Regional Hosting Sites, NCAA Selection Thoughts and Projections

[WestTennesseeVol]

Isn't grand canyon a online school?

Some would argue Texas A&M is an online school

 

[TheMookieMonster]

 

[vol66]

He can’t help himself.

 

[fryeguy93]

From Boydsworld.com he has prepared the ISR-Based probabilities for upcoming NCAA

ISR-Based Probabilities for 2022 NCAA Tournament

Tennessee (#1 seed)
88.6% chance to win region
80.4% chance to win Super Region
46.3% chance to make final series (final 2)
29.3% chance of winning title

Oregon State (#3 seed)
77.6
67.3
37.9
21.9

Stanford (#2 seed)
74.9
61.8
22.2
12.9

North Carolina (#10)
74.4
43.3
8.7
3.9

Florida (#13)
59.1
30.8
7.2
3.3

Texas (#9)
66.0
42.8
8.6
3.2

Louisville (#12)
61.1
36.6
7.0
2.8

Virginia Tech (#4)
55.7
34.4
6.4
2.6

Texas A&M (#5)
58.3
34.0
6.6
2.3

Oklahoma State (#7)
56.4
30.9
4.9
2.1

The best odds for non-hosting teams
Vanderbilt
16.9
10.3
2.8
1.2

LSU
37.0
19.1
2.8
1.0

Those win-it-all % are better than host teams GSU, ECU, and Maryland.

Host teams with less than a 50% chance to win their region
GSU 40.4 and Maryland 42.6. Both are favorites but

#2 seed with best odds to win series
Gonzaga 41.2 (VT); Notre Dame 34.9% (GSU); Wake Forest 38.7 (MD); LSU 37.0 (USM)

#3 seed
Florida State 25.1 (AU); TX Tech 22.0 (GSU); Ole Miss 20.7 (Miami); Coastal Carolina 19.3 (ECU)


The #4 seed with best chance to win region.
SEMO 3.4% (Louisville); Oral Roberts 3.12 (aTm); UNCG 2.7% (GSU) and Central Michigan 2.2 (Fla)

 

[Volprofch05]

Brings back memories

 

[youcancallmeAl]

It will definitely be interesting to see who we throw against Alabama State. Beam wouldn’t be a bad choice. If you win that game with Beam, you’re golden on arms, but I have a feeling Blade will get the ball on Friday.

I think Tony deliberately stacked the starters for Hoover in anticipation of the regional, and all starters will go in that same order, each with an extra day's rest from their normal 7 day routine.

 

[spyfish007]

I think Tony deliberately stacked the starters for Hoover in anticipation of the regional, and all starters will go in that same order, each with an extra day's rest from their normal 7 day routine.

You are also playing to win Hoover. You are also getting your rotation ready for the tournament. I even think they stayed on the road this past week MSU series and SEC Tournament to simulate being non the road for 2 weeks in Omaha. They team will be ready for all situations. Nothing will feel that terribly new. Wicked preparations if you ask me.

 

[taylorvol]

Good info about Georgia Tech. They’re an offense-oriented team. Pitching staff is solid, but nothing to be afraid of. Those batting averages and home runs are scary good though.

Georgia Tech

They swept VA Tech. Dangerous team.

 

[taylorvol]

GT fan here.

We got absolutely hosed being put in you guys regional. You guys are easily the best in the nation and we should be better than the worst 2.

We have an elite offense.

Second best batting average as a team in the nation.

Kevin Parada is our stud. He's our catcher. 2nd most HRs in the nation. 3rd most RBI in the nation.

Chandler Simpson is one of the fastest players in the nation and leads the NCAA in batting average.

We have several studs on offense.

As good as our hitting is, our pitching is just as bad or worse.

Will be great to see your pitching vs our offense.

If we do somehow manage to explode on offense, our pitching will choke. Always does. We have to score at least 10 runs to have a chance.

Welcome to the Forum. Lots of respect for GA Tech. We can agree with your sentiments towards UGA.

 

[ToHellWithUGA]

Welcome to the Forum. Lots of respect for GA Tech. We can agree with your sentiments towards UGA.

Enemy of my enemy if my friend, so I have always had a soft spot for you guys.

Last regional I wanted to be put in, but hey if youre going to win it you have to beat the best at some point.

I hope we make it past Campbell to face you guys because it would be a matchup of two of the best offenses in the nation.

 

[THEONLYTENISEE]

I’d be more concerned with Campbell than GT. I don’t think we’ll even see GT

Agreed. GT’s success to beating Campbell is how many innings they get from their Friday starter.

 

[taylorvol]

Enemy of my enemy if my friend, so I have always had a soft spot for you guys.

Last regional I wanted to be put in, but hey if youre going to win it you have to beat the best at some point.

I hope we make it past Campbell to face you guys because it would be a matchup of two of the best offenses in the nation.

Would be a lot of fun to watch.

 

[MAD]

 

[chuckiepoo]

View attachment 460003

 

[MAD]

If this is something that seems interesting, click below where it says, Read the full conversation on Twitter to see all 16 regionals.

 

[fryeguy93]

View attachment 460003

Stunned to see a similar or better FIP in USM.
Their pitchers must bail out their defense a lot

 

[OldTimer]

Cool graphic…….

 

[wtmvol]

Cool graphic…….

View attachment 460176

That is mesmerizing! I like how they used the jersey numbers to indicate the seed.

 

[fryeguy93]

Broken down further:

Regional foes:


Potential Super Region:


Potential preliminary College World Series foes:


Potential College World Series Final Opponents:

 

[MAD]

Cool graphic…….

View attachment 460176

Loved those Tennessee helmet schedules when I was a kid, this is even cooler.

 

[WallyBalls]

GT fan here.

We got absolutely hosed being put in you guys regional. You guys are easily the best in the nation and we should be better than the worst 2.

We have an elite offense.

Second best batting average as a team in the nation.

Kevin Parada is our stud. He's our catcher. 2nd most HRs in the nation. 3rd most RBI in the nation.

Chandler Simpson is one of the fastest players in the nation and leads the NCAA in batting average.

We have several studs on offense.

As good as our hitting is, our pitching is just as bad or worse.

Will be great to see your pitching vs our offense.

If we do somehow manage to explode on offense, our pitching will choke. Always does. We have to score at least 10 runs to have a chance.

Does Parada have another year left?

Asking for a friend.

 

[ToHellWithUGA]

Does Parada have another year left?

Asking for a friend.

Parada is only a Sophomore, but due to his age hes able to go pro after this season...which he 100% should and will do. Last mock draft I seen had him going at #3.

 

[chuckiepoo]

Does Parada have another year left?

Asking for a friend.

Top Baseball Draft Prospects
Top ten this year. He gone…

 

[cobbwebb0710]

Here’s the way I look at it:

Their offense is their strength and it’s a good one; ours is better. Our pitching is not just better, it’s opposite ends of the spectrum. Our defense is 7th in the nation; they’re 165th.

VT is the best pitching staff they faced in terms of ERA, and they’re 23rd in the nation and surrender 1.7 more runs per game than we do; that easily can make a difference in a W & L.

Regardless, there’s gonna be plenty of bombs hit this weekend in LNS!
Just hope we hit more than our opponents.
This may be the kiss of death, especially coming from me...
After looking at this thing rationally, we roll in the Knoxville regional and host a super next weekend!
GBO!!

 

[greasemachine]

I think he pitched yesterday but struggled.

Z pitched Sunday and was immediately hit twice and was pulled. I don't see him starting a regional game....