So here’s the argument advanced by some opposing fans. Tennessee is likely to regress this year in terms of its offense. With the loss of Hooker and Hyatt, not to mention Darnell Wright, and maybe Tillman, that offense is going to take a step back. Really? What if I told you I wasn’t so sure. Hear me out.
Josh Heupel has been a head coach for 5 years, starting in 2018 at UCF. In that time 6 different QBs have started games for him, McKenzie Milton, Darriel Mack Jr, Brandon Wimbush, Dillon Gabriel, Joe Milton, and Hendon Hooker. As the table below shows in all 5 years Heupel has fielded a top 10 offense in terms of both yards per game (total offense) and points per game (scoring offense). Some years his offense leans more on the running game, other years the offense leans more on the passing game, but the end result is still the same, top 10 total and top 10 scoring.
View attachment 552709
After the 2021 season we essentially lost all of our starting receivers though Tillman actually did start the first 3 games of 2022. We also lost 5-star Cade Mays from the offensive line, yet our offense improved to best in the nation and we took down Florida, LSU on the road, and Alabama. Cade finished 2021 on the all-sec team and Tillman was on multiple preseason all-sec teams for 2022. I mean maybe Hooker was the key to our success but then McKenzie and Dillon, well they too masterminded top 10 offenses and with far less talent that we typically have, in any position group, on that side of the ball.
I just don’t think the normal rules apply. I think Heupel’s success is maybe a bit more due to the X’s and O’s than it is to the jimmys and joes and that’s the criticism that some levy our way. From the very first game here we had people who know (Big Orange QBs) saying one thing was obvious, Heupel knew how to scheme his guys open. The thing is eventually opposing DCs are going to get enough film on Josh’s offense that they’ll be able to stop him. I mean we know that film from 62 games hasn’t been enough. Just wait. Eventually there’ll be enough film out there and yeah it may be 300+ games but somebody’s bound to figure this out. Right? lol
I see Josh Heupel to offense the way most people see Nick Saban and Kirby Smart to defense. I think the ultimate vindication may be when we beat Georgia’s defense this year. jmo.
I think it’s worth noting that from a talent perspective our second teams have the edge over our first teams. That bodes well I think for the program’s sustainability. Josh has noted multiple times this offseason that we finally have some depth on our team. I think it’s pretty obvious that’s a true assessment. jmo.
Last point. I’ve been going through the depth charts of our more elite opponents for this year (Georgia and Texas A&M so far) and surprisingly they don’t have near the edge in talent that many perceive, at least not on paper. In the aggregate it's marginal at best though Georgia's 3rd team defense is considerably more talented than our 3rd team, at least on paper. Of course we have a few more gems that have yet to really suit up (Hobbs, Bradley, Weathersby, etc.) so if they can start moving up the depth chart in camp our 3rd teamers will start improving as well. jmo.
View attachment 552710
View attachment 552711