Recruiting Forum Football Talk [RIP 9.3.2019]

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#163,831
#163,831
This is a table showing NFL draft picks from the SEC over the past 7 years listed by position. If we assume each of the 14 SEC schools average 25 signees per class, in 7 years the total conference signees would be 2,450 (350/year). Approximately 15.8% of SEC players on average go on to be drafted by the NFL. UDFA are not included. The SEC consistently leads all conferences in the number of annual draft picks.

For now Alabama still sits at the top of the league with just under 9 draftees per year on average suggesting at any time they have (from a 4 year perspective) around 36 future NFL draft picks on their roster. An Average SEC team would have 16 future draft picks. If we assume 60% of 5-stars, 25% of 4-stars, and 6% of 3-stars end up being draft picks, we may have around 13 future draftees on our roster this year. The class we are working on now for 2020 is likely to take us from below average to above average.

I listened to an interview with Fulmer earlier today and when asked how we were doing with football he said that was a hard question to answer and probably the best way was to say that we are trending in the right direction.

I think with a good coaching staff and a good development program we can beat the percentages but that also probably requires that we win more games as proof that our guys can play. Darel Middleton in one of the summer long videos said one of the things he really liked about Pruitt is that when Pruitt was recruiting him he asked Darel what did HE want to do. We need guys who are serious about getting to the NFL and while it's obviously not an overnight process we appear to be getting increasingly more of them now and that is what has us trending in the right direction. jmo.

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#163,850
#163,850
I know a there’s a number of fans who have concerns about our line of scrimmage units for this year and it’s true we at the moment don’t know what we have. We just know what we’ve had. The guys we have been working to develop in the upper classes though were not universally thought to be lacking in talent. Some had mixed reviews and I think that could be interpreted to suggest a longer development curve. The one surprise that some may have overlooked coming out of the spring was some positive vibes about the move of Bumphus back to his assumed natural position at defensive end. Middleton of course was a 4-star coming out of high school but owing to some maturity issues ended up in JUCO. I think he’s at least 22 years old now so maybe he’s learned some of life lessons in the past few years. Butler had a pretty impressive offer list coming out of high school.

Anyway, we may not have Bama or Georgia’s roster but I think we have a lot to work with and owing to the confidence I have in Fitz and our coaching staff I’m optimistic we will be significantly better this year on both sides at the line of scrimmage, even if we should not have Trey and Aubrey. I’m also not counting on Brandon Kennedy. In reading a number of articles, mostly for NFL players, having someone like Adrian Peterson come back from an ACL reconstruction to a record year is not the norm. The most common experience at the NFL level is when a player returns after rehab there is a degradation in performance and a shortened career. If the guy was above average before the injury, afterwards he’s most likely to be average at best and if he was an average player before the injury then afterwards he’s likely to be below average.

None of this is to say I don’t think we’ll have Trey, Aubrey, and Brandon this year. In fact, at the moment, I think we’ll have all three. I think Pruitt is a “steal the show” kind of guy. Last year he won both the ESD and NSD story-lines. I think on Tuesday at SEC media days he’ll confirm that Trey has been cleared by multiple doctors and that Aubrey’s waiver has been approved. I just hope he doesn’t get carried away and tell everyone there that WGWTFA. jmo.

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