Recruiting Forum Football Talk [RIP 9.3.2019]

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#163,887
#163,887
Didn't even know Feleipe Franks signed with the Red Sox for 40k 2 days ago. But not really expected to join them or leave UF.

Wtf? Another example of how I understand absolutely nothing about baseball operations or drafts. It all seems so convoluted and meaningless.
 
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#163,889
#163,889
Vols410 said:
Cool stuff man! I’ve also done some work measuring coaches performance relative to the talent on their roster and it’s predictive value as well. A combination of those two factors could be pretty sweet.
Click to expand...

Man, I tried to quantify coaching and just gave up. I'm curious to hear how you did it.

Just ran a straightforward multiple linear regression and found the best predictors so far for predicting Sagarin's ratings (which factors in strength of schedule) are Phil Steele's "returning experience points", the previous season's returning yard's per game rank (if ol' Doc Schmidhammer saw that I used a rank in a linear regression he'd probably blow a gasket), and and the previous season's final Sagarin rating. That get's a R-Square of .78.

FPI can get on DN.
 
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#163,892
#163,892
RiotVol said:
Man, I tried to quantify coaching and just gave up. I'm curious to hear how you did it.

Just ran a straightforward multiple linear regression and found the best predictors so far for predicting Sagarin's ratings (which factors in strength of schedule) are Phil Steele's "returning experience points", the previous season's returning yard's per game rank (if ol' Doc Schmidhammer saw that I used a rank in a linear regression he'd probably blow a gasket), and and the previous season's final Sagarin rating. That get's a R-Square of .78.

FPI can get on DN.
Click to expand...
I've done it with basketball and am fairly satisfied with the results comparing talent rankings (via 247 composite) and experience (via KenPom) with the KenPom offense/defense metrics.

Looking at doing the same thing using Connelly's experience metrics, the 247 talent composite (much better for football), and some combination of ESPN's FPI, Sagarin, and the S&P+ to quantify the performance, but it's still very much a work in progress for football.
 
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#163,894
#163,894
Devo182 said:
Didn't even know Feleipe Franks signed with the Red Sox for 40k 2 days ago. But not really expected to join them or leave UF.

Wtf? Another example of how I understand absolutely nothing about baseball operations or drafts. It all seems so convoluted and meaningless.
Click to expand...
At the rate their off season is going I expect him to haul ass to the minor leagues. Would be glorious.
 
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#163,895
#163,895
ESPN with Esports? Shoot me now. At least have Madden or something closer to the ESPN demos. No one on ESPN knows or cares what Overwatch is.
 
#163,898
#163,898
Devo182 said:
Oof don't look back to SECN now. The beginning of the fall of the Fulmer era and modern UT football on display. The curse of Matt Mauck ughhh.
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Nailed the beginning point. I said at the time we had starting going downhill and people laughed at me and said I was crazy..
 
#163,900
#163,900
Devo182 said:
Calvin Klein is the new shiz with the party kids...cocaine mixed with ketamine....that is a super energy shot mixed with horse tranquilizer...wtf??
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I used to do heroin and meth together...I just thought I was a drug addict till I started that..sometimes we would snort a line of cocaine on top of it just to get a lil extra kick...Back then we called it speedballin...mixing uppers and downers.

In a side note, we used to get special K from time to time, but I never liked the high no matter what I did it with.
 
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