Tennessee -28 seems a little much.....

#77
#77
vavolfan6 said:
We could easily have a 28 point lead on them in the 1st half.

Only concern is how the new clock rules change the overall amount of possessions and point totals.
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Bingo - you beat me to it. I hate to beat a dead horse, but there will be drastically fewer plays per game. Cannot stand that rule change.
 
#78
#78
StickMan said:
Bingo - you beat me to it. I hate to beat a dead horse, but there will be drastically fewer plays per game. Cannot stand that rule change.
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Yeah it’s a dumb rule that’s just meant to increase ad revenue. That’s literally it. Honestly though the reason we won’t be finishing #1 in offense this year won’t be because of that but because of all the talent we’ve lost. The rule change, to me, really just shortens the game and makes it harder to run up the score but we’re so efficient on offense does that really mean much to us? I don’t know yet. I expect us to finish at least top 15 in offense this year.
 
#79
#79
28 isn't enough. I'm thinking North of 35. They score no more than 17. By halftime, people are already reaching for their car keys and by the end of the 3rd quarter I40 is a parking lot
 
#81
#81
Hopefully utfantillidie bet his mortgage on Virginia, since this is a “toss up” game to him.
 
#82
#82
DaytonLawVol said:
New starting QB that we have seen really good from and really bad from in the past.
Offensive line changes/injuries.
A mostly new group of starting wide receivers.
A neutral field (Nashville...but still)

Virginia is a Power 5 team, albeit a pretty bad one. The spread is a full 4 touchdowns?!

Give me the 28 points.
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Not a game I would bet on. For starters, I don’t bet on games my team plays in. Two, too many new pieces this year beginning with a QB that hasn’t proven he is consistent yet. Three, it’s on the road. Four… well that’s just it four touchdown spread?

Now if we pick up where we left off, we should smash them, but I just wouldn’t pick this game to bet on and would want to wait and see IF I were a betting man on our games.
 
#83
#83
One thing that concerns me is this game will probably have ACC refs. Don't think we had any games last year with ACC refs, but 2 years ago we had ACC refs for the Pitt game and the bowl game (Purdue), and we had over 120 yards in penalties called in both games (the only games we had over 100 yards in penalties) and the opponents had under 80. While we had 98 yards against Alabama, we had less than 75 yards in penalties in all of the other games, so it seems that the ACC refs had something against us. If it happens in this game, it could limit our scoring. GBO!!!
 
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#84
#84
DaytonLawVol said:
New starting QB that we have seen really good from and really bad from in the past.
Offensive line changes/injuries.
A mostly new group of starting wide receivers.
A neutral field (Nashville...but still)

Virginia is a Power 5 team, albeit a pretty bad one. The spread is a full 4 touchdowns?!

Give me the 28 points.
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Nah. Virginia is that bad.
 
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#87
#87
DaytonLawVol said:
New starting QB that we have seen really good from and really bad from in the past.
Offensive line changes/injuries.
A mostly new group of starting wide receivers.
A neutral field (Nashville...but still)

Virginia is a Power 5 team, albeit a pretty bad one. The spread is a full 4 touchdowns?!

Give me the 28 points.
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That line seems right.
 
#88
#88
25vol said:
Yeah it’s a dumb rule that’s just meant to increase ad revenue. That’s literally it. Honestly though the reason we won’t be finishing #1 in offense this year won’t be because of that but because of all the talent we’ve lost. The rule change, to me, really just shortens the game and makes it harder to run up the score but we’re so efficient on offense does that really mean much to us? I don’t know yet. I expect us to finish at least top 15 in offense this year.
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How does shortening the game...INCREASE ad revenue? The rule was meant to stop the increasing game times. Games have grown to 3.32 avg up 23 minutes from 9 years ago.
 
#89
#89
CJH's teams start fast and seem to do well in noon games. It will be 21-0 starting the second quarter.
 
#90
#90
If this game was in Week 3, I would easily bet on Tennessee to cover. The opening games always have the potential for teams (even good teams) to sputter a little as they figure things out which usually means they don't meet their spread.

I just want us to win it soundly. I could care less if they met the spread or not.
 
