Recruiting Forum Football Talk V

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#8,228
#8,228
ChattaTNVol said:
I’m seeing a few folks trying to get out ahead of unreasonable expectations for the season this year and that’s probably a good thing. If one was to follow the trend in Heupel’s head coaching career it would seem to suggest that his ceiling this year is 6 wins.

This will be Heupel’s 5th year as a head coach:
  • 2018 winning percentage = 92.3%
  • 2019 winning percentage = 76.9%
  • 2020 winning percentage = 60.0%
  • 2021 winning percentage = 53.8%
  • 2022 winning percentage = ??????
6 wins and another loss in a bowl game would give him a 2022 winning percentage of 46.2% for the season and would be consistent with his career trend. It is often said in the field of forecasting that the trend is your friend.

For the record, I’ve never been much of a trend follower. I’m a bit more of a contrarian. In the markets they tell you never to try to pick bottoms or tops. Well somebody’s doing it and I always figured if I did my homework I could do it too. It takes some work and you might not be exactly right every time but when you are it’s important not to get over confident. Turning points in the markets are based on support and resistance. There are multiple levels of support and resistance. I was a support and resistance trader. Now to figure which level of support or resistance to trade there’s a bit more to consider – which I will omit from this post.

Suffice it to say we have more returning production than anyone on our schedule, we have more talent than all but 4 teams on our schedule. We have as much if not more experience as anyone else on our schedule. I figure this is as good a support point as we’re going to get in the near term. I’m a buyer.

Now we have to consider the overhead resistance. In this case it can only be one of two things, more talent or better coaching. I think we win the 7 we won last year and get through Pittsburgh in our move up. That should get us to 8 wins and would have at least reversed the trend in the short term. Next up is our first resistance. That would be Florida and then LSU. We’ll need to watch this closely because if the resistance is too strong we’re not getting through. If the resistance is lite then we are roaring up to face maybe the stiffest resistance we will encounter, Alabama.

Regardless of how far this bounce from support takes us the trend should have been at least interrupted. In case my forecast is wrong I’d recommend a stop at 6 wins. If the trend breaks below 6 wins you don’t want to be anywhere near our fanbase. jmo.
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#8,229
#8,229
engineerVOL said:
Solon. Not salon💈. Like colon. But not Bartolo Colón. Like colon cleanser. 💩
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Solon like Colon or Colin is not SOUL-in though. When you capitalize that SOUL part you place emphasis on it. Now add in the hyphen and the pronunciation becomes like two words instead of one that flows. That guide would have me saying Soul-IN/Soul-out as opposed to Solon/Colon/Solin/Colin. lol. Bad guide maker! o_O

Nah really, how do you pronounce Carribbean? I think that twitter author was right.
 
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#8,233
#8,233
drvenner said:
That is interesting. I think I would have walked out, but that is easy for me to say. I don't know all the facts, but if they put in a bid for a certain amount and tried to lower it at closing, I don't see how they would have had a case at all. Also sounds like you had a very bad realtor.
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On that I will agree.. she sucked
 
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#8,242
#8,242
SoilVol said:
This is why I stay off social media during games until the score starts spreading out either way. It's great for the mental health. If you haven't tried it, give it a shot. Just enjoy the ebb and flow of the game with those around you then come back here and give/read reviews.

Folks don't live tweet movies. Don't post on facebook about how terrible a movie is an how the movie is James Cameron's worst work ever after 5 minutes. You don't read the first chapter of a book then pretend to know how the book ends. You finish the movie or book then talk about your thoughts of the entire thing together. Sports are more enjoyable if you try to treat them the same way. Plus you can be more "involved" with whoever you're watching with.
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I like to just get on social media when something good happens in the game and everyone is like ‘yay’ or ‘did you see that? Wow’ lol I may be cheating
 
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#8,246
#8,246
nicksjuzunk said:
I wonder what he had to eat in 1890 to get to that size. I could easily eat 5,000 a day with the client e food selections, but back then…
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He had to have something health wise adding on weight. I bet most of it is fluid retention, probably heart related.
 
#8,247
#8,247
jakez4ut said:
i have mixed feelings on their comments.

on the one hand, i basically agree with them. i think on a year in, year out basis, w/out stacking top 5 type classes on top of one another for several years in a row, and our current recruiting prowess doesn't change (top 15ish territory), we probably are an 8-4/9-3 program, with the ability to have a 10+ win season every so often. On the other, they're basically saying we're Kentucky.

kind of a good news/bad news deal....good news is, we're waaaay better than we've been the past 15 years, and at least involved in the discussion for SEC title contention on yearly basis. bad news is, the ceiling is made of brick apparently.

in the end, i think as long as we get consistent QB play and we continue to build depth on the defense, TN can be a contender. and i think the analysis they offered assumes all things will always be equal, in terms of GA and Bama always being the elite of the elite, and TN will never recruit consistently enough to truly compete at that level.

sure, they mentioned realignment and the changes coming in the conf, but while doing so, they referenced TX as a program that should assume itself a contender? seriously?

anyway. like i said at the end of the day, i basically agree with them..i think a consistent 8-4/9-3 program that will get 10/11 every so often. which, in reality is what this program has always been. we consistently won more than we lost and went to bowl games. and we consistently would contend for and win conf titles every 3-6 years, until our run from the mid 80's to the early 00's, easily our most consistently successful run since the General.
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If we had Kentucky’s schedule, we would win ten games easy this year. Schedule plays a big part in win/losses. I’m ready for the realignment and make things more equal amongst SEC teams.
 
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