2015 Preseason FPI: Ohio State still No. 1 in updated rankings - College Football Nation Blog - ESPN
ESPN came out with their first edition of the FPI ranking before spring ball. The link above has the updated rankings post spring ball but unlike the pre-spring rankings this list did not include special teams.
I did a comparative analysis of TN offense to Opponent Defense and Opponent Offense to Tennessee Defense and threw in the Special Teams comparison as well as the home field variable to arrive at theoretical game spreads based on the pre-spring rankings. That analysis is posted somewhere back in this thread or it's predecessor. Based on the updated rankings, I updated my model and the spread moved in Tennessee's favor in every game on our schedule. Our offense got a small bump but our defense got a huge bump post-spring. Other teams went up and down as well with Arkansas taking a huge plunge in their defensive ranking. As a result of plugging in the new ratings for everyone's offense and defense the model continues to have us favored in every game we play this year with the exception of Alabama only as noted the spread has improved in our favor in every game. We'd even be favored against Alabama by 2 points if the game was at home. To be clear our advantage over GA, AR, OU, FL, & MO is less than a TD so in the world of "any given Saturday", it would probably take a small miracle to sweep them all----but at least the data is saying there's a chance.
@Alabama +5.0
Georgia -3.7
Arkansas -5.2
@Florida -5.8
@Missouri -6.5
Oklahoma -6.8
@Kentucky -12.6
South Carolina -17.1
Vanderbilt -21.2
Bowling Green -28.7
North Texas -35.9
Western Carolina -47.3