Remaining Schedule Prediction (Head vs Heart)?

#51
#51
Tman44 said:
I cannot see Georgia keeping up with our offense. Barring injuries this week, we should be in a much better position personnel wise against UGA than we were vs Alabama. It is actually my head that tells me we have a really good shot against Georgia.
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I got laughed at in an honest conversation at work this morning bc I said that I honestly think UT beats Georgia by 10+.
 
#52
#52
Here's the question...Let's say we beat UGA and lose to Bama in SECCG. We're 12-1 having split with Bama. Ohio State goes undefeated and is 13-0 Big10 Champs likely #1 overall. Clemson gets their act together and finishes that cupcake schedule that is the ACC and has 13-0 record. TCU goes undefeated and is 13-0. USC finishes strong and is 12-1 Pac Conference Champion.

#1 OH ST
#2 Clem
#3 Bama
#4 TCU (13-0), Tenn (12-1) USC (12-1 conference champion)

I think we not only need to win against UGA, but we need some help or we need to win the SEC
 
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#53
#53
Volunteer08 said:
Here's the question...Let's say we beat UGA and lose to Bama in SECCG. We're 12-1 having split with Bama. Ohio State goes undefeated and is 13-0 Big10 Champs likely #1 overall. Clemson gets their act together and finishes that cupcake schedule that is the ACC and has 13-0 record. TCU goes undefeated and is 13-0. USC finishes strong and is 12-1 Pac Conference Champion.

#1 OH ST
#2 Clem
#3 Bama
#4 TCU (13-0), Tenn (12-1) USC (12-1 conference champion)

I think we not only need to win against UGA, but we need some help or we need to win the SEC
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Clemson wins out most likely. MICH and Penn ST are the only team that could give OSU problems. TCU has some tough games left too. UCLA is more than capable of beating USC.
 
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#56
#56
I think UGA would need to beat Bama in SEC title game if Dawgs beat TN. Otherwise, a one loss Bama team will go over a one loss TN team because:
1. They would have beaten #1 team in the country
2. Their loss to TN was away game and lost by last second score.

The three definite teams are Ohio St, UGA and Clemson as I don’t think they trip up. In fact, I think Ohio State could still be w factor if they lose to Michigan as they are a media darling. Bu
Ohio State - Michigan winner ( I think Buckeyes win by two or more scores).

So Ohio St, UGA and Clemson.
TN and other one loss teams need to hope there are not any undefeated Big 12 teams (TCU). Plus, Oregon is on the top 7 or 8.


Edit-
TN needs to run the table, imo. There is a remote chance with a close loss @UGA. UGA would need to beat Bama. Bama still plays Ole Miss and LSU but Saban teams usually bounce back. Plus the Big 12 could not play a factor.
 
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#58
#58
Sure there’s a way to leave us out. If Georgia beats us, then loses to Alabama in SEC championship. We’re odd man out. There is no way on earth they put 3 SEC teams in playoff. If we want in, we have to beat Georgia. Then, even if we lose in SEC championship game, we have a reasonable chance of still getting in. Also, if Georgia were to beat Alabama in championship game, committee woul d pick between us and Alabama. We would have just as good a chance as them or even better since we beat them. Or they could leave us both out.
 
#60
#60
I've never understand the "(Team) will be fired up and ready to play" as some analysis of why we may lose. I would think that 99 out of 100 times your opponents show up ready to play. We will also be fired up and ready to play.

It's like a weird rhetorical argument when nothing can actually be said. But, by golly, they're going to be fired up!
 
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#61
#61
Ashevillevol said:
Sure there’s a way to leave us out. If Georgia beats us, then loses to Alabama in SEC championship. We’re odd man out. There is no way on earth they put 3 SEC teams in playoff. If we want in, we have to beat Georgia. Then, even if we lose in SEC championship game, we have a reasonable chance of still getting in. Also, if Georgia were to beat Alabama in championship game, committee woul d pick between us and Alabama. We would have just as good a chance as them or even better since we beat them. Or they could leave us both out.
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Good post. So much football remains and a lot of situations. Oregon could be selected as a one loss team. Also, you have an undefeated TCU team. Usually it works itself out but watch this yr be the season with 2-4 one loss teams.
 
#63
#63
If there are 3 SEC teams among the top 4, then three would go to the playoffs. I don't see Tennessee losing a game in order to make that possible, but it certainly could happen. No rule against it.
 
#67
#67
Simply put, if Bama beats GA, we ain't getting in. Bama and Georgia would get in from the SEC. We need GA to win in that scenario.
 
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#68
#68
Stephen Gray said:
I think the key to stopping their offense is going to be slowing down their run game in all parts of the field the game but most especially in the red zone, making them kick field goals or try to convert TD with pass. Getting at the quarterback is something we need to keep working at too, even if they are moving the ball. We have done that pretty well all season.

We will most likely give up a lot of yards to them through the air like we do to everyone, but if we can keep them from scoring TDs that is how we can get an advantage IF our offense can have the kind of performance we have seen all year. No reason in my mind to think they can’t. Georgia defense is good, but we have faced good defenses.

The passing game opens up our run game, so there the key I think is to affect our QB consistently so we got off schedule a lot. They need Hendon Hooker to have a bad day. If we aren’t passing well, we also won’t be running well. If we are, it’s business as usual. No one has been able to do that yet. If they can’t stop our offense then they are gonna have to keep up, and field goals won’t cut it. The vast majority of their red zone touchdowns are rushing, just as it is with us. They kick a lot of field goals.

The thing is Georgia has a lot of talented linebackers. What really surprises me is that they are like #100+ in rank when it comes to sacks and similar in tackles for loss. I haven’t watched their games but am told they have been able to get pressure but they haven’t been able to take people down much. They are much better at allowing the other team to tackle for a loss and get sacks than they are at doing this with their own defense.

One thing that could really help us is if we get off to a fast start like we have pretty often. It just changes teams mindsets and makes them adapt their game plan in a way where they have to gamble a lot.
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Thank you for this and I wholeheartly agree. Like you said- if we get out to a 14-0 start then they will have to throw the ball. But we need to take them out of the game early and not let them hang around. But as I'm sure you already know, the games are usually won on the LOS.
 
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#70
#70
ScornedPapaVol said:
If there are 3 SEC teams among the top 4, then three would go to the playoffs. I don't see Tennessee losing a game in order to make that possible, but it certainly could happen. No rule against it.
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I see your point, but there is a very, very slim chance that 3 SEC teams are in the BCS top 4. Pretty much, IMO, almost all of OSU, TCU, Clemson, and Michigan would need to lose for that to be possible while the SEC teams win out except head-to-head with the lower ranked team winning those. I guess it could happen.
 
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