out of the gates slow.
Chaney needs the first 10 plays scripted and run them every practice until game day to give us our best shot of momentum to start the game and I'm sure Chaney will do just that.
 
#55,133
#55,133
mrorange211 said:
I feel like if we end this season with three more wins, we could win the East next year.
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Agreed.

Florida has LSU in the west every year, Georgia has Auburn...so it's not unheard of to win the East as a 2 loss SEC team. I think we're closer to competing with every other SEC team though, more so now than I did after the early games.

It appears the staff can develop their players, and we've had some top 20 classes with the staff. So once they start getting top 15 and then top 10 classes with their proven ability to develop talent, we'll be in the mix sooner than later based on current progress.
 
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#55,138
#55,138
tennesseefan31 said:
Mizzou has played maybe the softest schedule I've ever seen for an SEC team.

Also the idea of our starting linebackers next year being (composite ranking):
Mike: Henry (.98)
Will: JJP (.98)
Sam: Crouch (.97)
Jack: Kivion ( .87)/Harrison (.90)
Click to expand...
That's kind of what I'm saying about this UT/Mizzou game. Their offense has showed no signs of life the past few games. I know Bryant is a "threat" but he hasn't been the same QB since the hamstring and tweeking his knee. On the other hand our D has been pretty solid the last 5 weeks. Seems like Vegas would appreciate a solid defense more in a game with 2 offenses that don't really have an identity.
 
#55,139
#55,139
Catbone said:
Statistically

Pass offense: Missouri

Pass defense: Missouri

Rush offense: Missouri

Rush defense: Missouri

Home field: Missouri

Confidence and momentum: Tennessee
Click to expand...

Thank for your positive and expert prediction.

giphy.gif

giphy.gif
 
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#55,141
#55,141
butchna said:
I know it’s happened with rising seniors who earned scholarships. Never seen your theory tested where a Vol player got a scholarship for only one semester and never again...got an example?
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No example mainly because they don’t publicize when they remove players from $
 
#55,148
#55,148
bignewt said:
At the super computing conference in Denver all week, kill me now I have to be here all day every day and I have no idea what any of this stuff is...UT has a booth, guess I could ask them how they compute analytics for the football team?
Click to expand...
If you don't know what any of it means, then why....never mind.
 
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