As Henry Ford said (and I don’t usually think this quote applies but this is an exception), history is bunk. Look at the two teams and what they’ve done so far. The 2024 Tennessee Volunteers football team have given me no reason to doubt them. Meanwhile the Sooners have done little to inspire confidence.
Consider: Navy’s offense had 32 more total yards against Temple in week two than OU’s offense did in week one. Navy was 5-13 on third down against the Owls, while OU was 1-12.
In week 2, Houston actually outgained OU, 318 to 249, and held the mighty Sooners to 75 rushing yards. This same defense that held OU under the century mark surrendered 195 on the ground to UNLV the week prior, and 308 yards total.
Now OU’s strength is their defense, I can hear you saying. Their rush defense was certainly stingy, giving up 58 yards to UH on the ground. They also surrendered a modest 260 passing yards. Meanwhile, UNLV held Houston to just 209 passing yards and thirty-eight rushing. They were also marginally better against the Cougars on third down, holding them to just 2-15, while OU’s defense got off the field at a still-high rate, holding UH to 4-15 on 3rd.
It’s a small sample size, but I will trust the on-field results over the logo on the helmet. On one side you have a team that has steamrolled everything in front of it thus far, including an absolute shellacking of a supposed ACC title contender without having to use the vertical passing game. On the other you have an offense that’s struggling to find itself and an offensive line that can’t establish itself against vastly inferior competition, and a defense that hasn’t been meaningfully tested at all. If UT comes into Norman focused and sharp (and I have no reason to expect otherwise), this will be a beatdown.