Should Tennessee be a 1 seed?

#151
#151
mr.checkerboards said:
Yeah Bama is ridiculous. While most teams have one good 3 point guy they have several, so when one has an off night someone else picks up the slack. They're also long and athletic freaks who somewhat defend well. Oats needs to go to the NBA I'm tired of him.
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So we don’t have several good 3 point shooters? I can think of 6 guys myself
 
#153
#153
I think if the NET rankings were used on TV broadcasts then Tennessee as a potential 1 seed would have seemed reasonable for awhile. They’ve been in the 2 spot for a bit.

With all of the times I’ve felt Tennessee has had a tough schedule, I’m grateful that things are lining more favorably this year.
 
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#154
#154
xavierbballfan said:
I think if the NET rankings were used on TV broadcasts then Tennessee as a potential 1 seed would have seemed reasonable for awhile. They’ve been in the 2 spot for a bit.

With all of the times I’ve felt Tennessee has had a tough schedule, I’m grateful that things are lining more favorably this year.
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Yea seems like having those tough schedules are good for getting you into the tournament if your on the bubble……..but doesn’t matter as much when their looking at the top few seeds.

I’ll take an easier road with some fewer losses (fingers crossed). Seems to work out for other teams.
 
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#156
#156
vs Ga, vs Texas, at Florida, vs Auburn, at Vandy, vs Missouri, vs Bama, at KY, at A&M, vs SC, vs ARK, at Auburn

It gets REAL

The analytics say at Auburn, at A&M, vs Bama and at KY are the toughest games left.

I would think several others “could” be tough as well.

Love to see Tennessee finish 9-3 (or better). That’s a tough stretch 4 or more “could” happen especially if everyone isn’t healthy. I’m thinking they do well and finish strong.

What you guys thinking?
 
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#157
#157
JoAllan said:
vs Ga, vs Texas, at Florida, vs Auburn, at Vandy, vs Missouri, vs Bama, at KY, at A&M, vs SC, vs ARK, at Auburn

It gets REAL

The analytics say at Auburn, at A&M, vs Bama and at KY are the toughest games left.

I would think several others “could” be tough as well.

Love to see Tennessee finish 9-3 (or better). That’s a tough stretch 4 or more “could” happen especially if everyone isn’t healthy. I’m thinking they do well and finish strong.

What you guys thinking?
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I think that when you are in the top 5 or 10, that EVERY opponent will be super motivated to whoop our butts. Few easy outs remain once the SEC grind is underway.
 
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#158
#158
JoAllan said:
vs Ga, vs Texas, at Florida, vs Auburn, at Vandy, vs Missouri, vs Bama, at KY, at A&M, vs SC, vs ARK, at Auburn

It gets REAL

The analytics say at Auburn, at A&M, vs Bama and at KY are the toughest games left.

I would think several others “could” be tough as well.

Love to see Tennessee finish 9-3 (or better). That’s a tough stretch 4 or more “could” happen especially if everyone isn’t healthy. I’m thinking they do well and finish strong.

What you guys thinking?
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I like following the efficiency ratings and find optimism more fun personally. Comparing Ken Pom ratings would suggest we lose one of: TX, UF, Auburn, Vandy, Missouri, Alabama as well as one of UK, A and M, South Carolina, Arkansas, and Auburn. But that’s all assuming UT continues to be the same team. There’s some injury and illness piling up at the moment.

If I have to guess, I’m hopeful that Tennessee can get healthy for the Texas game and pull it out. If I’m being honest I’m worried that Alabama will pull out the win in Thompson Bowling. I think we do well in the back half including a revenge win against UK and take down Arkansas. I think Auburn is a game we lose right at the end while looking ahead to the post-season. I could easily envision a third loss as well creeping in somewhere (A second loss to Kentucky is the most likely to pose a threat). But I’ll stick with going with 2 losses because it’s more fun and keeps my hope of a 1 seed alive.

If there were dominant teams and name brands out there (Duke, UK, UNC) at the top, I think that would put us at a 2 seed. This year… I think there’s still a good chance to hit the 1 line going into the tournament since there is less incentive to stray from the NET rankings. My main concern is health of the team. People are banged up and sick. I think it was maybe our 2021 team that got sick and seemed to have a tough time recovering.
 
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#159
#159
JoAllan said:
vs Ga, vs Texas, at Florida, vs Auburn, at Vandy, vs Missouri, vs Bama, at KY, at A&M, vs SC, vs ARK, at Auburn

It gets REAL

The analytics say at Auburn, at A&M, vs Bama and at KY are the toughest games left.

