Regional Hosting Sites, NCAA Selection Thoughts and Projections

#36
#36
UCONN is #15 in the D1 rankings right now lol. With three weeks left...so they think that team is going to nosedive to the final regional? D1 seems determined to try and place a Top 20 team in the Knoxville Regional.

The guys on 11.7 last week pointed out how bad UConn's schedule has been... and jeez its rough.

I guess they kinda make sense in that spot in a way.
 
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#37
#37
I know people get upset about tournament rankings, but once you're in the tournament you have to beat the team that's next on the schedule. There aren't as many easy outs at that level. If the team is good you most likely would face them eventually. Hold serve and play on. Slip up and you're out.
 
#38
#38
Can I assume a presumed automatic qualifier?
I just looked at their conference and they only have 4 teams in the conference this season! I thought something was wrong with the website I was on, but nope sure enough they’ve had 3 teams leave for other conferences. They dropped to 5 teams after realignment but NC Central cut its baseball team, leaving them with 4 teams in the conference. The NCAA requires 6 teams be in a conference but the MEAC was granted a waiver for this season. They will have to expand after this season if they wish to continue receiving an automatic bid. They only have 6 teams remaining in football also. Have to assume that conference will dissolve unless they start pulling some D-II schools.
 
#40
#40
I just looked at their conference and they only have 4 teams in the conference this season! I thought something was wrong with the website I was on, but nope sure enough they’ve had 3 teams leave for other conferences. They dropped to 5 teams after realignment but NC Central cut its baseball team, leaving them with 4 teams in the conference. The NCAA requires 6 teams be in a conference but the MEAC was granted a waiver for this season. They will have to expand after this season if they wish to continue receiving an automatic bid. They only have 6 teams remaining in football also. Have to assume that conference will dissolve unless they start pulling some D-II schools.
That's a million.
 
#42
#42
UCONN is #15 in the D1 rankings right now lol. With three weeks left...so they think that team is going to nosedive to the final regional? D1 seems determined to try and place a Top 20 team in the Knoxville Regional.
we should expect this. Remember the bracket of death we got last year as a reward for our record breaking season.
 
#43
#43

Here's the formula:
(.7* (Walks + HBP (hit by pitch) + IBB (Intentional Walks)) +.9 * A Single + 1.25* A Double + 1.6* A Triple + 2* Home Runs / Total Plate Appearances= woBA

Example:
Walks: 45 *.7 = 31.5
Singles: 35*.9 = 31.5
Doubles: 30*1.25 = 37.5
Triples: = 1*1.6 = 1.6
Home Runs: 15*2 = 30

Total = 132.1
Formula= 132.1 / 400 = .330 wOBA

  • Great: .400 and More
  • Good: .371 to .399
  • Average: .320 to 3.70
  • Bad: .290 to .319
  • Terrible: Below 289
 
#45
#45
UCONN is 44th in the RPI. 1-0 in Quad 1 games, 25-3 in Quad 4 games. They beat Louisville in February when most people had written Louisville off for the season. Notable….they dropped a game against Rhode Island and won the rubber match 4-1. This is an instance of a team forcing their way into the ranking by beating bad teams. In an ideal world, I’d rather get Georgia Southern as the 2 seed, UCONN as the 3 seed, and Coppin State as the 4 seed. That’s a cake walk to Supers, where I’d like to see Gonzaga.
 
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#46
#46
Here's the formula:
(.7* (Walks + HBP (hit by pitch) + IBB (Intentional Walks)) +.9 * A Single + 1.25* A Double + 1.6* A Triple + 2* Home Runs / Total Plate Appearances= woBA

Example:
Walks: 45 *.7 = 31.5
Singles: 35*.9 = 31.5
Doubles: 30*1.25 = 37.5
Triples: = 1*1.6 = 1.6
Home Runs: 15*2 = 30

Total = 132.1
Formula= 132.1 / 400 = .330 wOBA

  • Great: .400 and More
  • Good: .371 to .399
  • Average: .320 to 3.70
  • Bad: .290 to .319
  • Terrible: Below 289

Thanks for posting this information. Very interesting. Can you please explain the for and allowed terms given to the axis? That seems to me to indicate they are saying we are way better at offense and way worse at defense/pitching than everyone else. But I know that last part isn't true. So I'm a bit confused by the y axis.
 
#47
#47
Thanks for posting this information. Very interesting. Can you please explain the for and allowed terms given to the axis? That seems to me to indicate they are saying we are way better at offense and way worse at defense/pitching than everyone else. But I know that last part isn't true. So I'm a bit confused by the y axis.
The y axis on the left is flipped so up and right are good.
 
#50
#50
Thanks for posting this information. Very interesting. Can you please explain the for and allowed terms given to the axis? That seems to me to indicate they are saying we are way better at offense and way worse at defense/pitching than everyone else. But I know that last part isn't true. So I'm a bit confused by the y axis.

 
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