#92
#92
When have we seen "really bad" from Joe Milton? Other than some overthrows against Pitt in his 1st game? Give me a break. Be more positive and supportive of JM. He smoked Clemson with the same WR's we are putting out there in Nashville. We should ROLL Virginia. Cheer up. lol
 
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#93
#93
DaytonLawVol said:
New starting QB that we have seen really good from and really bad from in the past.
Offensive line changes/injuries.
A mostly new group of starting wide receivers.
A neutral field (Nashville...but still)

Virginia is a Power 5 team, albeit a pretty bad one. The spread is a full 4 touchdowns?!

Give me the 28 points.
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They were 3-7 (would've been 3-9 most likely if they would've finished the last 2 games) with 2 of those wins only scoring 16 points. In fact, they scored 20 points or more 3 times. UT scored under 20 points once. including beating the ACC champ soundly on a neutral field with largely the same group that's going to line up next week. Plus, a new addition that's apparently been lighting it up in camp with his speed (Donte Thornton).
 
#95
#95
DaytonLawVol said:
New starting QB that we have seen really good from and really bad from in the past.
Offensive line changes/injuries.
A mostly new group of starting wide receivers.
A neutral field (Nashville...but still)

Virginia is a Power 5 team, albeit a pretty bad one. The spread is a full 4 touchdowns?!

Give me the 28 points.
Click to expand...

New group of WR...huh?
 
#96
#96
DaytonLawVol said:
New starting QB that we have seen really good from and really bad from in the past.
Offensive line changes/injuries.
A mostly new group of starting wide receivers.
A neutral field (Nashville...but still)

Virginia is a Power 5 team, albeit a pretty bad one. The spread is a full 4 touchdowns?!

Give me the 28 points.
Click to expand...
Their Defense was #44.
LSU was #41, 40 pts
Mizzou was #34, 66 pts
Clemson was #28, 31pts
Pitt was #23, 34pts
Bama was #13, 52pts
Kentucky was #12, 44pts

We should be able to score in the mid thirties at the worst against them.

Their Total Offense was number #103, we only played one P5 with a worse offense, Kentucky. They were number 126 in scoring offense, so even last year they "could" move the ball but they couldn't score worth a darn. They aren't going to be able to score on us, maybe move the ball, but finding the endzone will be a huge premium for them, especially against our Bend-don't-break defense.

Their "strength" is passing offense, there were only two P5 teams we played with a worse passing offense than them, Kentucky and Mizzou. We did pretty good against some better passing teams.

This isn't a game where we have to get into the 50s to win by 28. I am thinking 38pts should get a 4TD victory.

We also had more ACC wins than they did last year, just saying.
 
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#97
#97
DaytonLawVol said:
Let me restate....losing the Biletnikoff Trophy winner and Cedric Tillman isnt something to scorff at.
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Disagree. I scoff every time I hear someone mention the loss of Cedric Tillman as a reason why the offense will take a step back. He's a great talent, but he only played in half the games last year (coincidentally the two losses) and the offense didn't miss him at all when he was out. As for losing Hyatt, Heupel turned Velus Jones Jr into a draft pick before him. I will never worry about the receiver position with this HC.

If the passing game takes a step back, it won't be because of the receivers. It will be because Joe is inconsistent and/or the OL struggles to keep him upright.
 
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#100
#100
DaytonLawVol said:
Let me restate....losing the Biletnikoff Trophy winner and Cedric Tillman isnt something to scorff at.
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against a better team, sure, maybe. Virginia really is that bad. and its not like we had nobody behind those guys.

Squirrel proved himself last year. Keyton has been around forever and we know we can count on him. Bru showed he can be a reliable target in big moments too. Bru was the #2 WR, Keyton the #3, and Squirrel the #4. All three of those guys produced more than Tillman did, Tillman was a great talent, but we didn't miss a beat with him gone. and all of those guys were still playing behind the Biletnikoff winner and had good production.

People always forget, we are a run first offense. We didn't lose anybody there. As long as we can establish the run game our pass offense will be great.

The biggest offensive questions will be pass blocking/protection, especially with Cooper likely out. other thing I haven't seen brought up would be the loss of Fant, finding that Swiss Army Knife could be huge.
 
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