I would think several others “could” be tough as well.

Love to see Tennessee finish 9-3 (or better). That’s a tough stretch 4 or more “could” happen especially if everyone isn’t healthy. I’m thinking they do well and finish strong.

What you guys thinking?
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Realistically, it’s possible to lose 4-5 down the stretch. I don’t believe that will happen, but the last 12 could be incredibly challenging, depending on injuries, luck, etc. I find it amazing opponents are hitting 74% on their FT attempts. Will that continue? Things like that and so many other variables play a huge factor in those outcomes.

If we continue to bring the defense every night, if we can rebound well, and if we can be a little better taking care of the ball, the rest will take care of itself. It should be intriguing.
 
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#160
#160
cardvolfan said:
Realistically, it’s possible to lose 4-5 down the stretch. I don’t believe that will happen, but the last 12 could be incredibly challenging, depending on injuries, luck, etc. I find it amazing opponents are hitting 74% on their FT attempts. Will that continue? Things like that and so many other variables play a huge factor in those outcomes.

If we continue to bring the defense every night, if we can rebound well, and if we can be a little better taking care of the ball, the rest will take care of itself. It should be intriguing.
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Devoe started 9-0 around 1982. Then limped down the stretch with a 4-5. But was still SEC co-champion at 13-5. True SEC Round Robin schedule.
 
#161
#161
Thunder Good-Oil said:
Devoe started 9-0 around 1982. Then limped down the stretch with a 4-5. But was still SEC co-champion at 13-5. True SEC Round Robin schedule.
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Devoe was an interesting case study. Within the same season his teams could be so good, then revert to almost being helpless. Such a wide variance in performances during stretches in the same season. I always thought that was interesting.
 
#162
#162
cardvolfan said:
Realistically, it’s possible to lose 4-5 down the stretch. I don’t believe that will happen, but the last 12 could be incredibly challenging, depending on injuries, luck, etc. I find it amazing opponents are hitting 74% on their FT attempts. Will that continue? Things like that and so many other variables play a huge factor in those outcomes.

If we continue to bring the defense every night, if we can rebound well, and if we can be a little better taking care of the ball, the rest will take care of itself. It should be intriguing.
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I saw a stat somewhere that posted the variance on FT’s, it insane, something like opponents averaging 68% but shooting 74% against us, pretty crazy. But then you also look at our 3pt defense, and at 21.8% there’s a massive variance there as well, so maybe it’s just some luck in each direction for us, I’ll take FT/3pt trade if that’s the case lol.

With that said, we are due for a team to go about 20/30 from 3 against us, no team has made more than 8 against us and no team has shot better than 33% against us from 3, Bama is gonna put those numbers to the test, just hoping that’s not the variance game and instead of 40% they shoot abiut 80% from 3.
 
#164
#164
bleedingTNorange said:
I saw a stat somewhere that posted the variance on FT’s, it insane, something like opponents averaging 68% but shooting 74% against us, pretty crazy. But then you also look at our 3pt defense, and at 21.8% there’s a massive variance there as well, so maybe it’s just some luck in each direction for us, I’ll take FT/3pt trade if that’s the case lol.

With that said, we are due for a team to go about 20/30 from 3 against us, no team has made more than 8 against us and no team has shot better than 33% against us from 3, Bama is gonna put those numbers to the test, just hoping that’s not the variance game and instead of 40% they shoot abiut 80% from 3.
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I’m hoping the luck portion kicks in for us on the back side of this schedule. I don’t think opponents continue to hit their FT’s at that rate, which will help some. Our 3-pt % is due a bad game as you said. Here’s hoping it isn’t against the top half going forward.
 
#168
#168
We are helped tremendously with potential seeding by the fact that there's a lack of Blue Bloods on the first three/four lines. Really just UCLA and Kansas. Duke/Kentucky/UNC not being there in contention helps, as they will always get the preferential seeding treatment.
 
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#169
#169
Some folks have entirely too much time on
their hands if they are worrying in January
about something that won’t happen until March.
MANY games from now.
 
#171
#171
If this team continues to improve there is no reason not to be FANATICAL

This team is built to handle a variety of situations/teams that they play.

Lineup is deep and they can employ an arsenal of weapons off the bench to challenge any team they face.

Does this mean they are going to win it all. No. It just means that they are capable/equipped to do so.

It all comes down to if CRB can push the Ferrari to the limit.
 
#172
#172
If tourney was held today, they deserve a 1 seed. I expect by March we will be more of a 3 seed. Tough games are coming.
 
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