You can't base teams off what they did last year. With the transfer portal, you can go from being bad to being much more competitive. Not gonna act like I know about VA, I don't think I even saw them play last season. Look at Tulane for instance. In 2021 they were 2-10, then in 2022 they went 12-2, won a New Years Six Bowl and finish ranked #9. Or TCU, who was 5-7 in 2021. Then in 2022 they went 13-2 and played in the CFP playoffs and Championship game. Point being, you can't base a team this year off what they did or didn't do the year prior . Us, TCU, Tulane are just a few examples.