Thanks for the good work, nick.
Some may not like this. IMO there is little doubt this game will be won by the best performing coaching staff that day. Our injuries have somewhat leveled the playing field and we are on the road in a tough environment. But it is no tougher than the one they just played in. So it is Sumlin/Chavis versus Butch/Shoop. Both Sumlin and Butch control the offensive schemes. Debord and Mazzone receive direction from their bosses, although each play call the game. The scripting that starts each game has Butch's input and approval. That scripting this season has stunk. There is no reasonable argument to counter that statement. They are telegraphing the plays and scheme in the first half as was accurately pointed out by Will Overstreet and others on Sports Source yesterday, in addition to some posters on here over the last several weeks. In other words they have been counterpunching all season after first seeing how D's react to the plain vanilla before opening up the O. In contrast most programs, even the elite ones, do the opposite. Especially when they have 3 All SEC - future NFL type players out for injuries on D. IMO that has to stop now. Today. Especially against quality programs and on the road. Butch needs to assume that all the good fortune has been used up. There should be no more expectations for being bailed out by a one in a hundred, thousand, or million shots of being successful.
We all know Chavis. We all know he will bring a wrinkle that is unexpected. We also know his weaknesses. It is critical that there be balance and no obvious tendencies in play calling to counter what he will do - which is extreme pressure on Dobbs. Once you get past their D-line studs, aTm is average. Dobbs must be 300/100 with a wide open attack. It is time to stop shielding him from hits. Our O-line is set and Thomas is much healthier giving them more flexibility for adjustments. There are quality back-ups at QB that can complete the season successfully after the Bama game. The SECCG should be assured after UF takes it on the chin one more time - which they will. So take the stupid handcuffs off this O for an entire game, coaches. Not going to delve much into the overly conservative play calling with leads issue. Just going to say this. Until it changes for good, just assume it will always happen. Butch and staff have always been about mitigating negative plays over making the big play. Doing so creates excessive fear of failure, which is not their intention. That is OK when you have a bunch of newbies out there. It is awful when you have proven performers.
This may be unpopular as well. The last UGA TD pass was probably because Martin was unavailable to play CB as well as Shoop having the wrong coverage package in the game. First off, 3 deep coverage in that situation, coach. Second, call a TO to set your D for the long ball. Not standard 2 deep in that situation like you were in. That would be true if Eric Berry was in the line-up. There are 19 seconds left in the game and 47 yards to go. Third, Moseley or Martin would have been on that coverage had Martin been available. Less likelihood of a nickel d-back playing CB peeking into the backfield. If Martin was in coverage, based on historical performance he would have run into the receiver for an incompletion and a PI than he would peek into the backfield on a deep route. He also has better recovery and jumping skills. No problem on a PI - 10 seconds left in the game from the 32 yard line. Set the D while the penalty is being marked off. So, Shoop has some personal work to do which includes player selection and coverages used. Martin was out, I get that. But an additional safety over top was available along with a TO to set the D.
It would be nice if JRM or Kirkland were able to go. We are getting killed at LB. There is no honor in making tackles well past the LOS and getting blown up by blockers. If this is all we have at back-up somebody needs to learn how to develop the position because there are some really physically talented guys sitting the bench that were highly sought after coming out of HS. LB play will be critical in containing Knight's runs/scrambles and their RB's.
Butch - Trevor Daniel pooch kicking from the 34 yard line with Medley on the sideline? Really? Did George Halas or Vince Lombardi teach you that? He needs to build confidence and make any adjustments for the stretch run. The odds of a pooch working from there are bad. Either kicking it into the end zone or shanking it have higher odds. The odds say the vll ends up around the 20. Which is nothing in today's game. Your analytics chart needs modification.
Prediction:
UT 38
aTm 24
Butch/Debord/Shoop were rudely awakened from their slumber Saturday. Time to play 4 quarters for a couple of games. After that you have enough to win by playing half a game again along with a week off to get some guys healed. Keep getting better and smarter.