drvenner
Winning is fun
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- Jan 17, 2010
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Is SP+ deluded to love Tennessee this much? The past eight times Tennessee began the season ranked in the AP poll, the Volunteers have finished with an outright losing record as many times (four) as they have come close to expectations. Alarm bells generally begin ringing when hype begins, and it seems likely that the Vols will be ranked in the preseason polls.
There are numbers to back up the sentiment. I'm not going to try to justify a top-10 SP+ ranking to you; even though SP+ is adjusted for tempo, the ability of Josh Heupel's offense to not just outplay lesser defenses but utterly destroy them seems to almost rig SP+ in its favor. With Hendon Hooker at quarterback, the Vols averaged 53 points per game and 7.6 yards per play against teams outside of the SP+ top 40 last season. They averaged 29 points and 6.2 yards per play against everyone else, which was certainly not terrible but perhaps wasn't worthy of a No. 7 ranking in offensive SP+.
Regardless, the offense will be even better this year. Hooker finished 16th in Total QBR and teamed with backs Jabari Small and Jaylen Wright to form one of the most efficient ground games in the country. All but one member of last year's O-line two-deep returns, as does leading receiver Cedric Tillman, who averaged 131 receiving yards per game at 19.2 per catch over his last six games. The receiving corps is otherwise relatively unproven, but players like Jalin Hyatt, USC transfer Bru McCoy and Jimmy Calloway have obvious potential. The relentless tempo of a Heupel offense is built to maximize whatever advantages it finds, and it could find a lot.
The Vols' ceiling will likely be defined by their defense. They allowed just 22.9 points per game and 4.9 yards per play over the first seven games last year but slipped to 39.3 and 6.0, respectively, from there. Secondary injuries added up (pure fatigue might have as well), and the Vols finished just 47th in defensive SP+. But of the 17 players who saw 250-plus snaps, 12 return, including linebackers Jeremy Banks and Aaron Beasley and edge rushers Byron Young and Tyler Baron. Depth has seemingly improved, and if the Vols can play at a top-30 level on D, that would likely make them a clear No. 2 in the East.
QB Hendon Hooker, Tennessee. Hooker showed promise in two years at Virginia Tech and fulfilled it last season, completing 68% of his passes with a 31-to-3 TD-to-INT ratio and averaging 6.1 yards per (non-sack) carry.
LB Jeremy Banks, Tennessee. Equally disruptive against the run and the pass, the senior from Cordova, Tennessee, took part in 16 run stops and recorded 5.5 sacks with an otherworldly 24.6% pressure rate when he got to blitz.
Honorable mention: RB Jabari Small (Tennessee), WR Cedric Tillman (Tennessee), C Cooper Mays (Tennessee), EDGE Byron Young (Tennessee)
"they" are idiots. You can't set an arbitrary number like that. People believed forever no one could run a mile under 4 minutes, that it was impossible. Now they're saying it's impossible to react under 1/10 second? How about you train your dopey 80 year old man official who DQed Allen to vary his cadence for the gun? Wouldn't that be a lot more fair and logical? What a stupid, stupid rule. They said the guy next to him reacted 3/1000 of a second slower so he was OK, how incredibly asinine and arbitrary is that?! You can't just draw a random line in the sand and say "this is how slow you have to react or else." If the guy next to you can react in 1000/10000 second then how can they say you jumped the gun for 997/10000 second?You are not allowed to anticipate the gun and they consider starting 1/10 of a sec after the gun to be too quick to be a reaction to the gun going off.