I don't think Arkansas is more talented at all. I just think lots of factors make this a high risk game for Tennessee.
1. I don't think we can exploit their biggest weakness - the secondary. CFB is becoming more and more like the NFL in one way - matchups matter A LOT. If you can't exploit a weakness, you're in trouble.
2. You saw the trouble we had with BGSU's offensive line - the Arkansas line is better. They will give Allen tons of time, and our secondary has been lacking in both coverage and approach (8 yards off a FL WR?!). Arkansas has gone back to running it more, which allows Allen to throw it 25-30 times, and he'll complete 70% of those. His average completion is almost 14 yards per. Our defense has been a huge disappointment imo.
3. Their TOP dominance hurts us - we can't have wasted possessions, and this offense hasn't proven they can consistently move the ball.
4. Arkansas offense is better than Florida's, imo.
5. Let down from Tennessee players. Tough emotional loss. If they underestimate Arkansas because they're 1-3, we'll get run. Arky is better than their record shows. Should be 3-1 imo, 2-2 at worst.